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Livingston vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Date: 01/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Livingston
Livingston
Vs
51%
28%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Livingston is expected to secure a victory against Queen's Park, with the home side boasting a 51% chance of winning. The match is likely to be a low-scoring affair, with an expected total of 2.5 goals. The most probable outcome is a draw, but the model predicts a home win as the favourite result.

The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, occurring with a probability of 13.2%. Livingston has struggled in recent matches, coming off a defeat, but has a strong home record. They have scored an average of 1.67 goals per game against stronger opponents and conceded 0.67 goals.

The model's selection is an Under 3.5 goal match, which has a 75.8% probability of occurring. Another selection is an Over 1.5 goal match, which has a 72.4% probability. The home win percentage stands at 51%, with a draw percentage of 28% and an away win percentage of 21%.

Results analysis

The win extends Livingston's run to two consecutive victories, following a defeat in their previous outing. The final score of 2-0 was a convincing home win, as predicted by the model. The model's selection, Home win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 51%. The model's call was correct, as the actual result matched the predicted outcome. The model's selections largely came in, with the Under 3.5 goal line hitting, and Over 1.5 goals also hitting. The suggested picks were well-represented, with 75.8% of the model backing Under 3.5, which proved correct, and 72.4% supporting Over 1.5, which also came to fruition.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Livingston win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied 63.3% · @ 1.44
Edge
-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Dafabet
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.03
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.40
Dafabet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied 14.0% · @ 6.49
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.08
Pinnacle
6.90
Marathonbet
6.80
10Bet
6.80
Dafabet
6.60

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D02L22D23L20W22D03L00D14LH·ST 28/02A·HIB14/03A·KIL21/03H·HEA05/04A·DUN11/04A·ST 25/04H·ABE01/05A·DUN09/05A·DUN12/05H·KIL17/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.002.031.272.070.732.00
vs Stronger (14)1.142.211.572.140.712.29
vs Similar (16)0.881.881.002.000.751.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W11D01L11D10W02L00D02L11DH·AIR07/03A·AYR10/03H·AYR14/03A·ARB21/03A·ST 28/03H·ROS10/04H·RAI14/04A·MOR18/04H·DUN25/04A·PAR01/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.370.941.061.001.71
vs Stronger (7)0.710.570.500.751.000.33
vs Similar (23)1.041.611.081.171.002.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.27-0.6%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 3.43+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.54
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.88-4.0%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.85+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Unibet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
@ 3.22-4.6%
Under 3.5
75.8%
@ 1.30+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
Betano
3.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.1%
@ 2.00+3.1%
No
50.9%
@ 1.71-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
No
Betfair
1.83
William Hil
1.73
Unibet
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
10Bet
1.70

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%@ 7.37+7.2%
1-0
11.7%@ 5.71+4.0%
2-0 ✓
10.1%@ 6.21+3.0%
0-0
9.4%@ 9.59+4.9%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.49+3.5%
0-1
6.5%@ 14.29+3.4%
1-2
5.6%@ 18.42+3.2%
3-0
5.3%@ 9.54+0.7%
Livingston goals ↓
Queen's Park goals →
01234
09.4%6.5%3.6%1.1%0.3%
112%13%5.6%1.7%0.4%
210%9.4%4.4%1.4%0.3%
35.3%4.9%2.3%0.7%0.2%
42.1%1.9%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livingston goals (down), columns = Queen's Park goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.60
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Inverness CT
1.05
Morton
1.04
Livingston is 0.47 points better than Queen's Park in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Livingston
1.41
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.93
Livingston is 0.44 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 0.97).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Partick
0.96
Livingston
0.98
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.49
Livingston is 0.35 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals conceded per game (0.98 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LivingstonLivingston

For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

15061875763783455431272715129157107129H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST A·DUNH·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6012421131222221212423624442336H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST H·RAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

2801010121453101510139710107147611172026825231620211328H·KILA·DUNA·DUNH·ABEA·ST A·DUNH·HEAA·KILA·HIBH·ST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

QueenQueen's Park

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

LivingstonLivingston

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.010.53.43.63.225.627.623.7
vs Stronger (19)11.211.510.94.85.04.726.728.324.9
vs Similar (28)9.58.510.22.83.22.524.626.822.8
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line56%50%62%50%56%44%73%85%62%
% under line44%50%38%50%44%56%27%15%38%
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (36)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Morton
11.0
Partick
10.3
Livingston
10.1
Arbroath
9.8
Inverness CT
9.1
Dunfermline
9.1
Stenhousemuir
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Stenhousemuir
4.9
Morton
4.6
Livingston
4.3
Partick
4.3
Dunfermline
4.0
Arbroath
3.7
Inverness CT
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.2
Livingston
25.1
Morton
21.8
Inverness CT
21.7
Dunfermline
21.4
Arbroath
20.8
Partick
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.8%
@ 1.71-7.3%
Under 9.5
53.2%
@ 2.02+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
Under
Unibet
2.18
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Pinnacle
2.04
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.8%
Under 3.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.3%
Under 21.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 5. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.8%1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+4.6%✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%1.27
Betano
1.31
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-0.6%✓ Hit

💰 6. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (29)
€6m
DUN (31)
€6m
PAR (22)
€3m
MOR (26)
€2m
ARB (25)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (10)
€3m
LIV (12)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (8)
€1m
ARB (5)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€3m
PAR (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (8)
€1m
STE (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (14)
€2m
LIV (9)
€2m
PAR (9)
€1m
MOR (9)
€1m
ARB (12)
€1m
STE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 7. Games History

Head-to-head

Livingston vs Queen's Park · H/A from LIV
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/25HLIV Vs Queen's Park3-0
04/01/25AQueen's Park Vs LIV2-0
02/11/24HLIV Vs Queen's Park1-1
09/08/24AQueen's Park Vs LIV1-1

LivingstonLivingston

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HLIV Vs Kilmarnock1-4
12/05/26ADundee Utd Vs LIV0-0
09/05/26ADundee Vs LIV3-0
01/05/26HLIV Vs Aberdeen2-2
25/04/26AST Mirren Vs LIV0-2
11/04/26ADundee Utd Vs LIV3-2
05/04/26HLIV Vs Heart Of Midlothian2-2
21/03/26AKilmarnock Vs LIV2-0
14/03/26AHibernian Vs LIV0-0
28/02/26HLIV Vs ST Mirren1-1

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26APartick Vs QP1-1
25/04/26HQP Vs Dunfermline0-2
18/04/26AMorton Vs QP0-0
14/04/26HQP Vs Raith Rovers0-2
10/04/26HQP Vs Ross County1-0
28/03/26AST Johnstone Vs QP1-1
21/03/26AArbroath Vs QP1-0
14/03/26HQP Vs Ayr Utd1-1
10/03/26AAyr Utd Vs QP1-2
07/03/26HQP Vs Airdrie United1-0

📊 8. Overall Statistics

Livingston
Livingston
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.04
HomeDDDDL1.08
AwayLLWLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals3.063.242.88
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %36%44%28%
Scored1.461.721.20
Conceded1.601.521.68
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners10.2710.0010.52
Cards4.154.333.95
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD0.94
HomeWDWLL0.88
AwayWLDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.522.482.56
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored0.940.801.08
Conceded1.581.681.48
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 9. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.0
-
2StenhousemuirStenhousemuir24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
3Ayr UtdAyr Utd24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.5
-
4Raith RoversRaith Rovers24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.0
-
5LivingstonLivingston23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2321.01.0
-
6DunfermlineDunfermline22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.50.5
-
7Inverness CTInverness CT22
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
8ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0110.01.0
-
9QueenQueen's Park20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
10MortonMorton20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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