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Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2025
Time: 13:30
Final 1-2
Llantwit Major
Llantwit Major
vs
Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llantwit Major win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D42W42W21W11D01L01L12L10W01LH·TRE25/01A·CAE07/02H·PEN15/02H·CWM22/02A·PEN01/03H·BAG08/03A·CAM21/03A·NEW28/03H·CAE05/04A·CWM12/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.501.001.001.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.321.051.551.001.091.09
vs Weaker (8)1.121.381.401.000.672.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L32W02L01L03L12L01L12L32W11DH·BAR24/01A·BRI01/02A·FLI07/02H·NEW22/02A·GAP07/03A·BAR11/03H·BRI21/03H·FLI28/03A·NEW12/04H·GAP19/04← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.230.872.000.802.47
vs Stronger (16)1.062.561.142.571.002.56
vs Similar (14)0.571.860.621.500.502.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Llandudno
2.67
Trefelin
2.60
Cambrian & Clydach
2.53
Airbus UK
2.50
Holywell
2.00
Ammanford AFC
2.00
Caerau (Ely)
1.94
Newtown AFC
1.60
Rhyl
1.53
Carmarthen Town
1.50
Aberystwyth Town
1.47
Guilsfield
1.43
Mold Alexandra
1.37
Cardiff Draconians
1.33
Denbigh Town
1.33
Treowen Stars
1.23
Caersws
1.23
Llantwit Major
1.23
Brickfield Rangers
1.23
Newport City
1.23
Holyhead Hotspur
1.20
Penrhyncoch
1.17
Pontypridd Town
1.13
Afan Lido
1.00
Buckley Town
1.00
Trethomas Bluebirds
0.97
Flint Mountain
0.97
Gresford Athletic
0.93
Baglan Dragons
0.81
Ynyshir Albions
0.77
Ruthin Town
0.77
Cwmbran Celtic
0.33
Llantwit Major is 0.23 points worse than Aberystwyth Town in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airbus UK
3.10
Trefelin
2.77
Holywell
2.60
Llandudno
2.57
Cambrian & Clydach
2.50
Caerau (Ely)
2.16
Denbigh Town
1.73
Treowen Stars
1.70
Newtown AFC
1.70
Cardiff Draconians
1.67
Buckley Town
1.67
Guilsfield
1.67
Ammanford AFC
1.63
Gresford Athletic
1.57
Rhyl
1.53
Caersws
1.53
Pontypridd Town
1.53
Penrhyncoch
1.50
Trethomas Bluebirds
1.50
Carmarthen Town
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.47
Holyhead Hotspur
1.47
Brickfield Rangers
1.30
Flint Mountain
1.30
Mold Alexandra
1.27
Ruthin Town
1.20
Newport City
1.20
Aberystwyth Town
1.17
Afan Lido
1.07
Ynyshir Albions
0.90
Baglan Dragons
0.84
Cwmbran Celtic
0.83
Llantwit Major is 0.30 goals better than Aberystwyth Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Trefelin
0.57
Cambrian & Clydach
0.67
Llandudno
0.73
Airbus UK
0.73
Ammanford AFC
0.87
Caerau (Ely)
1.10
Aberystwyth Town
1.27
Carmarthen Town
1.27
Holywell
1.33
Mold Alexandra
1.50
Llantwit Major
1.57
Cardiff Draconians
1.60
Guilsfield
1.60
Newport City
1.60
Newtown AFC
1.63
Brickfield Rangers
1.63
Holyhead Hotspur
1.63
Caersws
1.70
Pontypridd Town
1.70
Baglan Dragons
1.71
Penrhyncoch
1.77
Rhyl
1.83
Ynyshir Albions
1.87
Afan Lido
1.90
Denbigh Town
1.97
Flint Mountain
2.03
Trethomas Bluebirds
2.07
Treowen Stars
2.10
Ruthin Town
2.13
Buckley Town
2.57
Cwmbran Celtic
2.60
Gresford Athletic
2.90
Llantwit Major is 0.30 goals worse than Aberystwyth Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W00D00D01L01L00D10W01LH·TRE25/01A·CAE07/02H·PEN15/02H·CWM22/02A·PEN01/03H·BAG08/03A·CAM21/03A·NEW28/03H·CAE05/04A·CWM12/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.690.560.290.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.450.550.640.550.270.55
vs Weaker (8)0.620.500.800.600.330.33
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D00D01L01L00D01L11D11DH·BAR24/01A·BRI01/02A·FLI07/02H·NEW22/02A·GAP07/03A·BAR11/03H·BRI21/03H·FLI28/03A·NEW12/04H·GAP19/04← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.400.800.401.00
vs Stronger (16)0.561.000.571.140.560.89
vs Similar (14)0.210.790.250.500.171.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llantwit Major over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llantwit Major over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llantwit Major over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D41W21W21W11D00D00D12L00D00DH·TRE25/01A·CAE07/02H·PEN15/02H·CWM22/02A·PEN01/03H·BAG08/03A·CAM21/03A·NEW28/03H·CAE05/04A·CWM12/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.810.440.710.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.860.500.910.450.820.55
vs Weaker (8)0.500.880.600.400.331.67
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aberystwyth Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L22D02L01L02L11D01L11D21W00DH·BAR24/01A·BRI01/02A·FLI07/02H·NEW22/02A·GAP07/03A·BAR11/03H·BRI21/03H·FLI28/03A·NEW12/04H·GAP19/04← Premier LeagueFAW Championship →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.330.471.200.401.47
vs Stronger (16)0.501.560.571.430.441.67
vs Similar (14)0.361.070.381.000.331.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Llantwit Major) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llantwit Major over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llantwit Major over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llantwit Major over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aberystwyth Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

No selections above 70% probability for this match.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (3)
€0m
NC (4)
€0m
HOL (3)
€0m
AT (2)
€0m
AA (3)
€0m
TRE (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HOL (1)
€0m
LLA (1)
€0m
RHY (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TRE (1)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
AU (0)
€0m
C&C (0)
€0m
LLA (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
NC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
C&C (4)
€0m
LLA (2)
€0m
NC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
HOL (1)
€0m
TRE (0)
€0m
RHY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LM wins
0
Draws
0
AT wins

Head-to-head

Llantwit Major vs Aberystwyth Town · H/A from LM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/25ACwmbran Celtic Vs LM1-0
05/04/25HLM Vs Caerau (Ely)1-0
28/03/25ANewport City Vs LM2-1
21/03/25ACambrian & Clydach Vs LM1-0
08/03/25HLM Vs Baglan Dragons0-1
01/03/25APenrhiwceiber Rangers Vs LM1-1
22/02/25HLM Vs Cwmbran Celtic2-1
15/02/25HLM Vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers4-2
07/02/25ACaerau (Ely) Vs LM2-4
25/01/25HLM Vs Trefelin0-0

Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25HAT Vs GAP Connah S Quay FC1-1
12/04/25ANewtown AFC Vs AT2-3
28/03/25HAT Vs Flint Town United1-2
21/03/25HAT Vs Briton Ferry0-1
11/03/25ABarry Town Vs AT2-1
07/03/25AGAP Connah S Quay FC Vs AT3-0
22/02/25HAT Vs Newtown AFC0-1
07/02/25AFlint Town United Vs AT2-0
01/02/25ABriton Ferry Vs AT2-3
24/01/25HAT Vs Barry Town1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llantwit Major
Llantwit Major
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.46
HomeDWWLW1.73
AwayWDLLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals2.622.542.71
Over 1.5 %68%65%71%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.381.541.21
Conceded1.241.001.50
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Aberystwyth Town
Aberystwyth Town
Wales: FAW Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD0.74
HomeLLLLD0.85
AwayWLLLW0.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%22%17%
AVG goals2.922.743.13
Over 1.5 %78%70%87%
Over 2.5 %58%52%65%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored0.921.000.83
Conceded2.001.742.30
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet12%19%4%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LlandudnoLlandudno3080
87%
2.7
7722+55
3.3
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.60.7
-
2TrefelinTrefelin3078
83%
2.6
8317+66
3.3
93%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.80.6
-
3Cambrian & ClydachCambrian & Clydach3076
80%
2.5
7520+55
3.2
87%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.50.7
-
4Airbus UKAirbus UK3075
80%
2.5
9322+71
3.8
93%
83%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.10.7
-
5HolywellHolywell3060
60%
2.0
7840+38
3.9
87%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.3
-
6Caerau (Ely)Caerau (Ely)3160
58%
1.9
6734+33
3.3
81%
61%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.1
-
7Ammanford AFCAmmanford AFC3060
57%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
8Newtown AFCNewtown AFC3048
50%
1.6
5149+2
3.3
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
9RhylRhyl3046
47%
1.5
4655-9
3.4
80%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
10Carmarthen TownCarmarthen Town3045
37%
1.5
4538+7
2.8
67%
37%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth Town3044
43%
1.5
3538-3
2.4
63%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
12GuilsfieldGuilsfield3043
43%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
77%
70%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
13Mold AlexandraMold Alexandra3041
40%
1.4
3845-7
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.5
-
14Cardiff DraconiansCardiff Draconians3040
40%
1.3
5048+2
3.3
77%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
15Denbigh TownDenbigh Town3040
40%
1.3
5259-7
3.7
87%
77%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
16Llantwit MajorLlantwit Major3037
30%
1.2
4447-3
3.0
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
17CaerswsCaersws3037
37%
1.2
4651-5
3.2
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
18Brickfield RangersBrickfield Rangers3037
37%
1.2
3949-10
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
19Treowen StarsTreowen Stars3037
33%
1.2
5163-12
3.8
90%
70%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
20Newport CityNewport City3037
30%
1.2
3648-12
2.8
70%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
21Holyhead HotspurHolyhead Hotspur3036
33%
1.2
4449-5
3.1
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
22PenrhyncochPenrhyncoch3035
33%
1.2
4553-8
3.3
80%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
23Pontypridd TownPontypridd Town3034
30%
1.1
4651-5
3.2
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.7
-
24Afan LidoAfan Lido3030
30%
1.0
3257-25
3.0
67%
53%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
25Buckley TownBuckley Town3030
30%
1.0
5077-27
4.2
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.6
-
26Trethomas BluebirdsTrethomas Bluebirds3029
20%
1.0
4562-17
3.6
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
27Flint MountainFlint Mountain3029
30%
1.0
3961-22
3.3
83%
73%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
28Gresford AthleticGresford Athletic3028
27%
0.9
4787-40
4.5
90%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.9
-
29Baglan DragonsBaglan Dragons3125
16%
0.8
2653-27
2.5
68%
48%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
30Ruthin TownRuthin Town3023
20%
0.8
3664-28
3.3
77%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.1
-
31Ynyshir AlbionsYnyshir Albions3023
17%
0.8
2756-29
2.8
80%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
32Cwmbran CelticCwmbran Celtic3010
3%
0.3
2578-53
3.4
83%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.6
-
Wales: FAW Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Wales: FAW Championship stats & trends →

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