Lokomotiv are the clear favourites, with a 61% chance of victory, a 24% chance of a draw and a 15% chance of an Akron win. The model predicts an average of 2.7 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 2-0, which carries a 11.6% probability. Lokomotiv, playing at home against a weaker opponent, average 1.86 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Akron, on the road against a stronger side, average 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home +2 handicap (95.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (94.6%), Under 5.5 (94.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (87.6%) and Over 19.5 fouls (86.2%). Lokomotiv’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while Akron also ended their last match with a draw, hinting at a tight contest that ultimately favours the home side.
Results analysis
Lokomotiv’s win extended their recent form, with the 2-0 victory over Akron confirming the model’s prediction of a home win at 61%. The final score matched the favoured outcome, and the model’s call was correct. The match also delivered on every suggested selection: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.9%, Under 6.5 at 97.8%, Home +2 handicap at 95.0%, Away under 2.5 goals at 94.6%, Under 5.5 at 94.0%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 87.6%. Each probability is expressed as a percentage, and all results were settled as hit. The game’s low-scoring nature and Lokomotiv’s strong home form made the model’s selections a perfect fit.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Lokomotiv win✓ Hit
61.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akron win✗ Miss
15.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Lokomotiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
1.75
1.19
1.50
1.57
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
1.44
1.44
1.75
1.38
1.12
1.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.92
1.31
1.86
1.00
2.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.63
1.29
1.71
1.23
1.54
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.50
1.14
2.71
0.80
2.20
vs Similar (18)
1.44
1.06
1.40
1.00
1.50
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.8%
Under 1.5
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.5%
Under 2.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
11.6%
1-1
11.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.5%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.4%
Lokomotiv goals ↓
Akron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
4.4%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
1
11%
11%
4.4%
1.2%
0.3%
2
12%
9.8%
4.1%
1.2%
0.2%
3
7.3%
6.2%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
4
3.5%
2.9%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv goals (down), columns = Akron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Tver
2.00
Orel
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Zenit Penza
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Baltika
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
PSK Dinskaya
1.06
Shumbrat
1.06
Fankom
1.06
Kristall MEZ
1.06
Znamya Noginsk
1.06
RWChallenge
1.06
Buryatia
1.06
Murom
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Fakel
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Irkutsk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
KDV
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Veles
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Lokomotiv is 1.02 points better than Akron in terms of average points per game (2.27 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Orel
2.67
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
KDV
2.00
Murom
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Chayka
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Tver
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
PSK Dinskaya
1.23
Shumbrat
1.23
Fankom
1.23
Kristall MEZ
1.23
Znamya Noginsk
1.23
RWChallenge
1.23
Buryatia
1.23
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
Zenit Penza
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Irkutsk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Veles
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Lokomotiv is 0.97 goals better than Akron in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Chayka
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Tver
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Irkutsk
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Amkar
1.40
Akhmat
1.40
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Fakel
1.67
PSK Dinskaya
1.67
Shumbrat
1.67
Fankom
1.67
Kristall MEZ
1.67
Znamya Noginsk
1.67
RWChallenge
1.67
Buryatia
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
Zenit Penza
2.00
Murom
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Veles
2.00
KAMAZ
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Chernomorets
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Lokomotiv is 0.78 goals better than Akron in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lokomotiv
For 3.1 · Against 7.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 13.7 · Total 27.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akron
For 6.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 12.2 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.6
11.1
3.5
3.6
3.5
25.6
26.2
24.9
vs Stronger (2)
8.0
7.0
9.0
6.0
5.0
7.0
25.5
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (24)
9.6
7.9
11.4
3.7
3.9
3.4
24.4
26.1
22.8
vs Weaker (24)
11.3
11.4
11.1
3.2
3.2
3.2
26.8
25.9
27.8
% over line
57%
44%
71%
50%
48%
52%
81%
72%
89%
% under line
43%
56%
29%
50%
52%
48%
19%
28%
11%
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.7
2.9
2.6
3.2
23.8
24.4
23.2
vs Stronger (18)
10.5
8.0
12.7
3.2
2.8
3.8
22.0
23.3
20.9
vs Similar (32)
10.5
11.6
9.5
2.7
2.4
2.9
24.7
24.9
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
68%
72%
63%
30%
23%
38%
65%
72%
58%
% under line
32%
28%
37%
70%
77%
62%
35%
28%
42%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
12.5
Chernomorets
11.2
FC Orenburg
11.2
Lokomotiv
10.8
Ural
10.8
Dynamo
10.7
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.6
Akron
10.5
KAMAZ
10.2
Nizhny Novgorod
10.1
FK Sokol Saratov
10.0
Baltika
9.9
Akhmat
9.8
Zenit
9.6
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Spartak Moscow
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.6
Veles
9.4
Rodina Moskva
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
Fakel
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FC Sochi
8.8
FC Krasnodar
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Rostov
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Leningradets
8.4
FK Neftekhimik
8.0
Tyumen
7.4
Enisey
7.0
Torpedo Moskva
6.8
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Akhmat
5.2
Fakel
5.2
Spartak Moscow
5.1
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.9
Rubin
4.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.8
Veles
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.7
FC Rostov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
FC Krasnodar
4.6
CSKA Moscow
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
FC UFA
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
FC Sochi
4.2
Baltika
4.2
Zenit
4.1
Volgar Astrakhan
4.1
Ural
4.1
Rotor Volgograd
3.9
Chernomorets
3.9
Chayka
3.8
Enisey
3.8
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Chelyabinsk
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Akron
3.4
Rodina Moskva
3.3
Spartak Kostroma
3.3
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Sokol Saratov
3.3
Arsenal Tula
3.2
FK Neftekhimik
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.9
Spartak Moscow
27.9
Fakel
27.5
Akhmat
27.3
Rubin
26.5
FC Krasnodar
26.3
FC Rostov
26.2
Nizhny Novgorod
26.1
Dynamo
25.3
Ural
25.1
Lokomotiv
24.7
FC Orenburg
24.6
Zenit
24.5
Baltika
24.3
FC Sochi
24.0
CSKA Moscow
23.9
Akron
23.8
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Krylia Sovetov
22.8
Enisey
14.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.6%
Under 21.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv or Draw✓ Hit
84.9%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Lokomotiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv or Akron✓ Hit
76.2%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Lokomotiv + Akron
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akron✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
61%
24%
15%
covers Draw + Akron
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.9%
Under
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.4%
Under
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.4%
Under
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.4%
Under
87.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.0%
Under
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
20.7%
Under
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv, so a minus line means Lokomotiv give that many goals of a start and Akron receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Draw
Lokomotiv -2
17.9%
Draw -2
19.2%
Akron +2
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv -1
37.0%
Draw -1
24.0%
Akron +1
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +1
84.9%
Draw +1
10.1%
Akron -1
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +2
95.0%
Draw +2
3.8%
Akron -2
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lokomotiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.81
0.44
0.43
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.62
0.88
0.38
0.25
0.88
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.77
0.86
0.57
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.53
0.71
0.77
0.77
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.08
0.29
1.14
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.50
0.70
0.40
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lokomotiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
0.94
0.75
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.81
0.88
1.00
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.54
1.00
0.43
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Akron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.76
1.00
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.42
0.86
1.57
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.56
0.70
0.60
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dmitry Vorobyev38%
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Aleksandr Rudenko21%
Nikolay Komlichenko19%
Dmitriy Barinov18%
César Montes15%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Danyl Prutsev8%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
Lucas Fasson8%
Gerzino Nyamsi7%
Aleksandr Silyanov7%
Artem Karpukas4%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Egor Pogostnov67%
Dmitry Vorobyev38%
Zelimkhan Bakaev36%
Aleksey Batrakov32%
Dmitriy Barinov29%
Gerzino Nyamsi29%
Cristian Ramírez25%
Nikolay Komlichenko23%
Daniil Chevardin20%
César Montes19%
Maksim Nenakhov19%
Aleksandr Rudenko18%
Evgeniy Morozov17%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy14%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
Lucas Fasson8%
Artem Karpukas7%
Danyl Prutsev4%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Anton Mitryushkin3%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Lucas Vera0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksey Batrakov32%
Dmitriy Barinov18%
Zelimkhan Bakaev16%
Nikolay Komlichenko15%
Danyl Prutsev12%
Dmitry Vorobyev12%
Evgeniy Morozov11%
Nikita Saltykov10%
Lucas Fasson8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Aleksandr Silyanov7%
Artem Karpukas7%
Maksim Nenakhov5%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
César Montes0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Sergey Pinyaev0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Dmitry Vorobyev31%
Dmitriy Barinov12%
Nikolay Komlichenko12%
Sergey Pinyaev8%
César Montes8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Zelimkhan Bakaev4%
Cristian Ramírez0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Danyl Prutsev0%
Vladislav Sarvelyi0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Vera0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Ruslan Myalkovskiy0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Daniil Chevardin0%
Akron
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gilson Tavares32%
Artem Dzyuba29%
Kevin Arevalo17%
Nikita Bazilevskiy14%
Stefan Lončar13%
Dmitriy Pestryakov13%
Edgar Sevikyan8%
Maksim Boldyrev8%
Kristijan Bistrović7%
Aleksa Đurasović6%
Ionuț Nedelcearu4%
Marat Bokoev3%
Roberto Fernández3%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Rodrigo Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Maksim Kuzmin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Konstantin Savichev0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Denis Popenkov0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Ignat Terekhovskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikita Bazilevskiy29%
Rodrigo Escoval27%
Ionuț Nedelcearu22%
Konstantin Maradishvili20%
Ignat Terekhovskiy20%
Yomar Rocha19%
Ifet Đakovac18%
Marat Bokoev17%
Soltmurad Bakaev15%
Gilson Tavares14%
Stefan Lončar13%
Konstantin Savichev12%
Khetag Khosonov12%
Aleksa Đurasović11%
Maksim Kuzmin9%
Vitaliy Gudiev8%
Maksim Boldyrev8%
Kristijan Bistrović7%
Artem Dzyuba7%
Roberto Fernández3%
Edgar Sevikyan0%
Denis Popenkov0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Dmitriy Pestryakov0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artem Dzyuba14%
Ifet Đakovac14%
Roberto Fernández10%
Dmitriy Pestryakov10%
Kristijan Bistrović7%
Rodrigo Escoval5%
Maksim Kuzmin4%
Khetag Khosonov4%
Maksim Boldyrev4%
Ionuț Nedelcearu4%
Marat Bokoev3%
Stefan Lončar3%
Konstantin Maradishvili0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Konstantin Savichev0%
Edgar Sevikyan0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Denis Popenkov0%
Gilson Tavares0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Ignat Terekhovskiy0%
Kevin Arevalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gilson Tavares23%
Kevin Arevalo17%
Artem Dzyuba14%
Edgar Sevikyan8%
Konstantin Maradishvili7%
Stefan Lončar7%
Dmitriy Pestryakov6%
Maksim Boldyrev4%
Ionuț Nedelcearu4%
Marat Bokoev3%
Kristijan Bistrović0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Rodrigo Escoval0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Soltmurad Bakaev0%
Maksim Kuzmin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Konstantin Savichev0%
Ifet Đakovac0%
Aleksa Đurasović0%
Denis Popenkov0%
Yomar Rocha0%
Arseniy Dmitriev0%
Nikita Bazilevskiy0%
Ignat Terekhovskiy0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Lokomotiv's squad is €43m more valuable than Akron's (€68m vs €25m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Lokomotiv's attack is €10m more valuable than Akron's (€21m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Lokomotiv's midfield is €2m more valuable than Akron's (€8m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Lokomotiv's defence is €31m more valuable than Akron's (€40m vs €8m).
Russia: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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Zenit
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Akhmat
FC Rostov
Krylia Sovetov
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Nizhny Novgorod
FC Sochi
Rotor Volgograd
Ural