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Llapi vs Ballkani Result & Analysis

Date: 09/03/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 2-0
Llapi
Llapi
Vs
30%
28%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llapi win✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ballkani win✗ Miss
41.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D42W01L03L00D12L11D14L02L11DH·PRI08/11A·BAL23/11H·DUK30/11A·GJI07/12H·MAL14/12A·FER20/12A·DRE07/02A·PRI15/02H·DRI22/02A·PRI28/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.541.231.001.65
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.441.561.731.181.211.86
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L24L32W61W31W00D21W12L12L10WA·DRE08/11H·LLA23/11A·DRI30/11H·PRI06/12H·PRI14/12A·DUK21/12A·GJI08/02H·MAL16/02A·FER22/02H·DRE01/03
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.201.931.001.731.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.671.391.601.301.751.50
vs Weaker (12)2.080.922.600.401.711.29
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%017%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
Under 2.5
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
Under 3.5
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.2%
No
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
Llapi goals ↓
Ballkani goals →
01234
08.5%9.2%7.5%3.6%1.3%
17.4%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
25.1%7.3%5.3%2.5%0.9%
32.0%2.9%2.1%1.0%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Llapi goals (down), columns = Ballkani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.21 points worse than Ballkani in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.40 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.69).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Llapi is 0.21 goals worse than Ballkani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W00D00D00D01L01L12L00D10WH·PRI08/11A·BAL23/11H·DUK30/11A·GJI07/12H·MAL14/12A·FER20/12A·DRE07/02A·PRI15/02H·DRI22/02A·PRI28/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.770.310.590.65
vs Stronger (4)0.000.250.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.800.560.910.360.710.71
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L31W30W31W00D10W12L12L00DA·DRE08/11H·LLA23/11A·DRI30/11H·PRI06/12H·PRI14/12A·DUK21/12A·GJI08/02H·MAL16/02A·FER22/02H·DRE01/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.701.000.730.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.940.891.001.100.880.62
vs Weaker (12)0.830.421.000.000.710.71
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L03L00D11D10W02L02L01LH·PRI08/11A·BAL23/11H·DUK30/11A·GJI07/12H·MAL14/12A·FER20/12A·DRE07/02A·PRI15/02H·DRI22/02A·PRI28/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.970.770.920.411.00
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.641.000.820.820.501.14
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballkani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BallkaniBallkani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L31W00D00D11D00D00D10WA·DRE08/11H·LLA23/11A·DRI30/11H·PRI06/12H·PRI14/12A·DUK21/12A·GJI08/02H·MAL16/02A·FER22/02H·DRE01/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.500.930.270.930.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.500.600.200.880.88
vs Weaker (12)1.250.501.600.401.000.57
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballkani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Ballkani · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Almir Kryeziu25%
Walid Hamidi20%
Edvin Kuč17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Walid Hamidi60%
Gentrit Halili40%
Lumbardh Dellova33%
Edvin Kuč33%
Arb Manaj33%
Almir Kryeziu25%
Lorenc Trashi17%
Enea Koliçi17%
Armend Thaqi17%
Vesel Limaj0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Arber Potoku0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Almir Kryeziu25%
Qendrim Zyba17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Almir Kryeziu25%
Nazmi Gripshi17%
Lorenc Trashi0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Enea Koliçi0%
Bajram Jashanica0%
Marsel Ismajlgeci0%
Lumbardh Dellova0%
Bleart Tolaj0%
Albin Berisha0%
Walid Hamidi0%
Arber Potoku0%
Edvin Kuč0%
Armend Thaqi0%
Qendrim Zyba0%
Arb Manaj0%
Gentrit Halili0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Llapi's squad is €2m less valuable than Ballkani's (€5m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Llapi and Ballkani have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Llapi's midfield is €1m less valuable than Ballkani's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Llapi and Ballkani have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
LLA wins
4
Draws
2
BAL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Llapi vs Ballkani · H/A from LLA
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25ABallkani Vs LLA2-4
21/09/25HLLA Vs Ballkani2-2
17/05/25ABallkani Vs LLA0-1
29/03/25HLLA Vs Ballkani1-1
14/12/24ABallkani Vs LLA2-1
06/10/24HLLA Vs Ballkani0-0
18/05/24HLLA Vs Ballkani0-1
16/03/24ABallkani Vs LLA0-0

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26APrishtina e Re Vs LLA1-1
22/02/26HLLA Vs Drita0-2
15/02/26APrishtina Vs LLA4-1
07/02/26ADrenica Skënderaj Vs LLA1-1
20/12/25AFerizaj Vs LLA2-1
14/12/25HLLA Vs Malisheva0-0
07/12/25AGjilani Vs LLA3-0
30/11/25HLLA Vs Dukagjini0-1
23/11/25ABallkani Vs LLA2-4
08/11/25HLLA Vs Prishtina e Re1-1

BallkaniBallkani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HBAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj1-0
22/02/26AFerizaj Vs BAL2-1
16/02/26HBAL Vs Malisheva1-2
08/02/26AGjilani Vs BAL1-2
21/12/25ADukagjini Vs BAL0-0
14/12/25HBAL Vs Prishtina3-1
06/12/25HBAL Vs Prishtina e Re6-1
30/11/25ADrita Vs BAL2-3
23/11/25HBAL Vs Llapi2-4
08/11/25ADrenica Skënderaj Vs BAL2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.14
HomeWDLDL1.48
AwayLLDLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%30%22%
AVG goals2.562.222.85
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %48%26%67%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.161.261.07
Conceded1.400.961.78
BTTS60%61%59%
Clean Sheet22%26%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Ballkani
Ballkani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.68
HomeLWWLW2.04
AwayLWDWL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%60%32%
AVG goals2.942.843.04
Over 1.5 %82%76%88%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %34%28%40%
Scored1.741.841.64
Conceded1.201.001.40
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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