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Llapi vs Gjilani Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Llapi
Llapi
Vs
44%
30%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Llapi win✓ Hit
44.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gjilani win✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L10W31W00D00D03L11D01L22D13LA·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09A·DUK25/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.271.080.691.001.71
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.000.500.502.00
vs Similar (25)1.121.321.090.731.141.79
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D22D11D02L31W13L10W01LH·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09H·DRE25/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.201.120.881.291.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.201.201.120.881.291.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.8%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
Llapi goals ↓
Gjilani goals →
01234
011%8.0%4.7%1.6%0.4%
111%14%6.4%2.2%0.5%
28.8%8.8%4.4%1.5%0.4%
34.0%4.0%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.4%1.4%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Llapi goals (down), columns = Gjilani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.50
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Ferizaj
1.00
Prishtina e Re
0.80
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.01 points worse than Gjilani in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Ferizaj
1.11
Prishtina e Re
1.03
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Liria Prizren
0.00
Llapi is 0.01 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Dinamo Ferizaj
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Ferizaj
1.53
Prishtina e Re
1.71
Liria Prizren
2.00
Llapi is 0.02 goals worse than Gjilani in terms of goals conceded per game (1.35 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W20W00D00D01L00D01L11D11DA·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09A·DUK25/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.370.640.070.440.62
vs Stronger (4)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.440.670.080.460.77
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D01L10W01L20W11D00D00DH·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09H·DRE25/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.630.310.310.431.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.370.630.310.310.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D11D00D00D02L11D00D11D02LA·SUH11/05A·BAL17/05H·DUK25/05A·VUS31/05A·DRE17/08A·PRI24/08H·DRI01/09A·PRI14/09H·BAL21/09A·DUK25/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.430.640.561.06
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.500.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.840.420.670.691.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Gjilani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GjilaniGjilani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D21W01L01L11D02L10W01LH·MAL06/05A·PRI11/05H·DRI17/05A·FER25/05H·BAL18/08A·DUK24/08H·PRI31/08H·MAL14/09A·FER21/09H·DRE25/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.810.560.860.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.570.810.560.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gjilani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
Llapi and Gjilani have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
DS (5)
€0m
Llapi and Gjilani have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
DS (1)
€0m
Llapi and Gjilani have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
DS (2)
€0m
Llapi and Gjilani have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
LLA wins
2
Draws
2
GJI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Llapi vs Gjilani · H/A from LLA
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/25AGjilani Vs LLA2-3
08/02/25HLLA Vs Gjilani0-1
26/10/24AGjilani Vs LLA2-1
10/08/24HLLA Vs Gjilani1-1
09/05/24AGjilani Vs LLA1-1
09/03/24HLLA Vs Gjilani2-1
26/11/23AGjilani Vs LLA0-2
23/09/23HLLA Vs Gjilani2-1

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/25ADukagjini Vs LLA3-1
21/09/25HLLA Vs Ballkani2-2
14/09/25APrishtina e Re Vs LLA1-0
01/09/25HLLA Vs Drita1-1
24/08/25APrishtina Vs LLA3-0
17/08/25ADrenica Skënderaj Vs LLA0-0
31/05/25AVushtrria Vs LLA0-0
25/05/25HLLA Vs Dukagjini3-1
17/05/25ABallkani Vs LLA0-1
11/05/25ASuhareka Vs LLA4-2

GjilaniGjilani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/09/25HGJI Vs Drenica Skënderaj0-1
21/09/25AFerizaj Vs GJI0-1
14/09/25HGJI Vs Malisheva1-3
31/08/25HGJI Vs Prishtina3-1
24/08/25ADukagjini Vs GJI2-0
18/08/25HGJI Vs Ballkani1-1
25/05/25AFerizaj Vs GJI2-2
17/05/25HGJI Vs Drita0-0
11/05/25APrishtina Vs GJI1-2
06/05/25HGJI Vs Malisheva0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.16
HomeDDWDD1.42
AwayDDLLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.401.882.88
Over 1.5 %64%58%69%
Over 2.5 %44%25%62%
Over 3.5 %28%17%38%
Scored1.101.081.12
Conceded1.300.791.77
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet32%38%27%
Corners11.5014.009.00
Cards4.503.505.50
Gjilani
Gjilani
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.46
HomeDDWLL1.50
AwayWWDLW1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals2.642.193.12
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%38%67%
Over 3.5 %28%12%46%
Scored1.361.191.54
Conceded1.281.001.58
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3666
56%
1.8
5035+15
2.4
75%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.41.0
-
2MalishevaMalisheva3659
50%
1.6
5850+8
3.0
83%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
3BallkaniBallkani3658
47%
1.6
6141+20
2.8
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.71.1
-
4LlapiLlapi3752
38%
1.4
4850-2
2.6
73%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.4
-
5DukagjiniDukagjini3651
36%
1.4
4236+6
2.2
69%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.21.0
-
6GjilaniGjilani3651
39%
1.4
4748-1
2.6
78%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj3550
43%
1.4
4652-6
2.8
66%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.5
-
8PrishtinaPrishtina3649
36%
1.4
5251+1
2.9
78%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.41.4
-
9FerizajFerizaj3636
25%
1.0
4055-15
2.6
78%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
10Prishtina e RePrishtina e Re3528
20%
0.8
3660-24
2.7
74%
46%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
11Dinamo FerizajDinamo Ferizaj23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
12Liria PrizrenLiria Prizren10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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