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Llapi vs Ballkani Result & Analysis

Date: 04/12/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 0-3
Llapi
Llapi
Vs
25%
26%
49%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llapi win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani win✓ Hit
49.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D32W33D02L01L41W12L41W01L00DH·MAL01/10H·DRE09/10A·TRE16/10A·PRI22/10H·DUK26/10H·DRI30/10H·FER06/11A·BAL10/11H·GJI13/11A·MAL27/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.321.531.561.561.101.50
vs Stronger (2)2.002.504.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (17)1.241.411.251.621.221.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %16% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W11D01L01L22D14L20W30W11DA·DRE16/10H·TRE20/10A·DUK23/10H·SLA27/10A·CFR03/11A·DRI06/11H·LLA10/11H·FER13/11A·GJI27/11A·TRE30/11
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.031.600.931.871.13
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (20)1.901.201.901.301.901.10
vs Weaker (8)1.500.381.250.001.750.75
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
8.3%
0-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
Llapi goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
01234
06.7%8.5%8.3%4.8%2.0%
15.4%12%9.6%5.5%2.4%
23.8%6.5%5.6%3.2%1.4%
31.5%2.5%2.2%1.2%0.5%
40.4%0.7%0.6%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Llapi goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Llapi is 0.83 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 2.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.50 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Llapi is 0.50 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D01L01L00D41W01L20W00D00DH·MAL01/10H·DRE09/10A·TRE16/10A·PRI22/10H·DUK26/10H·DRI30/10H·FER06/11A·BAL10/11H·GJI13/11A·MAL27/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.790.890.560.301.00
vs Stronger (2)2.002.004.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (17)0.410.650.500.500.330.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D00D01L11D02L00D10WH·SIV13/10A·DRE16/10H·TRE20/10A·DUK23/10H·SLA27/10A·CFR03/11A·DRI06/11H·LLA10/11H·FER13/11A·GJI27/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.430.640.290.860.57
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.000.002.003.00
vs Similar (18)0.830.440.780.440.890.44
vs Weaker (8)0.500.120.500.000.500.25
Clean sheet %68% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W32W01L01L00D11D21W01L00DH·MAL01/10H·DRE09/10A·TRE16/10A·PRI22/10H·DUK26/10H·DRI30/10H·FER06/11A·BAL10/11H·GJI13/11A·MAL27/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.740.740.671.000.800.50
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.760.751.120.890.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W11D01L00D11D12L20W20WH·SIV13/10A·DRE16/10H·TRE20/10A·DUK23/10H·SLA27/10A·CFR03/11A·DRI06/11H·LLA10/11H·FER13/11A·GJI27/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.610.930.641.070.57
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (18)1.110.781.110.891.110.67
vs Weaker (8)1.000.250.750.001.250.50
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards80.2%--------
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%--------
Under 5.5 cards73.7%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ballkani
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Armend Thaqi50%
Ermal Krasniqi40%
Meriton Korenica33%
Arber Potoku20%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edvin Kuč67%
Egzon Sinani67%
Lindon Emërllahu50%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Meriton Korenica33%
Leotrim Bekteshi25%
Arber Potoku20%
Qendrim Zyba20%
Bajram Jashanica17%
Albin Berisha17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Armend Thaqi33%
Albion Rrahmani33%
Meriton Korenica17%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Ermal Krasniqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ermal Krasniqi40%
Meriton Korenica33%
Arber Potoku20%
Lukas Ferreira Cardoso0%
Stivi Frasheri0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Albin Berisha0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Leotrim Bekteshi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Astrit Thaqi0%
Albin Kapra0%
Egzon Sinani0%
Albion Rrahmani0%
Lindon Emërllahu0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Llapi's squad is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€5m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Llapi and Ballkani have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Llapi's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ballkani's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Llapi and Ballkani have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LLA wins
0
Draws
0
BAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Llapi vs Ballkani · H/A from LLA
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/22ABallkani Vs LLA1-4

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22AMalisheva Vs LLA0-0
13/11/22HLLA Vs Gjilani0-1
10/11/22ABallkani Vs LLA1-4
06/11/22HLLA Vs Ferizaj1-2
30/10/22HLLA Vs Drita4-1
26/10/22HLLA Vs Dukagjini0-1
22/10/22APrishtina Vs LLA2-0
16/10/22ATrepça'89 Vs LLA3-3
09/10/22HLLA Vs Drenica Skënderaj3-2
01/10/22HLLA Vs Malisheva1-1

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/22ATrepça'89 Vs BAL1-1
27/11/22AGjilani Vs BAL0-3
13/11/22HBAL Vs Ferizaj2-0
10/11/22HBAL Vs Llapi1-4
06/11/22ADrita Vs BAL2-2
03/11/22ACFR 1907 Cluj Vs BAL1-0
27/10/22HBAL Vs Slavia Praha0-1
23/10/22ADukagjini Vs BAL1-1
20/10/22HBAL Vs Trepça'892-0
16/10/22ADrenica Skënderaj Vs BAL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.11
HomeWLWLL1.00
AwayWDLWD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%22%30%
AVG goals2.843.112.60
Over 1.5 %74%78%70%
Over 2.5 %53%67%40%
Over 3.5 %37%44%30%
Scored1.321.561.10
Conceded1.531.561.50
BTTS58%78%40%
Clean Sheet16%0%30%
Corners9.5012.007.00
Cards6.505.008.00
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD1.83
HomeLWLLW1.93
AwayDLDWD1.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%60%47%
AVG goals2.772.533.00
Over 1.5 %77%73%80%
Over 2.5 %47%33%60%
Over 3.5 %27%20%33%
Scored1.731.601.87
Conceded1.030.931.13
BTTS50%40%60%
Clean Sheet40%47%33%
Corners9.009.178.83
Cards5.505.405.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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