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Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II Prediction & Stats

Date: 03/10/2026
Time: 16:00
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Vs
14%
23%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Polissya II
Polissya II
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Lokomotiv Kyiv’s recent form shows a struggling home side, conceding 1.67 goals per game against stronger opponents while scoring only 0.67. Polissya II, on the other hand, has been a difficult away team, averaging 1.67 goals conceded and 0.67 scored in matches against stronger sides. The model therefore rates an away win as the clear favourite, with a 64% probability. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, but the most likely total is 2, with a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2 for Polissya II, carrying a 11.9% probability. Home win probability sits at 14%, draw at 23%, and away win at 64%. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.0%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away +2 handicap (95.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (95.0%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Draw or Away (86.4%), and Away +1 handicap (86.4%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv Kyiv win
13.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polissya II win
63.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D01L00D13LH·CHE25/07A·PRY02/08H·VIK08/08A·AHR14/08H·YAR28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.400.671.671.001.00
vs Stronger (5)0.801.400.671.671.001.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polissya IIPolissya II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L01L22D12LH·UCS25/07A·INH03/08H·MET09/08A·CHE15/08H·PRY29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.801.001.671.502.00
vs Stronger (1)1.002.00--1.002.00
vs Similar (4)1.251.751.001.672.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kyiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.3%
No
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.9%
0-1
11.0%
1-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
0-3
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
1-3
6.5%
2-1
4.0%
Lokomotiv Kyiv goals ↓
Polissya II goals →
01234
07.0%11%12%7.9%3.9%
13.9%11%9.8%6.5%3.2%
22.0%4.0%4.0%2.7%1.3%
30.6%1.1%1.1%0.7%0.4%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv Kyiv goals (down), columns = Polissya II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Lokomotiv Kyiv is 0.20 points better than Polissya II in terms of average points per game (0.60 vs 0.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv is 0.40 goals worse than Polissya II in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Lokomotiv Kyiv is 0.40 goals better than Polissya II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv Kyiv or Draw
36.2%
Avg Implied -
14%
23%
64%
covers Lokomotiv Kyiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv or Polissya II
77.4%
Avg Implied -
14%
23%
64%
covers Lokomotiv Kyiv + Polissya II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Polissya II
86.4%
Avg Implied -
14%
23%
64%
covers Draw + Polissya II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 0.5
Over
56.0%
Under
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 1.5
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 2.5
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5
Over
86.4%
Under
13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5
Over
32.1%
Under
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 3.5
Over
14.1%
Under
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv Kyiv, so a minus line means Lokomotiv Kyiv give that many goals of a start and Polissya II receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv Kyiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv Kyiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv Kyiv)
Lokomotiv Kyiv -2
1.0%
Draw -2
3.4%
Polissya II +2
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv Kyiv)
Lokomotiv Kyiv -1
4.4%
Draw -1
9.2%
Polissya II +1
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv Kyiv)
Lokomotiv Kyiv +1
36.2%
Draw +1
23.8%
Polissya II -1
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv Kyiv)
Lokomotiv Kyiv +2
60.0%
Draw +2
19.9%
Polissya II -2
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D00D00D10WH·CHE25/07A·PRY02/08H·VIK08/08A·AHR14/08H·YAR28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.330.001.001.00
vs Stronger (5)0.600.400.330.001.001.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polissya IIPolissya II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D01L00DH·UCS25/07A·INH03/08H·MET09/08A·CHE15/08H·PRY29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.600.670.330.501.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.670.330.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kyiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D01L00D03LH·CHE25/07A·PRY02/08H·VIK08/08A·AHR14/08H·YAR28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.201.000.331.670.000.00
vs Stronger (5)0.201.000.331.670.000.00
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Polissya IIPolissya II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L21W12LH·UCS25/07A·INH03/08H·MET09/08A·CHE15/08H·PRY29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.200.331.331.001.00
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (4)0.751.250.331.332.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kyiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv Kyiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals99.0%-------
Under 6.597.5%-------
Away +2 handicap95.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals95.0%-------
Under 5.593.4%-------
Draw or Away86.4%-------
Away +1 handicap86.4%-------
Away over 0.5 goals86.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals85.9%-------
Under 4.584.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals80.1%-------
Over 1.578.1%-------
Home or Away77.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Lokomotiv Kyiv and Polissya II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LK wins
0
Draws
0
PI wins

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv Kyiv vs Polissya II · H/A from LK
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HLK Vs Yarud Mariupol'1-3
14/08/26AAhrobiznes Volochysk Vs LK0-0
08/08/26HLK Vs Viktoriya Mykolaivka0-1
02/08/26APrykarpattia Vs LK2-2
25/07/26HLK Vs Chernihiv1-1

Polissya IIPolissya II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HPI Vs Prykarpattia1-2
15/08/26AChernihiv Vs PI2-2
09/08/26HPI Vs Metal Kharkiv0-1
03/08/26AInhulets Vs PI2-1
25/07/26HPI Vs UCSA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv Kyiv
Lokomotiv Kyiv
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL0.60
HomeDLL0.33
AwayDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals2.202.332.00
Over 1.5 %60%67%50%
Over 2.5 %40%33%50%
Over 3.5 %40%33%50%
Scored0.800.671.00
Conceded1.401.671.00
BTTS60%67%50%
Clean Sheet20%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Polissya II
Polissya II
Ukraine: Persha Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.40
HomeDLL0.33
AwayLD0.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %0%0%0%
AVG goals3.002.673.50
Over 1.5 %80%67%100%
Over 2.5 %80%67%100%
Over 3.5 %40%33%50%
Scored1.201.001.50
Conceded1.801.672.00
BTTS80%67%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Viktoriya MykolaivkaViktoriya Mykolaivka515
100%
3.0
91+8
2.0
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.80.2
-
2SK PoltavaSK Poltava511
60%
2.2
81+7
1.8
60%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.60.2
-
3OleksandriaOleksandria511
60%
2.2
115+6
3.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3132.21.0
-
4KulykivKulykiv510
60%
2.0
116+5
3.4
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.2
-
5PrykarpattiaPrykarpattia57
40%
1.4
86+2
2.8
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.2
-
6Metal KharkivMetal Kharkiv57
40%
1.4
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.21.2
-
7InhuletsInhulets57
40%
1.4
79-2
3.2
100%
100%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8Ahrobiznes VolochyskAhrobiznes Volochysk57
40%
1.4
59-4
2.8
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.8
-
9UCSAUCSA56
20%
1.2
88+0
3.2
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.6
-
10Nyva TernopilNyva Ternopil56
20%
1.2
55+0
2.0
80%
20%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
11Yarud MariupolYarud Mariupol'56
40%
1.2
68-2
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
12ChernihivChernihiv54
0%
0.8
56-1
2.2
80%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.2
-
13Lokomotiv KyivLokomotiv Kyiv53
0%
0.6
47-3
2.2
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Kolos Kovalivka IIKolos Kovalivka II53
20%
0.6
38-5
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
15Polissya IIPolissya II52
0%
0.4
69-3
3.0
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.8
-
16Probiy HorodenkaProbiy Horodenka52
0%
0.4
412-8
3.2
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.82.4
-
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →

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