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Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas Result & Analysis

Date: 25/07/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Vs
35%
29%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L10W21W03L22D03L13L25L03LA·ETA14/03H·MAR21/03A·SPO29/03H·SEV04/04A·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.671.001.211.062.06
vs Stronger (10)0.702.300.601.600.803.00
vs Similar (20)1.201.351.221.001.181.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D01L20W00D31W11D03L10W23LA·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.031.310.691.501.43
vs Stronger (1)2.003.002.003.00--
vs Similar (29)1.380.971.270.531.501.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.9%
Under 1.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-0
6.2%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals ↓
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals →
01234
08.5%8.3%6.3%2.8%0.9%
18.2%14%8.2%3.6%1.2%
26.2%8.1%5.4%2.4%0.8%
32.7%3.5%2.3%1.0%0.3%
40.9%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals (down), columns = Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fratria
2.00
Vihren
2.00
CSKA Sofia II
1.83
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.83
Beroe
1.67
Yantra 2019
1.67
Montana
1.67
Nesebar
1.67
Ludogorets II
1.33
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.33
Marek
1.17
Spartak Pleven
1.17
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.17
Hebar 1918
1.14
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Sportist Svoge
1.00
Dobrudzha
0.83
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.17 points worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nesebar
2.17
Montana
2.00
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
2.00
Vihren
1.83
Hebar 1918
1.71
CSKA Sofia II
1.67
Beroe
1.50
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.17
Dobrudzha
1.17
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.83
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
0.83
Rilski Sportist
0.83
Sportist Svoge
0.50
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.50
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.17 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.67
Sportist Svoge
0.67
Marek
1.00
Beroe
1.00
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.17
Ludogorets II
1.17
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.17
Dobrudzha
1.33
Montana
1.33
Spartak Pleven
1.50
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.50
Nesebar
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.86
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.67
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.83 goals worse than Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D10W01L22D02L02L14L01LA·ETA14/03H·MAR21/03A·SPO29/03H·SEV04/04A·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.900.570.570.501.19
vs Stronger (10)0.401.400.600.800.202.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.650.560.440.640.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W00D21W10W01L00D02LA·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.880.310.710.71
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.790.480.870.270.710.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D10W11D02L00D01L11D11D02LA·ETA14/03H·MAR21/03A·SPO29/03H·SEV04/04A·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.430.640.560.88
vs Stronger (10)0.300.900.000.800.601.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.700.670.560.550.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chernomorets 1919 Burgas) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L10W00D10W01L02L10W21WA·VIH21/03H·DUN29/03A·BEL04/04H·PIR09/04H·LUD16/04A·HEB27/04H·ETA03/05A·MAR11/05H·SPO15/05A·SEV23/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.440.380.790.71
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (29)0.590.480.400.270.790.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
LGO wins
2
Draws
0
C1B wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas · H/A from LGO
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs LGO0-0
23/08/25HLGO Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas0-0

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HLGO Vs CSKA Sofia II0-3
15/05/26ASpartak Pleven Vs LGO5-2
11/05/26ALudogorets II Vs LGO3-1
25/04/26AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LGO3-0
17/04/26HLGO Vs Yantra 20192-2
09/04/26AFratria Vs LGO3-0
04/04/26HLGO Vs Sevlievo2-1
29/03/26ASportist Svoge Vs LGO0-1
21/03/26HLGO Vs Marek0-1
14/03/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs LGO2-1

Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ASevlievo Vs C1B3-2
15/05/26HC1B Vs Sportist Svoge1-0
11/05/26AMarek Vs C1B3-0
03/05/26HC1B Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-1
27/04/26AHebar 1918 Vs C1B1-3
16/04/26HC1B Vs Ludogorets II0-0
09/04/26HC1B Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-0
04/04/26ABelasitsa Vs C1B1-0
29/03/26HC1B Vs Dunav Ruse1-1
21/03/26AVihren Vs C1B0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.20
HomeLLWDL1.56
AwayWLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%48%16%
AVG goals2.542.402.68
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.121.320.92
Conceded1.421.081.76
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.46
HomeDWDDW1.70
AwayWLWLL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%41%30%
AVG goals2.482.372.61
Over 1.5 %76%81%70%
Over 2.5 %38%30%48%
Over 3.5 %20%15%26%
Scored1.461.591.30
Conceded1.020.781.30
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet36%44%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
2VihrenVihren612
50%
2.0
116+5
2.8
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.0
-
3Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo611
50%
1.8
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.2
-
4CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II611
50%
1.8
106+4
2.7
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
5NesebarNesebar610
50%
1.7
139+4
3.7
83%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.5
-
6MontanaMontana610
50%
1.7
128+4
3.3
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.01.3
-
7BeroeBeroe610
50%
1.7
96+3
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 2019610
50%
1.7
77+0
2.3
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.21.2
-
9Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas68
33%
1.3
64+2
1.7
50%
17%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.7
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
83%
17%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.81.2
-
12MarekMarek67
33%
1.2
66+0
2.0
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.0
-
13Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven67
33%
1.2
69-3
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa67
33%
1.2
59-4
2.3
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.5
-
15Rilski SportistRilski Sportist66
17%
1.0
56-1
1.8
50%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge66
17%
1.0
34-1
1.2
17%
17%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.50.7
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha65
17%
0.8
78-1
2.5
50%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad60
0%
0.0
322-19
4.2
83%
83%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.53.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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