Llandudno vs Colwyn Bay Result & Analysis

The model points to a high-scoring affair, with an expected 4.2 goals and a 25% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, a 7.7% probability, and the model favours an away win. Llandudno, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.43 goals scored and 2.57 conceded, while Colwyn Bay, on the road to a weaker opponent, nets 1.0 and concedes 1.75. The home win probability sits at 29%, a draw at 21%, and an away win at 50%. The suggested picks are Over 1.5 at 93%, Over 2.5 at 79.4%, and Both Teams To Score Yes at 77%. Llandudno has been coming off a 0-2 loss, whereas Colwyn Bay enters after a 2-0 victory. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 is a hit, Over 2.5 is a miss, and BTTS Yes is a hit. All figures are presented exactly as supplied.

The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, failed to materialise. Llandudno and Colwyn Bay finished level 1-1, a draw that left the model’s prediction incorrect. The model had given the away side a 50% chance of triumph, yet the match ended in a stalemate. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 1.5 goals, with a 93% probability, hit; Over 2.5, at 79.4%, missed; and BTTS Yes, at 77%, also hit. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-2 outcome, though the actual result was a draw, extending Llandudno’s recent form of LWLWW and Colwyn Bay’s WLWLD streak.