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Llapi vs Prishtina Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
Llapi
Llapi
Vs
40%
37%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Prishtina
Prishtina
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Llapi win✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Prishtina win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W12L20W11D13L32W10W31WH·MAL22/02A·PRI03/03H·DRI08/03A·FER11/03H·SUH16/03H·BAL29/03A·DUK06/04A·GJI13/04H·FER16/04A·MAL19/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.100.930.531.331.67
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.000.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.151.110.920.621.361.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D11D01L11D21W01L40W02L00DA·FER23/02H·LLA03/03A·BAL08/03H·DUK12/03A·GJI15/03H·FER28/03A·MAL04/04A·SUH12/04A·DRI17/04H·FER20/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.031.330.871.071.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.201.031.330.871.071.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%15%22%30%21%030%127%214%36%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.2%
Under 1.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.0%
Under 2.5
78.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.1%
Under 3.5
91.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
30.9%
No
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
21.2%
1-0
17.8%
1-1 ✓
13.8%
0-1
11.9%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-2
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
Llapi goals ↓
Prishtina goals →
01234
021%12%4.3%1.0%0.2%
118%14%4.1%0.9%0.1%
29.1%6.0%2.0%0.4%0.1%
32.9%1.9%0.6%0.1%0.0%
40.7%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Llapi goals (down), columns = Prishtina goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
2.06
Ballkani
1.67
Malisheva
1.47
Gjilani
1.42
Ferizaj
1.39
Prishtina
1.33
Dukagjini
1.33
Llapi
1.30
Suhareka
1.19
Vushtrria
1.00
Feronikeli
0.44
Llapi is 0.04 points worse than Prishtina in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.33).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.64
Drita
1.64
Suhareka
1.36
Gjilani
1.33
Malisheva
1.22
Prishtina
1.17
Ferizaj
1.17
Llapi
1.14
Dukagjini
0.97
Feronikeli
0.69
Vushtrria
0.00
Llapi is 0.03 goals worse than Prishtina in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vushtrria
0.00
Drita
0.72
Prishtina
1.00
Malisheva
1.08
Llapi
1.11
Ballkani
1.11
Dukagjini
1.25
Ferizaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Feronikeli
1.72
Suhareka
1.72
Llapi is 0.11 goals worse than Prishtina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D10W10W10W01L00D10W20WA·FER16/02H·MAL22/02A·PRI03/03H·DRI08/03H·SUH16/03H·BAL29/03A·DUK06/04A·GJI13/04H·FER16/04A·MAL19/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.300.440.060.430.57
vs Stronger (4)0.750.000.670.001.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.380.350.380.080.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L10W11D01L10W02L00DA·FER23/02H·LLA03/03A·BAL08/03H·DUK12/03A·GJI15/03H·FER28/03A·MAL04/04A·SUH12/04A·DRI17/04H·FER20/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.530.470.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.530.600.530.470.530.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LlapiLlapi

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D00D10W01L12L32W00D11DA·FER16/02H·MAL22/02A·PRI03/03H·DRI08/03H·SUH16/03H·BAL29/03A·DUK06/04A·GJI13/04H·FER16/04A·MAL19/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.560.560.931.07
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.670.670.003.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.730.540.541.000.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Prishtina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PrishtinaPrishtina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D11D00D01L10W00D30W00D00DA·FER23/02H·LLA03/03A·BAL08/03H·DUK12/03A·GJI15/03H·FER28/03A·MAL04/04A·SUH12/04A·DRI17/04H·FER20/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.430.800.400.530.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.670.430.800.400.530.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Llapi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Llapi over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Llapi over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Prishtina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.591.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.578.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
VUS (3)
€0m
Llapi's squad is €2m less valuable than Prishtina's (€5m vs €6m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
VUS (0)
€0m
Llapi's attack is €2m less valuable than Prishtina's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Llapi and Prishtina have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Llapi and Prishtina have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
LLA wins
6
Draws
1
PRI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Llapi vs Prishtina · H/A from LLA
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/25APrishtina Vs LLA0-0
10/11/24HLLA Vs Prishtina1-1
31/08/24APrishtina Vs LLA3-2
28/04/24APrishtina Vs LLA0-2
25/02/24HLLA Vs Prishtina0-0
05/11/23APrishtina Vs LLA2-2
03/09/23HLLA Vs Prishtina0-0
30/04/23APrishtina Vs LLA0-0

LlapiLlapi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AMalisheva Vs LLA1-3
16/04/25HLLA Vs Feronikeli1-0
13/04/25AGjilani Vs LLA2-3
06/04/25ADukagjini Vs LLA3-1
29/03/25HLLA Vs Ballkani1-1
16/03/25HLLA Vs Suhareka2-0
11/03/25AFerizaj Vs LLA2-1
08/03/25HLLA Vs Drita1-0
03/03/25APrishtina Vs LLA0-0
22/02/25HLLA Vs Malisheva0-0

PrishtinaPrishtina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/25HPRI Vs Ferizaj0-0
17/04/25ADrita Vs PRI2-0
12/04/25ASuhareka Vs PRI0-4
04/04/25AMalisheva Vs PRI1-0
28/03/25HPRI Vs Feronikeli2-1
15/03/25AGjilani Vs PRI1-1
12/03/25HPRI Vs Dukagjini0-1
08/03/25ABallkani Vs PRI1-1
03/03/25HPRI Vs Llapi0-0
23/02/25AFerizaj Vs PRI1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Llapi
Llapi
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.42
HomeDWWDW1.60
AwayDLLWW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%40%36%
AVG goals2.321.762.88
Over 1.5 %64%48%80%
Over 2.5 %44%28%60%
Over 3.5 %22%12%32%
Scored1.221.081.36
Conceded1.100.681.52
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners11.5014.009.00
Cards4.503.505.50
Prishtina
Prishtina
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.32
HomeDDLWD1.60
AwayDDLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.082.441.72
Over 1.5 %58%68%48%
Over 2.5 %36%44%28%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.161.520.80
Conceded0.920.920.92
BTTS38%40%36%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DritaDrita3674
61%
2.1
5926+33
2.4
69%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3231.60.7
-
2BallkaniBallkani3660
44%
1.7
5940+19
2.8
72%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.1
-
3MalishevaMalisheva3653
39%
1.5
4439+5
2.3
61%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.1
-
4GjilaniGjilani3651
36%
1.4
4847+1
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.31.3
-
5FerizajFerizaj3650
39%
1.4
4247-5
2.5
69%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
6PrishtinaPrishtina3648
31%
1.3
4236+6
2.2
61%
39%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4121.21.0
-
7LlapiLlapi3748
32%
1.3
4241+1
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.1
-
8DukagjiniDukagjini3648
36%
1.3
3545-10
2.2
67%
44%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.01.2
-
9SuharekaSuhareka3643
33%
1.2
4962-13
3.1
89%
72%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10FeronikeliFeronikeli3616
8%
0.4
2562-37
2.4
67%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.7
-
11VushtrriaVushtrria11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

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