Livingston are expected to emerge victorious, based on the recent form of both teams, with the home side coming off a defeat against Partick and the away side Dunfermline drawing against Ayr Utd. Livingston have a 47% chance of winning, while Dunfermline have a 25% chance and the draw a 28% chance.
The expected total number of goals is 2.6, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.4%.
Against similar-strength opponents at home, Livingston average 1 goal scored and 2 conceded, while against similar-strength opponents away, Dunfermline average 1.64 goals scored and 1.09 conceded.
The model's selection is the home win, with the suggested picks including Over 1.5 (74.5%), Under 3.5 (73.6%), and a clean sheet is not a selection but Livingston's home win percentage is 47%, the draw percentage is 28%, and Dunfermline's away win percentage is 25%.
Results analysis
Livingston’s victory extended a winning streak, as the 2-0 win over Dunfermline confirmed the model’s pre-match favourite - a Home win with a 47 % probability - and the result matched the prediction. The final score of 2-0 was a Home win, aligning with the model’s pick. The model’s selections proved largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.4 %, Under 5.5 hit at 95.1 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 93.6 %. All eight selections settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Livingston win✓ Hit
46.6%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.75
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
888Sport
1.75
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.56
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
Betfair
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.60
Dunfermline win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.15
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Betfair
4.33
Pinnacle
4.32
Dafabet
4.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Livingston
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.67
1.75
1.75
0.79
1.57
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.38
2.00
2.50
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.55
1.09
1.64
0.89
1.44
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
0.00
8.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.80
1.88
0.59
1.31
1.08
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.58
0.77
1.67
0.60
1.45
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
4.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
@ 1.27+1.4%
Under 1.5
25.5%
@ 3.44-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.2%
@ 1.86-2.0%
Under 2.5
51.8%
@ 1.88+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.98
10Bet
1.93
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
888Sport
1.85
Under
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
@ 3.15-3.0%
Under 3.5
73.6%
@ 1.32+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.45
10Bet
3.35
888Sport
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
@ 1.80+1.2%
No
47.3%
@ 1.91-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.86
888Sport
1.83
William Hil
1.83
10Bet
1.80
No
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.94
William Hil
1.91
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.60+6.7%
1-0
10.1%@ 6.57+3.4%
2-1
9.3%@ 7.68+3.5%
2-0 ✓
8.7%@ 7.88+3.1%
0-0
8.6%@ 9.41+3.9%
0-1
6.7%@ 10.88+2.7%
1-2
6.5%@ 12.83+3.1%
2-2
5.0%@ 13.80+1.8%
Livingston goals ↓
Dunfermline goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
6.7%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
1
10%
13%
6.5%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.3%
5.0%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.4%
4.7%
2.5%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livingston goals (down), columns = Dunfermline goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Livingston
1.37
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.89
Livingston is 0.17 points worse than Dunfermline in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Livingston
1.21
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.78
Livingston is 0.23 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Livingston
1.15
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.77
Livingston is 0.12 goals worse than Dunfermline in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.02).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Livingston
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunfermline
For 4.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Livingston
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.5
3.4
3.7
3.1
25.4
27.6
23.5
vs Stronger (17)
11.7
12.0
11.4
4.8
4.9
4.6
25.4
26.9
23.9
vs Similar (31)
9.5
8.7
10.2
2.7
3.1
2.4
25.1
28.1
22.6
vs Weaker (2)
6.0
-
6.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
31.0
-
31.0
% over line
56%
50%
62%
50%
58%
42%
72%
83%
62%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
50%
42%
58%
28%
17%
38%
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.2
8.4
1.2
0.7
1.7
20.8
23.0
19.5
vs Stronger (3)
9.0
13.0
5.0
1.3
1.0
2.0
19.5
24.0
15.0
vs Similar (44)
8.2
7.0
8.9
1.2
0.7
1.7
21.1
22.8
20.1
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
31%
20%
38%
18%
8%
29%
54%
60%
50%
% under line
69%
80%
62%
82%
92%
71%
46%
40%
50%
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.3%
@ 1.75-11.6%
Under 9.5
58.7%
@ 1.97+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.1%
Under 3.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
52.5%
Under 21.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Livingston or Draw✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.18
Edge
-3.5%
47%
28%
25%
covers Livingston + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Livingston or Dunfermline✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 74.5% · @ 1.24
Edge
-2.5%
47%
28%
25%
covers Livingston + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Draw or Dunfermline✗ Miss
53.4%
Avg Implied 47.4% · @ 1.95
Edge
+6.0%
47%
28%
25%
covers Draw + Dunfermline
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Betfair
2.00
888Sport
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Livingston over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
@ 1.16-1.4%
Under
21.7%
@ 4.56+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Livingston over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.1%
@ 1.83-5.4%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.87+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.87
10Bet
1.85
888Sport
1.85
Betano
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
Livingston over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 3.62-5.7%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.24+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Pinnacle
3.73
Unibet
3.70
10Bet
3.65
Under
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Livingston over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 8.02-4.8%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.06+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.20
888Sport
9.00
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.02
Dunfermline over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
65.8%
@ 1.50+4.0%
Under
34.2%
@ 2.43-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.56
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Dunfermline over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.1%
@ 3.41+1.9%
Under
70.9%
@ 1.27-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.65
Pinnacle
3.53
888Sport
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Under
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Dunfermline over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
@ 8.59-1.4%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.04+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Betfair
9.50
1xBet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.50
Superbet
8.30
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Dunfermline over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 13.50-4.6%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Livingston, so a minus line means Livingston give that many goals of a start and Dunfermline receive them. At -1, Livingston must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Livingston win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Livingston)Actual: Draw
Livingston -2
9.7%
@ 5.83-5.4%
Draw -2
14.5%
@ 4.85-3.8%
Dunfermline +2
75.8%
@ 1.33+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.70
Away
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
Handicap -1 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston -1
24.2%
@ 2.94-5.6%
Draw -1
22.3%
@ 3.47-2.9%
Dunfermline +1
53.4%
@ 1.95+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Unibet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.92
Bet365
2.88
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.30
Away
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Handicap +1 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston +1
74.6%
@ 1.16-0.4%
Draw +1
15.3%
@ 5.73+0.1%
Dunfermline -1
10.1%
@ 8.93+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.60
Unibet
5.60
Away
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
8.80
Bet365
8.50
Handicap +2 (Livingston)Actual: Livingston
Livingston +2
89.9%
@ 1.06+1.2%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 13.00-0.1%
Dunfermline -2
3.0%
@ 23.00-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Livingston
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.69
1.06
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.38
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.90
0.27
1.00
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.94
0.24
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.38
0.80
0.27
0.55
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.36+4.7%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 2.91-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.11
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
10Bet
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 2.69+1.1%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.42-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.80
Betano
2.77
William Hil
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.67
Under
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
BetVictor
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.8%
@ 6.47-1.5%
Under 2.5
87.2%
@ 1.08+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
7.00
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Under
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.6%
@ 1.75+2.7%
Under
44.4%
@ 1.96-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Livingston over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
18.6%
@ 4.67-1.2%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
Livingston over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 11.75-3.4%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
32.8%
@ 2.59-2.9%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.44+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.55
Under
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 8.88-3.7%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.30
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Livingston
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
1.06
0.69
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.65
0.82
0.64
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunfermline) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunfermline
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
0.94
0.35
0.85
0.46
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.38
0.87
0.33
0.91
0.45
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.0%
Under 0.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
44.2%
Under 1.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.3%
Under 2.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
61.7%
Under
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.8%
Under
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Livingston over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.4%
Under
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.1%
Under
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunfermline over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.02
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.9%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.14
Pinnacle
1.12
888Sport
1.11
Superbet
1.11
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.15
Betano
1.17
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.3%
1.35
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Unibet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.32
+12.4%
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.2%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.16
888Sport
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.8%
1.33
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.30
-
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
74.6%
1.18
Betano
1.25
BetVictor
1.20
Betfair
1.20
William Hil
1.20
888Sport
1.20
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
74.6%
1.16
Unibet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.5%
1.27
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.28
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.6%
1.32
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
1.36
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.0%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.9%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
-1.9%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.6%
1.59
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Unibet
1.58
Superbet
1.57
+12.6%
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian Montaño27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
Jérôme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian Montaño12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
Jérôme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Livingston and Dunfermline have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Livingston and Dunfermline have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Livingston and Dunfermline have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Livingston and Dunfermline have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stenhousemuir
Partick
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
Morton
Queen's Park