This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Orenburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.53
1.38
1.31
0.79
1.79
vs Stronger (18)
1.11
1.83
1.30
1.40
0.88
2.38
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.08
1.50
1.17
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.2%
No
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.3%
1-0
11.4%
3-0
11.2%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-0
6.6%
0-0
5.9%
Lokomotiv goals ↓
FC Orenburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.2%
0.0%
1
11%
8.2%
2.3%
0.5%
0.1%
2
14%
8.7%
2.7%
0.5%
0.1%
3
11%
6.9%
2.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
6.6%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv goals (down), columns = FC Orenburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Chayka
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tver
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Orel
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Znamya Truda
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Pskov 747
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Murom
1.00
Kvant
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Fakel
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
KAMAZ
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
KDV
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Enisey
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Lokomotiv is 1.77 points better than FC Orenburg in terms of average points per game (2.27 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Orel
2.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
FC Sochi
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Ryazan
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Murom
2.00
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Kristall
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Tver
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
KAMAZ
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC Orenburg
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Enisey
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Lokomotiv is 1.09 goals better than FC Orenburg in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Tver
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Kompozit
0.50
Baltika
0.67
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
FC Sochi
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Pskov 747
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
Ryazan
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
Orel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Murom
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Veles
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
KDV
5.00
Urozhay
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Lokomotiv is 0.58 goals better than FC Orenburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Lokomotiv
For 6.0 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Orenburg
For 6.0 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lokomotiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.0
11.4
4.4
4.1
4.7
23.9
24.0
23.8
vs Stronger (2)
9.0
10.0
8.0
6.5
4.0
9.0
22.5
26.0
19.0
vs Similar (21)
11.3
11.0
11.6
4.1
4.1
4.2
23.3
23.2
23.4
vs Weaker (27)
11.2
11.0
11.5
4.4
4.1
4.7
24.5
24.5
24.6
% over line
63%
58%
68%
68%
62%
75%
70%
67%
73%
% under line
37%
42%
32%
32%
38%
25%
30%
33%
27%
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Orenburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
11.0
10.3
3.9
4.0
3.8
23.3
22.5
24.1
vs Stronger (29)
9.7
9.6
9.8
3.4
3.4
3.5
21.6
20.8
22.5
vs Similar (21)
11.8
12.8
10.8
4.6
5.0
4.2
25.4
24.9
26.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
67%
59%
66%
65%
67%
72%
71%
73%
% under line
37%
33%
41%
34%
35%
33%
28%
29%
27%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Dynamo
10.7
Khimki
10.6
Ural
10.4
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.1
Spartak Moscow
10.0
Akron
9.9
Chernomorets
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Akhmat
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Fakel
9.5
FC Rostov
9.5
Veles
9.4
Enisey
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
Urozhay
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
CSKA Moscow
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.1
Rubin
9.1
Rodina Moskva
9.0
FC Krasnodar
8.8
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.6
FC UFA
5.4
Fakel
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Lokomotiv
5.0
Akhmat
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Veles
4.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.4
Rubin
4.4
Khimki
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
CSKA Moscow
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Enisey
4.0
Ural
4.0
Zenit
3.9
FK Neftekhimik
3.9
FC Sochi
3.8
Chayka
3.8
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Chernomorets
3.5
Rotor Volgograd
3.5
Akron
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.0
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.8
Khimki
25.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.7
Nizhny Novgorod
24.6
Spartak Moscow
24.4
Rubin
24.3
Akhmat
23.8
Torpedo Moskva
23.7
Lokomotiv
23.6
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Orenburg
23.2
Ural
23.2
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Dynamo
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.9
FC Rostov
22.8
CSKA Moscow
22.3
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.0
Zenit
21.4
Akron
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
60.7%
Under 9.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv or Draw✓ Hit
92.8%
Avg Implied -
76%
17%
7%
covers Lokomotiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv or FC Orenburg✓ Hit
82.8%
Avg Implied -
76%
17%
7%
covers Lokomotiv + FC Orenburg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Orenburg✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
76%
17%
7%
covers Draw + FC Orenburg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.5%
Under
9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
68.1%
Under
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
21.2%
Under
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
45.9%
Under
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.6%
Under
87.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv, so a minus line means Lokomotiv give that many goals of a start and FC Orenburg receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: FC Orenburg
Lokomotiv -2
30.7%
Draw -2
22.5%
FC Orenburg +2
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Draw
Lokomotiv -1
53.1%
Draw -1
22.5%
FC Orenburg +1
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +1
92.8%
Draw +1
5.3%
FC Orenburg -1
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +2
98.1%
Draw +2
1.5%
FC Orenburg -2
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lokomotiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.60
1.07
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
0.86
0.71
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.50
1.29
0.43
1.22
0.56
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Orenburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.53
0.31
0.50
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (18)
0.44
0.61
0.30
0.50
0.62
0.75
vs Similar (12)
0.25
0.42
0.33
0.50
0.17
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lokomotiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.63
1.07
0.47
1.67
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.85
0.86
0.71
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.69
0.50
1.14
0.29
2.11
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Orenburg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Orenburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.00
1.06
0.81
0.36
1.21
vs Stronger (18)
0.67
1.22
1.00
0.90
0.25
1.62
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.67
1.17
0.67
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Orenburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dmitriy Vorobyev36%
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Sergey Pinyaev15%
Gerzino Nyamsi14%
Ilya Samoshnikov12%
Evgeniy Morozov11%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Artem Timofeev8%
Vadim Rakov5%
Artem Karpukas4%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Timur Suleymanov4%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Edgar Sevikyan0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Evgeniy Morozov33%
Lucas Fasson30%
Ilya Samoshnikov29%
Egor Pogostnov29%
Dmitriy Barinov28%
Timur Suleymanov25%
Artem Timofeev23%
Aleksey Batrakov21%
Vadim Rakov16%
Maksim Nenakhov14%
Artem Karpukas12%
Dmitriy Vorobyev11%
Danila Godyaev10%
Ilya Lantratov10%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Aleksandr Silyanov8%
Sergey Pinyaev7%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
César Montes7%
Gerzino Nyamsi5%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergey Pinyaev26%
Aleksey Batrakov18%
Dmitriy Vorobyev14%
Dmitriy Barinov12%
Vadim Rakov11%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Ilya Samoshnikov8%
Artem Karpukas8%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergey Pinyaev22%
Dmitriy Vorobyev21%
Aleksey Batrakov11%
Gerzino Nyamsi10%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Vladislav Sarveli5%
Ilya Samoshnikov4%
Dmitriy Barinov4%
Maksim Nenakhov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
César Montes0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Vadim Rakov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
FC Orenburg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Saeid Saharkhizan22%
Brian Mansilla19%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Jimmy Marín13%
Matías Pérez12%
Aleksey Tataev11%
Artem Kasimov9%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Mohammad Ghorbani6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Maksim Sidorov0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksey Tataev44%
Andrey Malykh33%
Ivan Bašić30%
Danila Prokhin28%
Brian Mansilla26%
Matías Pérez25%
Maksim Saveljev25%
Tomás Muro25%
Danila Khotulev22%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Jimmy Marín17%
Kâzımcan Karataş17%
Maksim Sidorov15%
Nikolay Sysuev14%
Georgi Zotov14%
Justin Cuero14%
Atsamaz Revazov14%
Aleksandr Kovalenko12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Stepan Oganesyan10%
Artem Kasimov9%
Yaroslav Mikhailov8%
Bogdan Moskvichev6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Gabriel Florentín0%
Emircan Gürlük0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Florentín50%
Georgi Zotov14%
Brian Mansilla11%
Danila Khotulev11%
Emircan Gürlük9%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy8%
Aleksandr Kovalenko6%
Andrey Malykh6%
Kâzımcan Karataş6%
Jimmy Marín4%
Yaroslav Mikhailov4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Ivan Bašić4%
Saeid Saharkhizan4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Danila Prokhin0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Matías Pérez0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Maksim Saveljev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Mohammad Ghorbani0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Justin Cuero0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Brian Mansilla56%
Gabriel Florentín50%
Jimmy Marín26%
Saeid Saharkhizan19%
Justin Cuero14%
Emircan Gürlük13%
Danila Prokhin12%
Mohammad Ghorbani11%
Maksim Saveljev8%
Matías Pérez6%
Dmitry Rybchinskiy4%
Maksim Sidorov4%
Nikolay Sysuev0%
Andrey Malykh0%
Georgi Zotov0%
Aleksey Tataev0%
Kâzımcan Karataş0%
Stepan Oganesyan0%
Ivan Bašić0%
Danila Khotulev0%
Jordhy Thompson0%
Tomás Muro0%
Artem Kasimov0%
Yaroslav Mikhailov0%
Aleksandr Kovalenko0%
Aleksey Baranovskiy0%
Bogdan Moskvichev0%
Maksim Syshchenko0%
Atsamaz Revazov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Lokomotiv's squad is €50m more valuable than FC Orenburg's (€68m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Lokomotiv's attack is €13m more valuable than FC Orenburg's (€21m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Lokomotiv's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Orenburg's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Lokomotiv's defence is €33m more valuable than FC Orenburg's (€40m vs €7m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Zenit
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
Akhmat
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural