Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Botev Vratsa Result & Analysis

Lokomotiv Plovdiv are the clear favourites, with a 60% chance of victory, 23% for a draw and 17% for Botev Vratsa. The match is expected to see three goals on average, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.9% chance. Lokomotiv, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, while Botev, on the road, averages 0.88 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 93%, Over 19.5 fouls at 89.5%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.8%, Over 3.5 cards at 83.3%, Over 1.5 at 81.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.7% and Under 10.5 corners at 76.3%. Lokomotiv’s recent five matches have all been losses, while Botev’s last five contain one win and four losses, both teams having suffered 0-2 defeats in their most recent games.

The pre-match favourite, Lokomotiv Plovdiv, failed to deliver as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extends their five-game losing streak at home. The model had picked a home win with a 60% probability, but this call was wrong. The final score of 0-0 matched the actual result of a stalemate. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards, hit at 93%, and Over 21.5 fouls, hit at 79.7%, proved correct, while Over 19.5 fouls, hit at 89.5%, also came through. The other picks - Under 11.5 corners, Under 10.5 corners, Over 3.5 cards, and Over 1.5 - missed, with probabilities of 84.8%, 76.3%, 83.3%, and 81.4% respectively.