Liverpool’s recent draw against Nottingham Forest and Tottenham’s loss to Newcastle hint at a cautious start, yet the numbers suggest a high-scoring affair. The model favours a Liverpool win, with a 60% chance of victory, a 22% draw probability and an 18% chance of a Tottenham win. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to an open match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.2% chance. Liverpool’s home form shows they average 2.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similar opposition, while Tottenham’s away record is 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 87.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.9%, Over 3.5 cards at 73.2%, and Under 25.5 fouls at 70.6%. The other picks - Over 8.5 corners and Over 19.5 fouls - are less likely, with 76.8% and 76.4% respectively. This blend of attacking potency and defensive solidity makes a Liverpool victory the most probable outcome.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s 4-3 triumph over Tottenham saw the actual total well beyond the model’s 3.2 expectation, a clear outlier from the predicted 3-goal outcome. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came with a 60% probability and the model’s call proved correct. The match also delivered on several of the model’s selections: Over 2.5 cards hit at 87.3%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.9%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 73.2%, and Under 25.5 fouls hit at 70.6%. However, Over 8.5 corners and Over 19.5 fouls missed, with probabilities of 76.8% and 76.4% respectively. Liverpool’s form, coming off a draw, and Tottenham’s recent defeat set the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
60.2%
Avg Implied 62.2% · @ 1.55
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.2%
Avg Implied 19.9% · @ 4.84
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied 17.9% · @ 5.38
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.23
2.15
1.00
1.71
1.41
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.92
1.31
2.33
1.17
1.57
1.43
vs Weaker (17)
1.88
1.18
2.00
0.86
1.80
1.40
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.60
1.62
1.31
1.50
1.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.67
1.42
1.79
1.36
1.50
1.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.67
-
-
1.33
2.67
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.39-6.4%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 3.04+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.9%
Under 3.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.4%
2-2
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
Liverpool goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
3.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
7.6%
10%
5.1%
1.8%
0.5%
2
9.1%
9.9%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
3
6.4%
7.0%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.4%
3.7%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Liverpool is 0.18 points better than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Liverpool is 0.13 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.84).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Liverpool is 0.42 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Liverpool is 11.4 percentage points better than Tottenham in terms of average possession (61% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 5.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 4.6 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.2
2.8
3.1
2.5
18.8
19.1
18.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
9.2
9.9
8.7
2.9
4.1
2.0
20.8
21.9
20.0
vs Weaker (29)
10.1
10.5
9.7
2.7
2.5
2.9
17.3
17.5
17.1
% over line
44%
54%
35%
34%
38%
31%
34%
38%
31%
% under line
56%
46%
65%
66%
62%
69%
66%
62%
69%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.1
4.3
4.6
3.9
21.6
22.2
20.9
vs Stronger (5)
7.8
7.0
9.0
4.8
5.7
3.5
26.2
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (36)
10.8
9.8
11.8
4.3
4.6
3.9
21.1
22.0
20.3
vs Weaker (9)
9.9
10.6
9.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
20.8
18.8
23.2
% over line
60%
50%
71%
60%
69%
50%
42%
50%
33%
% under line
40%
50%
29%
40%
31%
50%
58%
50%
67%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Manchester United
10.4
Everton
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
West Ham
10.3
Tottenham
10.3
Southampton
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Arsenal
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Wolves
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.3
Manchester City
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Chelsea
4.3
Tottenham
4.3
Leeds
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Wolves
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Everton
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Newcastle
3.8
Bournemouth
3.7
Brighton
3.6
Manchester United
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.3
Southampton
3.3
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
2.8
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
23.8
Leeds
23.4
Chelsea
23.2
Nottingham Forest
22.9
Fulham
21.9
Tottenham
21.6
Wolves
21.4
Brighton
21.2
Newcastle
21.1
Leicester
21.0
Bournemouth
20.9
Arsenal
20.8
Southampton
20.7
Everton
20.5
Manchester United
19.8
Brentford
19.4
Liverpool
18.8
West Ham
18.7
Manchester City
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.9%
Under 9.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.2%
Under 3.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.3%
Under 21.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.92
0.54
0.76
0.59
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.54
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
0.82
0.59
1.14
0.43
0.60
0.70
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.56
0.88
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.88
0.57
0.86
0.20
0.90
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
-
-
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.23
0.46
0.94
0.82
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.77
1.67
0.50
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.59
0.86
0.43
1.20
0.70
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
1.06
0.44
1.07
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.25
0.54
1.21
0.50
1.30
0.60
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
-
-
0.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah48%
Roberto Firmino30%
Darwin Núñez30%
Cody Gakpo26%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota14%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Joël Matip11%
Curtis Jones10%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Trent Alexander-Arnold7%
Stefan Bajčetić7%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ibrahima Konaté29%
Fabinho25%
Joël Matip22%
Trent Alexander-Arnold16%
Joe Gomez15%
Konstantinos Tsimikas15%
Stefan Bajčetić13%
Naby Keïta12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Curtis Jones10%
Luis Díaz10%
Thiago Alcântara9%
Andrew Robertson8%
James Milner8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Diogo Jota7%
Darwin Núñez5%
Jordan Henderson5%
Mohamed Salah4%
Alisson2%
Cody Gakpo0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Roberto Firmino0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Robertson23%
Mohamed Salah22%
Diogo Jota21%
Konstantinos Tsimikas19%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Luis Díaz10%
Roberto Firmino9%
Cody Gakpo9%
Darwin Núñez8%
Jordan Henderson8%
Curtis Jones5%
Harvey Elliott5%
Fabinho5%
Joe Gomez4%
James Milner3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson2%
Joël Matip0%
Naby Keïta0%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah50%
Darwin Núñez41%
Luis Díaz20%
Roberto Firmino18%
Diogo Jota18%
Joël Matip11%
Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain10%
Cody Gakpo9%
Virgil van Dijk8%
Harvey Elliott8%
Fabio Carvalho6%
Jordan Henderson3%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Naby Keïta0%
James Milner0%
Fabinho0%
Thiago Alcântara0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Stefan Bajčetić0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane59%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Heung-min Son20%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Arnaut Danjuma10%
Ryan Sessegnon10%
Matt Doherty7%
Richarlison6%
Emerson Royal6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Lucas Moura6%
Ben Davies5%
Eric Dier5%
Oliver Skipp4%
Clément Lenglet3%
Ivan Perišić2%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodrigo Bentancur42%
Cristian Romero38%
Oliver Skipp30%
Ryan Sessegnon25%
Yves Bissouma23%
Clément Lenglet21%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg19%
Harry Kane15%
Eric Dier15%
Ivan Perišić15%
Bryan Gil12%
Ben Davies11%
Richarlison9%
Emerson Royal9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Heung-min Son7%
Fraser Forster6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Davinson Sánchez5%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Lucas Moura0%
Matt Doherty0%
Djed Spence0%
Pedro Porro0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Perišić27%
Dejan Kulusevski21%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg17%
Heung-min Son14%
Bryan Gil12%
Harry Kane11%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Clément Lenglet6%
Ben Davies5%
Emerson Royal3%
Cristian Romero3%
Eric Dier2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Matt Doherty0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Djed Spence0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane52%
Heung-min Son25%
Pedro Porro12%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg7%
Matt Doherty7%
Eric Dier5%
Ryan Sessegnon5%
Ivan Perišić5%
Emerson Royal3%
Dejan Kulusevski3%
Ben Davies3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €59m more valuable than Tottenham's (€980m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €268m more valuable than Tottenham's (€518m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €81m less valuable than Tottenham's (€201m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool's defence is €128m less valuable than Tottenham's (€260m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton