PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II Result & Analysis

Date: 05/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Vs
42%
33%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win✓ Hit
42.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II win✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L02L22D00D01L10W21W11D22D00DH·CSK30/09A·DUN06/10A·SAY13/10H·LIT19/10A·DOB25/10H·SPO03/11A·FRA09/11H·CSK17/11A·SPA23/11H·NES30/11
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.951.200.890.891.001.45
vs Stronger (8)0.751.620.672.330.801.20
vs Similar (12)1.080.921.000.171.171.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %35% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D23L12L11D02L51W03L02L02L23LA·NES21/09H·PIR30/09H·MON07/10A·CSK13/10A·YAN18/10H·FK 23/10A·BEL04/11A·BOT16/11H·ETA25/11A·MAR30/11
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.372.001.400.871.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.431.331.911.270.901.40
vs Weaker (9)1.441.442.251.750.801.20
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%16%025%128%218%39%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.3%
Under 1.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.0%
Under 2.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.4%
Under 3.5
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
39.0%
No
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.6%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
10.2%
2-0
9.3%
2-1 ✓
7.5%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.6%
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals ↓
Ludogorets II goals →
01234
016%10%4.6%1.3%0.3%
115%14%5.3%1.4%0.3%
29.3%7.5%3.0%0.8%0.2%
33.5%2.8%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.0%0.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa goals (down), columns = Ludogorets II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dobrudzha
2.16
Montana
2.05
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.89
Marek
1.71
Dunav Ruse
1.68
Yantra 2019
1.68
Belasitsa
1.47
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.37
Spartak Pleven
1.34
Ludogorets II
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.29
Fratria
1.26
FK Minyor Pernik
1.08
Sportist Svoge
0.97
Litex
0.87
Botev Plovdiv II
0.76
Strumska Slava
0.74
Nesebar
0.74
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.03 points better than Ludogorets II in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dobrudzha
1.95
Yantra 2019
1.55
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.45
Montana
1.39
Ludogorets II
1.39
Dunav Ruse
1.37
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.24
Fratria
1.18
Marek
1.16
Belasitsa
1.11
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
FK Minyor Pernik
0.95
Spartak Pleven
0.92
Botev Plovdiv II
0.87
Nesebar
0.74
Strumska Slava
0.61
Sportist Svoge
0.58
Litex
0.50
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.32 goals worse than Ludogorets II in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montana
0.39
Dobrudzha
0.68
Marek
0.82
Dunav Ruse
0.92
Yantra 2019
0.97
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.05
Sportist Svoge
1.05
CSKA Sofia II
1.08
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.08
Ludogorets II
1.11
Spartak Pleven
1.13
Belasitsa
1.18
Litex
1.18
Fratria
1.32
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.37
Strumska Slava
1.42
FK Minyor Pernik
1.47
Nesebar
1.66
Botev Plovdiv II
1.84
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa is 0.03 goals better than Ludogorets II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D00D00D10W10W11D11D00DH·CSK30/09A·DUN06/10A·SAY13/10H·LIT19/10A·DOB25/10H·SPO03/11A·FRA09/11H·CSK17/11A·SPA23/11H·NES30/11
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.400.560.330.360.45
vs Stronger (8)0.500.620.671.000.400.40
vs Similar (12)0.420.250.500.000.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L02L00D02L21W01L01L01L11DA·NES21/09H·PIR30/09H·MON07/10A·CSK13/10A·YAN18/10H·FK 23/10A·BEL04/11A·BOT16/11H·ETA25/11A·MAR30/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.731.000.930.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.620.820.730.500.50
vs Weaker (9)0.781.001.501.500.200.60
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L22D00D01L00D11D00D11D00DH·CSK30/09A·DUN06/10A·SAY13/10H·LIT19/10A·DOB25/10H·SPO03/11A·FRA09/11H·CSK17/11A·SPA23/11H·NES30/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.330.560.641.00
vs Stronger (8)0.251.000.001.330.400.80
vs Similar (12)0.670.670.500.170.831.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D10W11D00D30W02L01L01L12LA·NES21/09H·PIR30/09H·MON07/10A·CSK13/10A·YAN18/10H·FK 23/10A·BEL04/11A·BOT16/11H·ETA25/11A·MAR30/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.631.000.470.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.760.711.090.550.400.90
vs Weaker (9)0.670.440.750.250.600.60
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Ludogorets II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Ludogorets II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Ludogorets II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Ludogorets II have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
LGO wins
0
Draws
1
LI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Ludogorets II · H/A from LGO
DateH/AGameScore
22/07/24ALudogorets II Vs LGO2-0

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24HLGO Vs Nesebar0-0
23/11/24ASpartak Pleven Vs LGO2-2
17/11/24HLGO Vs CSKA Sofia II1-1
09/11/24AFratria Vs LGO1-2
03/11/24HLGO Vs Sportist Svoge1-0
25/10/24ADobrudzha Vs LGO1-0
19/10/24HLGO Vs Litex0-0
13/10/24ASayana Haskovo Vs LGO2-2
06/10/24ADunav Ruse Vs LGO2-0
30/09/24HLGO Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II1-3

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/11/24AMarek Vs LI3-2
25/11/24HLI Vs Etar Veliko Tarnovo0-2
16/11/24ABotev Plovdiv II Vs LI2-0
04/11/24ABelasitsa Vs LI3-0
23/10/24HLI Vs FK Minyor Pernik5-1
18/10/24AYantra 2019 Vs LI2-0
13/10/24ACSKA Sofia II Vs LI1-1
07/10/24HLI Vs Montana1-2
30/09/24HLI Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad2-3
21/09/24ANesebar Vs LI2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDD1.15
HomeLDWDD1.33
AwayLDLWD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.151.782.45
Over 1.5 %70%44%91%
Over 2.5 %35%33%36%
Over 3.5 %20%22%18%
Scored0.950.891.00
Conceded1.200.891.45
BTTS30%22%36%
Clean Sheet35%56%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL1.36
HomeWLLWL1.88
AwayDLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%56%16%
AVG goals2.502.922.08
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.281.800.76
Conceded1.221.121.32
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DobrudzhaDobrudzha3882
63%
2.2
7426+48
2.6
76%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.7
-
2MontanaMontana3878
58%
2.1
5315+38
1.8
55%
29%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.4
-
3Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3872
55%
1.9
5541+14
2.5
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.1
-
4MarekMarek3865
47%
1.7
4431+13
2.0
63%
24%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.8
-
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20193864
47%
1.7
5937+22
2.5
74%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.61.0
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3864
45%
1.7
5235+17
2.3
71%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.9
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3856
39%
1.5
5140+11
2.4
68%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.1
-
8BelasitsaBelasitsa3856
42%
1.5
4245-3
2.3
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3855
45%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
76%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3852
39%
1.4
4141+0
2.2
66%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II3851
34%
1.3
5342+11
2.5
79%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.1
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3851
37%
1.3
3543-8
2.1
58%
37%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.1
-
13CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3849
32%
1.3
4741+6
2.3
66%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
14FratriaFratria3848
34%
1.3
4550-5
2.5
74%
45%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3841
29%
1.1
3656-20
2.4
66%
32%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3837
21%
1.0
2240-18
1.6
55%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.61.1
-
17LitexLitex3833
21%
0.9
1945-26
1.7
45%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3829
21%
0.8
3370-37
2.7
76%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
19Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3828
11%
0.7
2354-31
2.0
58%
37%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
20NesebarNesebar3828
13%
0.7
2863-35
2.4
71%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches