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Lokomotiv vs FC Rostov Result & Analysis

Date: 30/07/2024
Time: 15:30
Final 1-0
Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Vs
52%
25%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lokomotiv win✓ Hit
52.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov win✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D11D32W23L10W20W20W31W32W13LH·CSK13/04A·RUB20/04A·NIZ24/04A·SPA28/04H·FC 06/05A·FC 12/05H·FAK18/05A·BAL25/05H·AKR20/07A·DYN27/07
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.331.671.071.671.60
vs Stronger (2)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
vs Similar (14)1.361.641.501.171.252.00
vs Weaker (14)1.861.071.621.002.171.17
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W15L10W21W01L13L21W12L00D31WA·FAK14/04H·SPA21/04A·URA25/04H·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.501.791.211.121.75
vs Stronger (8)1.252.251.502.251.002.25
vs Similar (17)1.651.412.000.881.331.89
vs Weaker (5)1.000.601.500.500.670.67
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.3%
Under 2.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.9%
1-0 ✓
8.8%
0-0
6.6%
1-2
6.0%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
Lokomotiv goals ↓
FC Rostov goals →
01234
06.6%5.0%3.4%1.2%0.3%
18.8%12%6.0%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.8%5.4%2.0%0.6%
35.3%5.8%3.2%1.2%0.3%
42.4%2.6%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lokomotiv goals (down), columns = FC Rostov goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Lokomotiv is 0.43 points better than FC Rostov in terms of average points per game (2.27 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Lokomotiv is 0.71 goals better than FC Rostov in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 1.38).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Lokomotiv is 0.17 goals worse than FC Rostov in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.92).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LokomotivLokomotiv

For 6.7 · Against 6.8 · Total 13.5

🚩 Corners

21075871791246381041353599121582110111418818A·DYNH·AKRA·BALH·FAKA·FC H·FC A·SPAA·NIZA·RUBH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

603123242431241323134566425534A·DYNH·AKRA·BALA·FC H·FC A·SPAA·NIZA·RUBH·CSKA·AKH
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 9.6 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

240131111812125810121391011158999824192413222221231817A·DYNH·AKRA·BALH·FAKA·FC H·FC A·SPAA·NIZA·RUBH·CSK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC RostovFC Rostov

For 5.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

19034216109338392739513367196111110144A·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URAH·SPAA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

8025312235613232232247448645456A·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URAH·SPAA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

3201110811138713918913168116161192321192120272224172732A·KRYH·CSKA·ZENH·BALA·RUBA·LOKH·FC A·URAH·SPAA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LokomotivLokomotiv

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.211.011.35.14.85.323.223.422.9
vs Stronger (3)10.011.08.05.03.09.021.022.019.0
vs Similar (22)11.311.311.35.05.34.623.022.723.4
vs Weaker (25)11.210.811.65.24.75.623.524.322.8
% over line64%60%68%72%68%76%66%64%68%
% under line36%40%32%28%32%24%34%36%32%
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.29.25.05.74.322.623.322.0
vs Stronger (13)9.410.38.64.35.33.422.223.221.3
vs Similar (26)10.211.09.35.26.14.321.622.121.2
vs Weaker (11)8.88.09.55.35.05.525.626.624.8
% over line52%54%50%68%75%62%56%58%54%
% under line48%46%50%32%25%38%44%42%46%
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Dynamo
11.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Zenit
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
FC Rostov
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Khimki
9.6
Enisey
9.5
Akron
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.4
Veles
9.4
Fakel
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
9.1
Rodina Moskva
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.3
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
5.1
FC Rostov
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.8
Rubin
4.7
Veles
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Nizhny Novgorod
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.5
Khimki
26.5
Rubin
24.2
Nizhny Novgorod
24.1
Akhmat
23.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
Lokomotiv
23.2
FC Orenburg
23.2
FC Krasnodar
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Ural
22.8
Spartak Moscow
22.8
FC Rostov
22.6
CSKA Moscow
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Dynamo
22.2
FC Sochi
21.5
Akron
21.2
Dinamo Makhachkala
21.0
Zenit
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.6%
Under 9.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.1%
Under 21.5
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lokomotiv or Draw✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Lokomotiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv or FC Rostov✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Lokomotiv + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Rostov✗ Miss
47.7%
Avg Implied -
52%
25%
22%
covers Draw + FC Rostov
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.3%
Under
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
53.4%
Under
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.9%
Under
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.3%
Under
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lokomotiv, so a minus line means Lokomotiv give that many goals of a start and FC Rostov receive them. At -1, Lokomotiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lokomotiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: FC Rostov
Lokomotiv -2
13.6%
Draw -2
16.4%
FC Rostov +2
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Draw
Lokomotiv -1
29.9%
Draw -1
22.4%
FC Rostov +1
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +1
77.7%
Draw +1
13.4%
FC Rostov -1
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lokomotiv)Actual: Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv +2
91.1%
Draw +2
6.2%
FC Rostov -2
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LokomotivLokomotiv

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L01L10W10W10W10W22D11DH·CSK13/04A·RUB20/04A·NIZ24/04A·SPA28/04H·FC 06/05A·FC 12/05H·FAK18/05A·BAL25/05H·AKR20/07A·DYN27/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.800.330.470.73
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (14)0.570.570.830.170.380.88
vs Weaker (14)0.710.430.750.380.670.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D01L01L02L21W00D00D10WA·FAK14/04H·SPA21/04A·URA25/04H·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.930.710.560.69
vs Stronger (8)0.750.621.000.500.500.75
vs Similar (17)0.940.881.120.880.780.89
vs Weaker (5)0.000.200.000.500.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LokomotivLokomotiv

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D31W22D00D10W10W21W10W02LH·CSK13/04A·RUB20/04A·NIZ24/04A·SPA28/04H·FC 06/05A·FC 12/05H·FAK18/05A·BAL25/05H·AKR20/07A·DYN27/07
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.800.870.731.200.87
vs Stronger (2)2.000.002.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (14)0.791.070.671.000.881.12
vs Weaker (14)1.140.640.880.621.500.67
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Rostov) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC RostovFC Rostov

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W04L10W20W00D11D00D12L00D21WA·FAK14/04H·SPA21/04A·URA25/04H·FC 29/04A·LOK06/05A·RUB11/05H·BAL19/05A·ZEN25/05H·CSK20/07A·KRY26/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.860.500.561.06
vs Stronger (8)0.501.620.501.750.501.50
vs Similar (17)0.710.530.880.000.561.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.401.500.000.670.67
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Lokomotiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lokomotiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lokomotiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Rostov over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.4%--------
Home over 0.5 goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.583.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls79.3%--------
Home or Draw77.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap77.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals73.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap70.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lokomotiv
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dmitriy Vorobyev36%
Aleksey Batrakov36%
Sergey Pinyaev15%
Gerzino Nyamsi14%
Ilya Samoshnikov12%
Evgeniy Morozov11%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Artem Timofeev8%
Vadim Rakov5%
Artem Karpukas4%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Timur Suleymanov4%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Edgar Sevikyan0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Evgeniy Morozov33%
Lucas Fasson30%
Ilya Samoshnikov29%
Egor Pogostnov29%
Dmitriy Barinov28%
Timur Suleymanov25%
Artem Timofeev23%
Aleksey Batrakov21%
Vadim Rakov16%
Maksim Nenakhov14%
Artem Karpukas12%
Dmitriy Vorobyev11%
Danila Godyaev10%
Ilya Lantratov10%
Nair Tiknizyan9%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Aleksandr Silyanov8%
Sergey Pinyaev7%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
César Montes7%
Gerzino Nyamsi5%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sergey Pinyaev26%
Aleksey Batrakov18%
Dmitriy Vorobyev14%
Dmitriy Barinov12%
Vadim Rakov11%
Vladislav Sarveli9%
Ilya Samoshnikov8%
Artem Karpukas8%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Aleksandr Silyanov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Gerzino Nyamsi0%
César Montes0%
Maksim Nenakhov0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergey Pinyaev22%
Dmitriy Vorobyev21%
Aleksey Batrakov11%
Gerzino Nyamsi10%
Artem Timofeev8%
Edgar Sevikyan7%
Vladislav Sarveli5%
Ilya Samoshnikov4%
Dmitriy Barinov4%
Maksim Nenakhov4%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
César Montes0%
Ilya Lantratov0%
Anton Mitryushkin0%
Timur Suleymanov0%
Aleksandr Silyanov0%
Evgeniy Morozov0%
Lucas Fasson0%
Artem Karpukas0%
Nikita Saltykov0%
Vadim Rakov0%
Egor Pogostnov0%
Danila Godyaev0%
FC Rostov
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikolay Komlichenko28%
Maksim Osipenko28%
Mohammad Mohebi27%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ronaldo11%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Konstantin Kuchaev5%
Andrey Langovich5%
Oumar Sako4%
Kirill Shchetinin4%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Aleksey Sutormin0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Shamonin33%
Viktor Melekhin29%
Daniil Glebov24%
Andrey Langovich23%
Ivan Komarov22%
Daniil Utkin20%
Evgeniy Chernov20%
Daniil Shantaliy18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Oumar Sako15%
Ilya Vakhaniya14%
Ronaldo14%
Mohammad Mohebi13%
Khoren Bayramyan12%
German Ignatov11%
Konstantin Kuchaev10%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Nikolay Komlichenko8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Maksim Osipenko7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolay Komlichenko16%
Ronaldo11%
Maksim Osipenko10%
Andrey Langovich9%
Egor Golenkov8%
Kirill Shchetinin7%
Mohammad Mohebi7%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Daniil Glebov6%
Ivan Komarov6%
Aleksey Sutormin4%
Ilya Vakhaniya4%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Imran Aznaurov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolay Komlichenko32%
Ronaldo25%
Mohammad Mohebi20%
Daniil Glebov18%
Egor Golenkov17%
Ivan Komarov17%
Imran Aznaurov17%
Maksim Osipenko14%
Kirill Shchetinin11%
Aleksey Sutormin9%
Rodrigo Saravia7%
Andrey Langovich5%
Konstantin Kuchaev0%
Daniil Utkin0%
Ilya Vakhaniya0%
Evgeniy Chernov0%
Khoren Bayramyan0%
Rustam Yatimov0%
Oumar Sako0%
Daniil Odoevski0%
Viktor Melekhin0%
Daniil Shantaliy0%
German Ignatov0%
Anton Shamonin0%
Ilya Zhbanov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Lokomotiv's squad is €36m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€68m vs €32m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Lokomotiv's attack is €7m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€21m vs €14m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Lokomotiv's midfield is €3m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€8m vs €5m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Lokomotiv's defence is €26m more valuable than FC Rostov's (€40m vs €13m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
LOK wins
1
Draws
1
FR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lokomotiv vs FC Rostov · H/A from LOK
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/24HLOK Vs FC Rostov1-0
28/10/23AFC Rostov Vs LOK1-0
04/03/23AFC Rostov Vs LOK1-3
24/07/22HLOK Vs FC Rostov2-2

LokomotivLokomotiv

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/24ADynamo Vs LOK3-1
20/07/24HLOK Vs Akron3-2
25/05/24ABaltika Vs LOK1-3
18/05/24HLOK Vs Fakel2-0
12/05/24AFC Orenburg Vs LOK0-2
06/05/24HLOK Vs FC Rostov1-0
28/04/24ASpartak Moscow Vs LOK3-2
24/04/24ANizhny Novgorod Vs LOK2-3
20/04/24ARubin Vs LOK1-1
13/04/24HLOK Vs CSKA Moscow3-3

FC RostovFC Rostov

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/24AKrylia Sovetov Vs FR1-3
20/07/24HFR Vs CSKA Moscow0-0
25/05/24AZenit Vs FR2-1
19/05/24HFR Vs Baltika2-1
11/05/24ARubin Vs FR3-1
06/05/24ALokomotiv Vs FR1-0
29/04/24HFR Vs FC Orenburg2-1
25/04/24AUral Vs FR0-1
21/04/24HFR Vs Spartak Moscow1-5
14/04/24AFakel Vs FR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lokomotiv
Lokomotiv
Russia: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.84
HomeDDWWW1.84
AwayWLWWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%52%52%
AVG goals3.163.003.32
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored1.901.802.00
Conceded1.261.201.32
BTTS68%64%72%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners11.1611.0011.32
Cards5.275.225.32
FC Rostov
FC Rostov
Russia: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDW1.50
HomeDLWWD1.88
AwayWLLLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%31%
AVG goals2.902.922.88
Over 1.5 %78%83%73%
Over 2.5 %64%71%58%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.421.621.23
Conceded1.481.291.65
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners9.6610.219.15
Cards5.085.674.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC KrasnodarFC Krasnodar3067
67%
2.2
5923+36
2.7
77%
60%
27%
8.8
41%
4.4
62%
26.2
70%
114
3435452.00.8
57%
2ZenitZenit3066
67%
2.2
5818+40
2.5
70%
50%
27%
9.5
50%
4.3
60%
25.4
60%
182
10031501.90.6
61%
3CSKA MoscowCSKA Moscow3059
57%
2.0
4721+26
2.3
70%
43%
17%
8.9
33%
4.7
65%
23.6
70%
111
3748261.60.7
54%
4Spartak MoscowSpartak Moscow3057
57%
1.9
5625+31
2.7
83%
60%
23%
9.6
47%
5.5
73%
29.8
87%
129
5937341.90.8
63%
5DynamoDynamo3056
53%
1.9
6135+26
3.2
87%
60%
47%
10.9
67%
4.3
57%
26.1
83%
110
4524422.01.2
52%
6LokomotivLokomotiv3053
50%
1.8
5141+10
3.1
80%
53%
40%
10.7
61%
4.4
66%
25.2
79%
68
218401.71.4
50%
7RubinRubin3045
43%
1.5
4245-3
2.9
80%
57%
33%
9.8
50%
4.8
73%
26.9
80%
45
812251.41.5
43%
8FC RostovFC Rostov3039
33%
1.3
4143-2
2.8
83%
50%
33%
8.4
34%
4.3
69%
26.7
76%
32
145131.41.4
52%
9AkronAkron3035
33%
1.2
3955-16
3.1
83%
63%
40%
10.9
69%
3.7
41%
23.2
62%
25
11681.31.8
47%
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov3031
27%
1.0
3651-15
2.9
87%
50%
37%
9.4
37%
4.2
60%
21.8
60%
26
96111.21.7
49%
11Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod3230
25%
0.9
3058-28
2.8
81%
59%
25%
10.0
47%
4.4
57%
26.6
88%
18
6390.91.8
43%
12Dinamo MakhachkalaDinamo Makhachkala3029
20%
1.0
2735-8
2.1
63%
30%
17%
10.0
52%
4.9
66%
28.2
93%
20
9380.91.2
43%
13KhimkiKhimki3029
20%
1.0
3556-21
3.0
80%
50%
47%
10.9
73%
3.6
52%
24.6
73%
0
0001.21.9
47%
14AkhmatAkhmat3228
16%
0.9
3050-20
2.5
75%
44%
22%
10.6
62%
5.2
78%
29.5
88%
30
17490.91.6
48%
15FC OrenburgFC Orenburg3019
13%
0.6
2856-28
2.8
73%
53%
30%
11.8
73%
5.0
80%
24.3
77%
18
8370.91.9
51%
16FakelFakel3018
7%
0.6
1442-28
1.9
57%
27%
17%
8.8
40%
5.5
83%
28.3
100%
14
5270.51.4
42%
17FC SochiFC Sochi23
50%
1.5
43+1
3.5
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
5.0
100%
25.0
100%
15
5192.01.5
44%
18UralUral23
50%
1.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
9.5
50%
6.0
100%
29.0
100%
11
4241.01.5
46%
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →

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