Livingston’s recent 2-0 win over Dunfermline gives them a bright start, while Stenhousemuir’s unbeaten run of five games, including a 2-0 victory against Queen’s Park, shows they are in good form. The model favours a home win, assigning 48% to Livingston, 30% to a draw and 23% to Stenhousemuir. The expected total of 2.3 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 13.9%. Livingston’s home form is strong, scoring an average of eight goals and conceding none against weaker opposition, whereas Stenhousemuir’s away record against stronger teams shows a modest 1.5 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (99.1% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (97.0% with a 9% edge) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.6%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Livingston win
48.2%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.39
Edge
-17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.45
Dafabet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Draw
29.6%
Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.22
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
4.25
Betano
4.25
Stenhousemuir win
22.2%
Avg Implied 13.2% · @ 6.89
Edge
+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
8.25
Pinnacle
7.66
1xBet
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Livingston
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.60
1.75
1.62
0.79
1.57
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.38
2.00
2.50
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (20)
1.00
1.45
1.09
1.45
0.89
1.44
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
0.00
8.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stenhousemuir
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.86
vs Stronger (29)
1.48
0.69
1.47
0.53
1.50
0.86
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.3%
@ 1.21-8.5%
Under 1.5
31.7%
@ 3.99+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
Betfair
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 1.70-14.3%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 2.07+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.08
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.2%
@ 2.74-13.7%
Under 3.5
79.8%
@ 1.40+13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
BetVictor
2.80
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
45.8%
@ 1.90-2.7%
No
54.2%
@ 1.79+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.90
BetVictor
1.90
No
Betfair
1.87
Betano
1.82
Unibet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 8.04+8.3%
1-0
12.9%@ 6.42+6.0%
0-0
11.2%@ 11.21+7.3%
2-0
10.0%@ 6.38+3.1%
2-1
8.9%@ 7.72+3.2%
0-1
7.6%@ 16.31+4.9%
1-2
5.6%@ 19.61+3.3%
3-0
4.7%@ 8.98-0.2%
Livingston goals ↓
Stenhousemuir goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
1
13%
14%
5.6%
1.6%
0.4%
2
10%
8.9%
3.9%
1.2%
0.3%
3
4.7%
4.2%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Livingston goals (down), columns = Stenhousemuir goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Partick
1.85
Livingston
1.73
Dunfermline
1.54
Arbroath
1.48
Raith Rovers
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen's Park
1.14
Ayr Utd
1.08
Morton
1.04
Inverness CT
0.99
Livingston is 0.48 points better than Stenhousemuir in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Livingston
1.52
Partick
1.50
Dunfermline
1.44
Arbroath
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Raith Rovers
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.06
Morton
1.00
Queen's Park
0.97
Inverness CT
0.87
Livingston is 0.27 goals better than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livingston
0.91
Partick
0.96
Stenhousemuir
1.00
Dunfermline
1.02
Arbroath
1.15
Raith Rovers
1.17
Ayr Utd
1.31
Queen's Park
1.33
Morton
1.38
Inverness CT
1.59
Livingston is 0.09 goals better than Stenhousemuir in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Livingston
For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stenhousemuir
For 4.9 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Livingston
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.2
10.5
3.4
3.5
3.2
25.4
27.6
23.5
vs Stronger (17)
11.7
12.0
11.4
4.8
4.9
4.6
25.4
26.9
23.9
vs Similar (31)
9.5
8.7
10.2
2.7
2.9
2.5
25.1
28.1
22.6
vs Weaker (2)
6.0
-
6.0
1.5
0.0
3.0
31.0
-
31.0
% over line
56%
50%
62%
50%
56%
44%
72%
83%
62%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
50%
44%
56%
28%
17%
38%
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stenhousemuir
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.4
8.7
3.6
3.4
3.9
27.1
27.9
26.3
vs Stronger (49)
8.5
8.4
8.7
3.7
3.5
3.9
27.1
27.9
26.3
vs Similar (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
35%
44%
56%
50%
62%
83%
88%
78%
% under line
60%
65%
56%
44%
50%
38%
17%
12%
22%
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Morton
10.9
Partick
10.4
Ayr Utd
10.0
Livingston
9.9
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.3
Inverness CT
9.1
Queen's Park
9.0
Stenhousemuir
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Stenhousemuir
4.8
Morton
4.5
Partick
4.4
Livingston
4.2
Ayr Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Arbroath
3.6
Inverness CT
3.2
Raith Rovers
3.0
Queen's Park
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stenhousemuir
25.4
Livingston
25.3
Ayr Utd
22.0
Morton
21.6
Inverness CT
21.6
Arbroath
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Partick
19.9
Queen's Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
41.7%
@ 1.66-14.0%
Under 9.5
58.3%
@ 2.09+14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Unibet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.25
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.12
Unibet
1.92
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.3%
Under 3.5
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Livingston or Draw
77.8%
Avg Implied 86.4% · @ 1.07
Edge
-8.6%
48%
30%
22%
covers Livingston + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Livingston or Stenhousemuir
70.4%
Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
-9.2%
48%
30%
22%
covers Livingston + Stenhousemuir
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Draw or Stenhousemuir
51.8%
Avg Implied 34.0% · @ 2.72
Edge
+17.8%
48%
30%
22%
covers Draw + Stenhousemuir
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.90
Betano
2.85
William Hil
2.80
BetVictor
2.70
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Livingston over/under 0.5
Over
75.8%
@ 1.09-9.8%
Under
24.2%
@ 6.44+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.10
10Bet
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Livingston over/under 1.5
Over
41.5%
@ 1.51-20.0%
Under
58.5%
@ 2.40+20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Livingston over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
@ 2.59-18.7%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.44+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.73
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.58
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Livingston over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
@ 4.92-13.2%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.14+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Unibet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5
Over
58.8%
@ 1.71+4.5%
Under
41.2%
@ 2.03-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.71
BetVictor
1.70
Under
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Unibet
2.04
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5
Over
22.3%
@ 4.44+1.4%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.17-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5
Over
6.1%
@ 10.92-2.5%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.03+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Bet365
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Stenhousemuir over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 21.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Livingston, so a minus line means Livingston give that many goals of a start and Stenhousemuir receive them. At -1, Livingston must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Livingston win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Livingston)
Livingston -2
9.4%
@ 3.80-14.2%
Draw -2
15.0%
@ 4.18-6.5%
Stenhousemuir +2
75.7%
@ 1.63+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.95
10Bet
3.95
Away
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Unibet
1.60
Handicap -1 (Livingston)
Livingston -1
24.3%
@ 2.10-18.0%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 3.54-1.3%
Stenhousemuir +1
51.8%
@ 2.74+19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.15
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Unibet
3.35
Away
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Unibet
2.70
Bet365
2.60
Marathonbet
2.60
Handicap +1 (Livingston)
Livingston +1
77.8%
@ 1.07-6.8%
Draw +1
14.4%
@ 8.75+4.1%
Stenhousemuir -1
7.8%
@ 18.00+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Away
Betfair
21.00
Bet365
15.00
Handicap +2 (Livingston)
Livingston +2
92.2%
@ 1.01-1.9%
Draw +2
5.8%
@ 22.00+1.5%
Stenhousemuir -2
2.0%
@ 61.00+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Draw
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Away
Betfair
81.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Livingston
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.75
0.94
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.38
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.80
0.36
0.82
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stenhousemuir
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.27
0.56
0.19
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (29)
0.79
0.28
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.36
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.32-2.1%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 3.11+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.49-4.8%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.48+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.57
Betfair
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Under
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 6.04-5.1%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.09+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.15
William Hil
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.9%
@ 1.55-10.0%
Under
50.1%
@ 2.31+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.54
1xBet
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Livingston over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.7%
@ 3.61-11.8%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.24+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.84
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Under
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
Livingston over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.1%
@ 9.00-8.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.03+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
8.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.5%
@ 3.11+3.7%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.32-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.39
10Bet
3.30
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.05
Under
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.30
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.9%
@ 11.38-0.3%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.02+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Livingston
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
1.00
0.69
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.65
0.73
0.64
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Stenhousemuir) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stenhousemuir
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.94
0.31
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (29)
0.69
0.41
0.87
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Livingston) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.18-1.2%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 4.28+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
Under
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.35
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.1%
@ 1.90-7.6%
Under 1.5
58.9%
@ 1.81+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
Under
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 3.87-7.1%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.22+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Livingston over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.1%
@ 1.35-14.6%
Under
45.9%
@ 2.97+14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
1xBet
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.10
Betano
2.92
1xBet
2.90
Livingston over/under 1.5 2H
Over
20.5%
@ 2.65-14.3%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.42+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.67
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.55
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Livingston over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.4%
@ 6.13-8.6%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.09+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Stenhousemuir over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.6%
@ 2.47+1.2%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.48-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Betano
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Under
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Stenhousemuir over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.6%
@ 9.01+0.3%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Stenhousemuir over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.1%
Under
97.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+7.0%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+8.2%
Under 5.5
97.0%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+7.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+13.2%
Away under 2.5 goals
93.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+2.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+8.6%
Home +2 handicap
92.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
-
-
-1.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+0.3%
Under 4.5
91.6%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.14
Pinnacle
1.14
+10.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
William Hil
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
+5.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.24
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.20
-
+11.8%
Over 2.5 cards
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.22
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+7.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
82.9%
1.44
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
+18.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.9%
1.41
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.40
Unibet
1.35
-
+14.9%
Under 3.5
79.8%
1.40
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Unibet
1.41
BetVictor
1.40
+13.7%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.5%
1.42
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.42
Superbet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
+14.3%
Home or Draw
77.8%
1.07
Betano
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
William Hil
1.08
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-8.6%
Home +1 handicap
77.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
-
-
-
-6.8%
Away under 1.5 goals
77.7%
1.17
Betano
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-1.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.2%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.17
-1.2%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
10Bet
1.08
-9.8%
Home or Away
70.4%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
-9.2%
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
1.71
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
+15.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Livingston · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jeremy Bokila22%
Connor McLennan19%
Lewis Smith17%
Robbie Muirhead15%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Brooklyn Kabongolo12%
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Stevie May6%
Mahamadou Susoho6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Mohammad Sylla3%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Connor McLennan38%
Mahamadou Susoho33%
Cristian Montaño27%
Adam Montgomery25%
Macaulay Tait24%
Emmanuel Danso23%
Danny Finlayson23%
Jeremy Bokila22%
Robbie Muirhead21%
Brooklyn Kabongolo19%
Stevie May18%
Ryan McGowan17%
Babacar Fati17%
Mohammad Sylla16%
Graham Carey14%
Scott Pittman14%
Joshua Zimmerman14%
Samson Lawal13%
Scott Arfield12%
Jérôme Prior11%
Cammy Kerr9%
Lewis Smith6%
Tete Yengi5%
Danny Wilson3%
Joshua Brenet0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Andy Winter0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jon Nouble0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Barrie McKay29%
Jon Nouble20%
Graham Carey14%
Adam Montgomery12%
Cristian Montaño12%
Macaulay Tait9%
Emmanuel Danso8%
Joshua Brenet7%
Robbie Muirhead6%
Stevie May6%
Scott Pittman6%
Lewis Smith6%
Ryan McGowan4%
Danny Finlayson3%
Jérôme Prior3%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Connor McLennan0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Babacar Fati0%
Tete Yengi0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Samson Lawal0%
Brooklyn Kabongolo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tete Yengi11%
Jon Nouble10%
Robbie Muirhead9%
Stevie May9%
Connor McLennan6%
Brooklyn Kabongolo6%
Lewis Smith6%
Cristian Montaño4%
Joshua Brenet0%
Scott Arfield0%
Jeremy Bokila0%
Mohammad Sylla0%
Barrie McKay0%
Andrew Shinnie0%
Shane Blaney0%
Graham Carey0%
Scott Pittman0%
Andy Winter0%
Cammy Kerr0%
Ryan McGowan0%
Danny Wilson0%
Alex Matthias Tamm0%
Jérôme Prior0%
Danny Finlayson0%
Joshua Zimmerman0%
Emmanuel Danso0%
Babacar Fati0%
Adam Montgomery0%
Mahamadou Susoho0%
Macaulay Tait0%
Samson Lawal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
STE (2)
€0m
Livingston's squad is €4m more valuable than Stenhousemuir's (€4m vs €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (9)
€2m
LIV (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
Livingston's attack is €1m more valuable than Stenhousemuir's (€1m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
Livingston's midfield is €1m more valuable than Stenhousemuir's (€1m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
Livingston's defence is €1m more valuable than Stenhousemuir's (€1m vs €0m).
Scotland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Partick
Raith Rovers
Arbroath
Ayr Utd
Dunfermline
Inverness CT
Morton
Queen's Park