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Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 2-1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Vs
29%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Etar Veliko Tarnovo is the favourite to win this match, with Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's recent form a storyline to consider. The team has struggled, with two consecutive defeats, after a 0-2 loss to Fratria. Meanwhile, Etar Veliko Tarnovo is on a three-game winning run, following a 1-0 victory over Marek.

The model predicts an away win, with a 44% probability, and a 28% chance of a draw. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa has a 28% chance of winning. The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most likely outcome being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.1% probability.

At home, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa scores an average of 1.5 goals and concedes 1.12. Away from home, Etar Veliko Tarnovo scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1.44.

The model's selection is the away win, with a 44% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, with a 77% probability, and Under 3.5, with a 70.6% probability. Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa has a 28% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 44% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The upset came as Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa won 2-1, extending their two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, was wrong, with a 44 % probability. The final result was a home victory. All the model’s suggested picks were settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.1 %, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 96.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.3 %, Under 5.5 hit at 94.0 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.0 %, and Home under 1.5 HT goals hit at 89.3 %. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no other figures were repeated.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win✓ Hit
28.5%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.45
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.28
William Hil
3.25
Pinnacle
3.20
Draw✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.37
Edge
+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.50
Betano
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.39
Etar Veliko Tarnovo win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.00
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Superbet
2.05
Dafabet
2.04
Betano
2.02

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L22D03L13L25L03L11D12L02L10WA·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05H·CHE25/07A·LUD03/08H·FRA09/08A·SPA16/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.731.001.331.002.13
vs Stronger (10)0.402.300.201.600.603.00
vs Similar (20)1.301.451.401.201.201.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W32W11D01L10W01L51W21W10W11DA·BEL17/04H·PIR25/04A·CHE03/05H·HEB10/05H·LUD15/05A·MAR23/05A·NES25/07H·YAN03/08H·MAR07/08H·RIL15/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.401.761.061.231.85
vs Stronger (4)2.252.503.002.001.503.00
vs Similar (26)1.421.231.600.931.181.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.0%
@ 1.17-0.4%
Under 1.5
23.0%
@ 4.02+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Superbet
3.85
Unibet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.69-2.9%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.08
Marathonbet
2.08
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
@ 2.63-5.2%
Under 3.5
70.6%
@ 1.39+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Under
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.0%
@ 1.56-2.6%
No
44.0%
@ 2.22+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.63
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Marathonbet
1.54
No
BetVictor
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.25

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%@ 6.22+7.0%
1-2
9.2%@ 7.90+4.3%
0-1
8.8%@ 8.47+4.3%
0-0
7.7%@ 11.71+4.4%
0-2
7.7%@ 10.11+3.9%
2-1 ✓
7.2%@ 9.84+3.3%
1-0
6.6%@ 10.30+2.9%
2-2
5.5%@ 10.74+1.9%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals ↓
Etar Veliko Tarnovo goals →
01234
07.7%8.8%7.7%3.9%1.5%
16.6%13%9.2%4.7%1.8%
24.7%7.2%5.5%2.8%1.1%
31.9%2.9%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals (down), columns = Etar Veliko Tarnovo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.14 points worse than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of average points per game (1.43 vs 1.57).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.86 goals worse than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.29 goals better than Etar Veliko Tarnovo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or Draw✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.64
Edge
+0.5%
29%
28%
44%
covers Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Unibet
1.70
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa or Etar Veliko Tarnovo✓ Hit
72.4%
Avg Implied 73.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
-0.7%
29%
28%
44%
covers Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa + Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Draw or Etar Veliko Tarnovo✗ Miss
71.5%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.2%
29%
28%
44%
covers Draw + Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.9%
@ 1.32+1.3%
Under
30.1%
@ 2.88-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.36
1xBet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.14
Unibet
2.63
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
33.7%
@ 2.51-2.8%
Under
66.3%
@ 1.44+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.51
1xBet
2.51
Pinnacle
2.51
Under
Pinnacle
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 6.20-2.6%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.06+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.20
Marathonbet
6.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.5%
@ 1.13-2.1%
Under
21.5%
@ 4.70+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.70
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 1.83-4.6%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.83+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Unibet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Unibet
1.77
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 3.60-5.1%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.21+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, so a minus line means Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa give that many goals of a start and Etar Veliko Tarnovo receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa)Actual: Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa -2
3.9%
Draw -2
8.3%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo +2
87.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa)Actual: Draw
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa -1
12.2%
@ 6.42-1.6%
Draw -1
16.3%
@ 4.85-2.0%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo +1
71.5%
@ 1.31+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
5.75
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa)Actual: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa +1
56.1%
@ 1.68+5.2%
Draw +1
21.2%
@ 3.58-2.6%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo -1
22.7%
@ 3.38-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.70
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Draw
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.10
Away
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
2.90
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa)Actual: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa +2
77.3%
@ 1.22+4.0%
Draw +2
13.6%
@ 6.05-1.2%
Etar Veliko Tarnovo -2
9.1%
@ 7.50-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Away
Marathonbet
7.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L22D02L02L14L01L00D12L02L10WA·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05H·CHE25/07A·LUD03/08H·FRA09/08A·SPA16/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.030.530.670.531.40
vs Stronger (10)0.201.400.200.800.202.00
vs Similar (20)0.700.850.700.600.701.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W01L00D00D01L31W01L00D10WA·BEL17/04H·PIR25/04A·CHE03/05H·HEB10/05H·LUD15/05A·MAR23/05A·NES25/07H·YAN03/08H·MAR07/08H·RIL15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.650.470.461.08
vs Stronger (4)1.251.502.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.620.470.400.450.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.31+0.0%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 3.00-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Pinnacle
2.78
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.38-3.5%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.46+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.45
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.38
Under
Betfair
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.9%
@ 5.63-3.5%
Under 2.5
87.1%
@ 1.10+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
5.40
William Hil
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.5%
@ 2.13-1.3%
Under
58.5%
@ 1.60+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.7%
@ 7.70-1.1%
Under
89.3%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
1xBet
7.70
Under
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.7%
@ 1.74-3.7%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.92+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 5.10-2.9%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.11+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L11D11D02L11D00D00D00DA·FRA09/04H·YAN17/04A·FK 25/04A·LUD11/05A·SPA15/05H·CSK23/05H·CHE25/07A·LUD03/08H·FRA09/08A·SPA16/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.470.670.470.73
vs Stronger (10)0.200.900.000.800.401.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.600.700.600.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Etar Veliko Tarnovo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D10W01L10W00D20W20W10W01LA·BEL17/04H·PIR25/04A·CHE03/05H·HEB10/05H·LUD15/05A·MAR23/05A·NES25/07H·YAN03/08H·MAR07/08H·RIL15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.120.590.770.77
vs Stronger (4)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.960.621.130.530.730.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Etar Veliko Tarnovo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.594.0%1.03
Betfair
1.03
----+4.1%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.3%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
---+1.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.0%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+2.6%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap87.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals87.1%1.10
William Hil
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Betfair
1.08
--+3.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.585.8%1.12
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
--+4.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals85.0%1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
---+2.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals80.0%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals78.5%1.13
1xBet
1.13
-----2.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap77.3%1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
----+4.0%✓ Hit
Over 1.577.0%1.17
Unibet
1.21
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-0.4%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.4%1.25
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-0.7%✓ Hit
Draw or Away71.5%1.28
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.29
+0.2%✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap71.5%1.31
10Bet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.24
---+3.6%✗ Miss
Under 3.570.6%1.39
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+5.2%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Etar Veliko Tarnovo · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Martin Toshev33%
Ivan Vasilev30%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Martin Moran9%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Nikolay Yankov0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Jean-Marc Tiboué0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gorka Larrucea50%
Martin Moran36%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez33%
Valeri Hristov33%
Krum Stoyanov33%
Martin Toshev33%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina33%
Josecarlos van Rankin29%
Dimo Bakalov25%
Yanko Angelov25%
Kelyan Guessoum25%
Ivan Vasilev20%
Kolyo Stanev20%
Kristijan Sekulic20%
Jean-Marc Tiboué20%
Georgi Aleksandrov17%
Moses Enokela Candidus17%
Nikolay Yankov14%
Martin Nikolov11%
Lovre Knežević11%
Georgi Angelov0%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Yankov14%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Jean-Marc Tiboué10%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Ivan Vasilev0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Martin Toshev0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Martin Moran0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joachim Carcela-Gonzalez11%
Ivan Vasilev10%
Didis Lutumba-Pitah10%
Dimo Bakalov0%
Nikolay Yankov0%
Martin Nikolov0%
Valeri Hristov0%
Georgi Angelov0%
Kolyo Stanev0%
Krum Stoyanov0%
Yanko Angelov0%
Lovre Knežević0%
Kelyan Guessoum0%
Josecarlos van Rankin0%
Ivailo Dimitrov0%
Martin Velichkov0%
Chahreddine Boukholda0%
Martin Toshev0%
Aleksandar Mishov0%
Gorka Larrucea0%
Vladislav Naydenov0%
Kristijan Sekulic0%
Jaisen Clifford0%
Jean-Marc Tiboué0%
Martin Moran0%
Georgi Aleksandrov0%
Moses Enokela Candidus0%
Luis Mario Córdova Mina0%
Atanas Atanasov0%
Serigne Mbacke Faye0%
Radoslav Naydenov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa's squad is €1m less valuable than Etar Veliko Tarnovo's (€1m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Etar Veliko Tarnovo have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
LGO wins
1
Draws
2
EVT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo · H/A from LGO
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs LGO2-1
06/09/25HLGO Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-1
23/03/25AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs LGO0-0
07/09/24HLGO Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo1-0

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26ASpartak Pleven Vs LGO0-1
09/08/26HLGO Vs Fratria0-2
03/08/26ALudogorets II Vs LGO2-1
25/07/26HLGO Vs Chernomorets 1919 Burgas1-1
23/05/26HLGO Vs CSKA Sofia II0-3
15/05/26ASpartak Pleven Vs LGO5-2
11/05/26ALudogorets II Vs LGO3-1
25/04/26AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LGO3-0
17/04/26HLGO Vs Yantra 20192-2
09/04/26AFratria Vs LGO3-0

Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HEVT Vs Rilski Sportist1-1
07/08/26HEVT Vs Marek1-0
03/08/26HEVT Vs Yantra 20192-1
25/07/26ANesebar Vs EVT1-5
23/05/26AMarek Vs EVT1-0
15/05/26HEVT Vs Ludogorets II1-0
10/05/26HEVT Vs Hebar 19180-1
03/05/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs EVT1-1
25/04/26HEVT Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad3-2
17/04/26ABelasitsa Vs EVT2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLW1.22
HomeWDLDL1.48
AwayLLLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.562.442.68
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %50%48%52%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.121.280.96
Conceded1.441.161.72
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.44
HomeLWWWD1.62
AwayDWDLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals2.342.232.46
Over 1.5 %68%62%75%
Over 2.5 %34%38%29%
Over 3.5 %22%19%25%
Scored1.221.351.08
Conceded1.120.881.38
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet34%38%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VihrenVihren715
57%
2.1
157+8
3.1
100%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
2CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II714
57%
2.0
157+8
3.1
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.11.0
-
3FratriaFratria714
57%
2.0
94+5
1.9
57%
14%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.30.6
-
4Yantra 2019Yantra 2019713
57%
1.9
97+2
2.3
71%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.0
-
5MontanaMontana711
43%
1.6
128+4
2.9
71%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
6BeroeBeroe711
43%
1.6
96+3
2.1
71%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.30.9
-
7Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas711
43%
1.6
74+3
1.6
43%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.00.6
-
8Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo711
43%
1.6
1311+2
3.4
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.6
-
9NesebarNesebar710
43%
1.4
1310+3
3.3
71%
43%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.4
-
10MarekMarek710
43%
1.4
76+1
1.9
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.9
-
11Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa710
43%
1.4
79-2
2.3
86%
43%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.3
-
12Rilski SportistRilski Sportist79
29%
1.3
77+0
2.0
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
13Hebar 1918Hebar 191878
29%
1.1
1213-1
3.6
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.71.9
-
14Ludogorets IILudogorets II78
29%
1.1
58-3
1.9
71%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.71.1
-
15Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven77
29%
1.0
714-7
3.0
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.02.0
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge76
14%
0.9
46-2
1.4
29%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.60.9
-
17DobrudzhaDobrudzha75
14%
0.7
710-3
2.4
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
18Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad70
0%
0.0
324-21
3.9
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.43.4
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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