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Llapi vs Drita Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-2
Llapi
Llapi
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llapi win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drita win✓ Hit
34.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L12L32W22D10W40W12L11D00DH·PRI26/02A·DRI04/03A·FER08/03H·BAL12/03A·GJI19/03H·MAL01/04H·DRE09/04A·TRE15/04H·DUK23/04A·PRI30/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.401.531.401.071.40
vs Stronger (3)1.332.334.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.301.301.361.431.231.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W11D10W00D30W11D00D10W30WA·FER25/02H·LLA04/03A·BAL09/03H·GJI12/03A·MAL18/03H·DRE02/04H·TRE08/04A·DUK16/04H·PRI22/04H·FER29/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.802.310.621.211.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.620.882.001.001.250.75
vs Weaker (14)2.000.712.620.251.171.33
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
1-0
9.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.7%
0-2 ✓
6.2%
Llapi goals ↓
Drita goals →
01234
09.7%8.9%6.2%2.5%0.8%
19.3%14%7.8%3.2%1.0%
26.7%8.1%4.9%2.0%0.6%
32.8%3.4%2.1%0.8%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Llapi goals (down), columns = Drita goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Ballkani
2.03
Drita
1.94
Gjilani
1.50
Dukagjini
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Malisheva
1.28
Llapi
1.19
Ferizaj
1.14
Trepça'89
1.11
Liria Prizren
1.00
Drenica Skënderaj
0.64
Llapi is 0.75 points worse than Drita in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 1.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Drita
1.75
Ballkani
1.72
Malisheva
1.44
Prishtina
1.28
Trepça'89
1.28
Llapi
1.22
Dukagjini
1.14
Gjilani
0.94
Ferizaj
0.84
Drenica Skënderaj
0.75
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.53 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liria Prizren
0.00
Drita
0.86
Ballkani
0.89
Gjilani
0.94
Prishtina
1.00
Dukagjini
1.03
Ferizaj
1.35
Llapi
1.39
Malisheva
1.44
Trepça'89
1.72
Drenica Skënderaj
1.72
Llapi is 0.53 goals worse than Drita in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 0.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D10W11D00D20W10W11D00DH·PRI26/02A·DRI04/03A·FER08/03H·BAL12/03A·GJI19/03H·MAL01/04H·DRE09/04A·TRE15/04H·DUK23/04A·PRI30/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.730.530.470.67
vs Stronger (3)1.331.334.001.000.001.50
vs Similar (27)0.520.520.500.500.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D11D10W00D00D11D00D10W00DA·FER25/02H·LLA04/03A·BAL09/03H·GJI12/03A·MAL18/03H·DRE02/04H·TRE08/04A·DUK16/04H·PRI22/04H·FER29/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.880.190.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.381.120.250.500.50
vs Weaker (14)0.570.360.620.120.500.67
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L01L22D11D10W20W02L00D00DH·PRI26/02A·DRI04/03A·FER08/03H·BAL12/03A·GJI19/03H·MAL01/04H·DRE09/04A·TRE15/04H·DUK23/04A·PRI30/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.800.870.600.73
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (27)0.780.780.860.930.690.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Drita) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DritaDrita

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W00D00D00D30W00D00D00D30WA·FER25/02H·LLA04/03A·BAL09/03H·GJI12/03A·MAL18/03H·DRE02/04H·TRE08/04A·DUK16/04H·PRI22/04H·FER29/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.440.440.710.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.810.500.880.750.750.25
vs Weaker (14)1.430.362.000.120.670.67
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drita over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Drita · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Arb Manaj29%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Liridon Balaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Vesel Limaj0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamadou Soumahoro60%
Blerton Sheji38%
Jorgo Pëllumbi25%
Vesel Limaj22%
Egzon Bejtulai20%
Albert Dabiqaj20%
Ilir Mustafa20%
Blerim Krasniqi14%
Besnik Krasniqi10%
Raddy Ovouka10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Mike Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Liridon Balaj22%
Besnik Krasniqi20%
Blerton Sheji12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Faton Maloku0%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Blerim Krasniqi0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Almir Ajzeraj0%
Albert Dabiqaj0%
Arb Manaj0%
Veton Tusha0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mamadou Soumahoro0%
Mike Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Blerim Krasniqi29%
Veton Tusha20%
Mamadou Soumahoro20%
Jorgo Pëllumbi12%
Vesel Limaj11%
Almir Ajzeraj10%
Albert Dabiqaj10%
Faton Maloku0%
Kristal Abazaj0%
Besnik Krasniqi0%
Egzon Bejtulai0%
Rron Broja0%
Liridon Balaj0%
Blerton Sheji0%
Arb Manaj0%
Ilir Mustafa0%
Raddy Ovouka0%
Mike Arthur0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Llapi's squad is €4m less valuable than Drita's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Llapi and Drita have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Llapi's midfield is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Llapi's defence is €1m less valuable than Drita's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
LLA wins
0
Draws
2
DRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Llapi vs Drita · H/A from LLA
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23ADrita Vs LLA2-0
30/10/22HLLA Vs Drita4-1
03/09/22ADrita Vs LLA4-0

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/23APrishtina Vs LLA0-0
23/04/23HLLA Vs Dukagjini1-1
15/04/23ATrepça'89 Vs LLA2-1
09/04/23HLLA Vs Drenica Skënderaj4-0
01/04/23HLLA Vs Malisheva1-0
19/03/23AGjilani Vs LLA2-2
12/03/23HLLA Vs Ballkani3-2
08/03/23AFerizaj Vs LLA2-1
04/03/23ADrita Vs LLA2-0
26/02/23HLLA Vs Prishtina0-2

DritaDrita

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23HDRI Vs Ferizaj3-0
22/04/23HDRI Vs Prishtina1-0
16/04/23ADukagjini Vs DRI0-0
08/04/23HDRI Vs Trepça'891-1
02/04/23HDRI Vs Drenica Skënderaj3-0
18/03/23AMalisheva Vs DRI0-0
12/03/23HDRI Vs Gjilani1-0
09/03/23ABallkani Vs DRI1-1
04/03/23HDRI Vs Llapi2-0
25/02/23AFerizaj Vs DRI2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.27
HomeLWWWD1.38
AwayLLDLD1.18
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%38%29%
AVG goals2.673.002.35
Over 1.5 %73%81%65%
Over 2.5 %52%62%41%
Over 3.5 %30%38%24%
Scored1.271.561.00
Conceded1.391.441.35
BTTS52%62%41%
Clean Sheet24%12%35%
Corners9.5012.007.00
Cards6.505.008.00
Drita
Drita
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.91
HomeWWDWW2.44
AwayWLDDD1.35
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%78%29%
AVG goals2.512.892.12
Over 1.5 %69%78%59%
Over 2.5 %49%61%35%
Over 3.5 %29%33%24%
Scored1.692.221.12
Conceded0.830.671.00
BTTS49%44%53%
Clean Sheet43%50%35%
Corners9.259.009.50
Cards4.755.504.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BallkaniBallkani3673
56%
2.0
6232+30
2.6
78%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.70.9
-
2DritaDrita3670
56%
1.9
6331+32
2.6
72%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.80.9
-
3GjilaniGjilani3654
36%
1.5
3434+0
1.9
56%
25%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2120.90.9
-
4DukagjiniDukagjini3650
39%
1.4
4137+4
2.2
58%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.11.0
-
5PrishtinaPrishtina3648
33%
1.3
4636+10
2.3
67%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.31.0
-
6MalishevaMalisheva3646
33%
1.3
5252+0
2.9
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.4
-
7LlapiLlapi3643
31%
1.2
4450-6
2.6
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.4
-
8FerizajFerizaj3742
27%
1.1
3150-19
2.2
68%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
9TrepçaTrepça'893640
28%
1.1
4662-16
3.0
72%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
10Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3623
17%
0.6
2762-35
2.5
64%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.7
-
11Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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