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Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers Result & Analysis

Date: 06/09/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Longford Town
Longford Town
Vs
28%
27%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Longford Town win✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers win✗ Miss
44.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L11D10W14L12L01L14L22D23LA·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.901.072.001.001.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.002.200.802.401.202.00
vs Weaker (20)1.051.751.221.780.911.73
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L10W01L01L33D31W21W01L10W50WA·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06H·LON04/07A·KER12/07H·WEX26/07A·FIN02/08H·UCD09/08A·ATH23/08H·TRE30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.271.811.121.291.43
vs Stronger (12)1.171.421.291.861.000.80
vs Similar (15)1.671.072.250.621.001.57
vs Weaker (3)2.671.672.000.003.002.50
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.1%
Under 2.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.1%
No
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.5%
0-2
7.6%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
1-0 ✓
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
Longford Town goals ↓
Bray Wanderers goals →
01234
07.2%8.5%7.6%4.1%1.6%
16.2%13%9.3%4.9%2.0%
24.5%7.1%5.6%3.0%1.2%
31.8%2.9%2.3%1.2%0.5%
40.5%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Longford Town goals (down), columns = Bray Wanderers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Longford Town is 0.60 points worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.41).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Longford Town is 0.35 goals worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.49).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Longford Town is 0.50 goals worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.28).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L00D01L11D00D13L11D21WA·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.570.930.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.000.401.200.400.80
vs Weaker (20)0.700.650.670.780.730.55
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W01L00D22D21W11D01L00D50WA·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06H·LON04/07A·KER12/07H·WEX26/07A·FIN02/08H·UCD09/08A·ATH23/08H·TRE30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.901.000.810.291.00
vs Stronger (12)0.331.250.571.570.000.80
vs Similar (15)0.930.601.500.250.291.00
vs Weaker (3)0.671.000.000.001.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W10W13L01L01L01L11D02LA·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.501.070.381.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.200.401.200.801.20
vs Weaker (20)0.351.100.561.000.181.18
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D01L11D10W10W00D10W00DA·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06H·LON04/07A·KER12/07H·WEX26/07A·FIN02/08H·UCD09/08A·ATH23/08H·TRE30/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.370.810.311.000.43
vs Stronger (12)0.830.170.710.291.000.00
vs Similar (15)0.730.470.750.380.710.57
vs Weaker (3)2.000.672.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
LT wins
4
Draws
1
BW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers · H/A from LT
DateH/AGameScore
04/07/24ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-1
13/04/24HLT Vs Bray Wanderers0-3
25/03/24ABray Wanderers Vs LT1-1
14/10/23HLT Vs Bray Wanderers2-2
07/08/23ABray Wanderers Vs LT2-4
22/04/23HLT Vs Bray Wanderers1-1
10/03/23ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-0
12/08/22ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-3

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24ACork City Vs LT3-2
24/08/24HLT Vs Kerry2-2
10/08/24HLT Vs Treaty United1-4
02/08/24ACobh Ramblers Vs LT1-0
27/07/24HLT Vs UCD1-2
12/07/24AAthlone Town Vs LT4-1
04/07/24ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-1
28/06/24HLT Vs Finn Harps1-1
13/06/24AKerry Vs LT2-1
07/06/24ACork City Vs LT2-0

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/24HBW Vs Treaty United5-0
23/08/24AAthlone Town Vs BW0-1
09/08/24HBW Vs UCD0-1
02/08/24AFinn Harps Vs BW1-2
26/07/24HBW Vs Wexford3-1
12/07/24AKerry Vs BW3-3
04/07/24HBW Vs Longford Town0-1
28/06/24ACork City Vs BW1-0
13/06/24HBW Vs Athlone Town1-0
07/06/24ATreaty United Vs BW2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.82
HomeDDLLD0.88
AwayLWLLL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%21%15%
AVG goals2.883.042.73
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %58%71%46%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded1.801.881.73
BTTS58%71%46%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.30
HomeWLWLW1.42
AwayLLDWW1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%29%
AVG goals3.063.232.88
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %64%65%62%
Over 3.5 %40%46%33%
Scored1.501.691.29
Conceded1.561.541.58
BTTS62%65%58%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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