Liverpool’s recent draw against Nottingham Forest has left the Reds looking for a decisive win, and the model’s 65% home-win probability reflects that urgency. The Premier League side’s home form shows an average of two goals scored and one conceded against similar opposition, giving the model confidence in a 2-1 scoreline, the most likely result at 9.5%. Tottenham, on the road, averages a single goal scored and 1.45 conceded, a weaker offensive output that the model weighs heavily in favour of Liverpool. The expected total of 3.5 goals translates to a 3-goal total with a 21% chance. The model also favours a 2-1 outcome, the single most probable scoreline, and predicts a 65% chance of a home win, a 20% draw and a 15% away win. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 87.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 86.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 80.7%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.3%, and Over 3.5 cards at 72.1%, all with their respective probabilities.
Results analysis
Liverpool’s 5-1 victory over Tottenham confirms the model’s prediction that the home side would win, a result that was 65% likely. The win extends Liverpool’s recent run, coming off a draw, while Tottenham, after a defeat, struggled to score. The model’s favourite, Home win, was correct, and the 3-goal margin matches the most likely score of 2-1, which had a 9.5% probability. Every suggested pick was settled: Over 1.5 goals hit at 87.7%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 86.7%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 80.7%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 76.3%, and Over 3.5 cards missed at 72.1%. The final score of 5-1 was a decisive home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Liverpool win✓ Hit
64.9%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.20
Edge
-14.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied 12.9% · @ 7.40
Edge
+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✗ Miss
15.5%
Avg Implied 7.5% · @ 12.79
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.00
2.29
0.93
1.94
1.06
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
2.11
1.33
2.00
1.00
2.17
1.50
vs Weaker (21)
2.10
0.86
2.36
0.91
1.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.57
1.86
1.64
1.56
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.40
1.65
1.89
1.89
1.00
1.45
vs Weaker (8)
2.75
1.38
2.25
1.25
3.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.7%
Under 1.5
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.8%
@ 1.30-4.4%
Under 2.5
31.2%
@ 3.55+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
Liverpool goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
2.5%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
1
6.2%
8.7%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
2
8.4%
9.5%
5.4%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.8%
7.7%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
4
4.1%
4.6%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Liverpool goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Liverpool is 1.21 points better than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (2.21 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Liverpool is 0.58 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals scored per game (2.26 vs 1.68).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Liverpool is 0.63 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.71).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Liverpool is 3.2 percentage points better than Tottenham in terms of average possession (58% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Liverpool
For 7.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 12.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 8.0 · Total 17.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 5.2 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.8
10.6
3.5
3.7
3.3
20.5
21.6
19.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
10.8
11.3
10.4
3.3
3.9
2.8
19.4
22.3
17.1
vs Weaker (32)
10.6
10.6
10.7
3.6
3.6
3.7
21.3
21.3
21.2
% over line
60%
57%
62%
50%
52%
48%
40%
48%
33%
% under line
40%
43%
38%
50%
48%
52%
60%
52%
67%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.7
12.0
11.4
3.6
3.4
3.9
23.8
23.8
23.8
vs Stronger (5)
12.5
12.0
13.0
4.2
3.7
5.0
25.8
25.0
26.5
vs Similar (36)
12.4
12.9
11.9
3.8
3.4
4.2
24.1
24.1
24.1
vs Weaker (9)
8.6
9.4
7.3
2.6
3.0
2.0
21.8
22.4
20.7
% over line
74%
82%
67%
46%
40%
52%
72%
64%
81%
% under line
26%
18%
33%
54%
60%
48%
28%
36%
19%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.8
Bournemouth
11.5
Brentford
11.1
Ipswich
10.8
Newcastle
10.7
Everton
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Southampton
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.2
Manchester United
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Manchester City
10.1
Leicester
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Wolves
9.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Aston Villa
4.4
Wolves
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Ham
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Everton
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.2
Bournemouth
24.2
Tottenham
23.9
Southampton
23.6
Aston Villa
23.0
Brighton
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Newcastle
22.6
Crystal Palace
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Chelsea
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Everton
21.5
Arsenal
21.2
Manchester United
21.0
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Brentford
18.7
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
65.3%
Under 9.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.8%
Under 21.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
0.86
0.36
1.00
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.78
0.33
0.33
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (21)
0.90
0.43
1.00
0.36
0.80
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.79
0.79
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.85
0.67
1.00
0.36
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.38
1.25
0.25
1.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.47
1.43
0.57
0.94
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.56
1.67
0.67
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.19
0.43
1.36
0.55
1.00
0.30
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.07
0.86
0.81
0.75
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.80
1.22
0.89
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brennan Johnson31%
Dominic Solanke31%
James Maddison22%
Richarlison21%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Dane Scarlett20%
Heung-min Son20%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Wilson Odobert10%
Pedro Porro8%
Djed Spence6%
Mikey Moore5%
Rodrigo Bentancur5%
Yves Bissouma5%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Lucas Bergvall2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Reguilón33%
Rodrigo Bentancur32%
Yves Bissouma27%
Micky van de Ven23%
Cristian Romero19%
Ben Davies18%
James Maddison18%
Lucas Bergvall18%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr15%
Radu Drăguşin14%
Pedro Porro14%
Brennan Johnson14%
Richarlison12%
Dejan Kulusevski10%
Djed Spence9%
Guglielmo Vicario6%
Destiny Udogie6%
Archie Gray4%
Heung-min Son2%
Timo Werner0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Brandon Austin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Mikey Moore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dane Scarlett40%
James Maddison22%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Pedro Porro18%
Heung-min Son17%
Dominic Solanke16%
Timo Werner11%
Mikey Moore11%
Micky van de Ven9%
Djed Spence9%
Richarlison8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Lucas Bergvall7%
Mathys Tel5%
Cristian Romero4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Destiny Udogie3%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke20%
Heung-min Son15%
Brennan Johnson12%
Mathys Tel10%
Richarlison8%
Pedro Porro8%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Mikey Moore5%
Wilson Odobert5%
James Maddison4%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Yves Bissouma2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Will Lankshear0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Liverpool's squad is €59m more valuable than Tottenham's (€980m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Liverpool's attack is €268m more valuable than Tottenham's (€518m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Liverpool's midfield is €81m less valuable than Tottenham's (€201m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Liverpool's defence is €128m less valuable than Tottenham's (€260m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton