Longford Town vs Kerry Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026

Time: 18:30

Longford Town

58%

21%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Kerry

Ireland: First Division

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Longford Town, fresh from a 2-2 draw against Cobh Ramblers, will look to extend their momentum at home. The model favours a Longford win, assigning a 59% chance to a victory, 21% to a draw and 20% to a Kerry win. The expected total is 3.7 goals, with the most probable total being 3 goals at a 21% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 2-1 for Longford, with a 9.2% chance. Longford’s home form shows an average of 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against weaker opposition, while Kerry’s away form against stronger teams averages 1.55 scored and 2.36 conceded. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9%) with a 1% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%) with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%) with a 2% edge, Under 7.5 (96.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.1%), Under 6.5 (91.7%), Home +2 handicap (91.2%) and Home over 0.5 goals (90.5%) with a 15% edge.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Longford Town win

58.0%

Avg Implied 40.5% · @ 2.25

Edge

+17.4%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.36

10Bet

2.30

Superbet

2.30

Pinnacle

2.28

William Hil

2.25

Draw

21.0%

Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.38

Edge

-5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.65

10Bet

3.55

Betfair

3.50

Betano

3.45

Marathonbet

3.42

Kerry win

21.0%

Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.80

Edge

-11.6%

Best 5 market prices

Betano

2.87

Unibet

2.85

Dafabet

2.85

10Bet

2.84

Pinnacle

2.82

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Longford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.9

Avg scored

2.5

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.63	1.50	2.07	1.29	1.25	1.69
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	1.56	2.00	1.50	2.00	1.60	2.00
vs Weaker (21)	1.67	1.29	2.30	1.00	1.09	1.55
Clean sheet %	23% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kerry

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.4

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	1.53	1.38	1.06	1.43	2.07
vs Stronger (24)	1.38	1.71	1.23	1.15	1.55	2.36
vs Similar (6)	1.50	0.83	2.00	0.67	1.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

89.1%

@ 1.23+14.4%

Under 1.5

10.9%

@ 3.63-14.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.25

Unibet

1.25

Betano

1.24

Pinnacle

1.24

Betfair

1.22

Under

Betfair

4.10

Pinnacle

3.88

10Bet

3.80

Marathonbet

3.58

1xBet

3.58

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

71.4%

@ 1.78+19.1%

Under 2.5

28.6%

@ 1.94-19.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.82

10Bet

1.80

Betfair

1.80

Pinnacle

1.79

Superbet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

2.01

Betfair

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Marathonbet

1.96

1xBet

1.95

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.5

50.5%

@ 2.90+18.8%

Under 3.5

49.5%

@ 1.35-18.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

3.10

Unibet

3.00

10Bet

3.00

Pinnacle

2.97

1xBet

2.83

Under

10Bet

1.38

Pinnacle

1.37

Betano

1.36

Betfair

1.36

Superbet

1.34

Both teams to score

Yes

68.1%

@ 1.62+11.5%

31.9%

@ 2.12-11.5%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Unibet

1.64

Superbet

1.64

1xBet

1.62

Betfair

1.62

William Hil

1.62

Betfair

2.20

William Hil

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Superbet

2.12

Marathonbet

2.12

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

2-1

9.2%@ 7.83+3.8%

1-1

8.7%@ 5.97+1.7%

3-1

7.1%@ 14.93+4.3%

2-0

6.7%@ 10.55+2.7%

2-2

6.3%@ 11.01+2.5%

1-2

5.4%@ 8.94+0.7%

3-0

5.2%@ 19.83+3.1%

1-0

5.0%@ 7.82-0.4%

Longford Town goals ↓

	Kerry goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.3%	2.6%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
1	5.0%	8.7%	5.4%	2.5%	0.9%
2	6.7%	9.2%	6.3%	2.9%	1.0%
3	5.2%	7.1%	4.9%	2.2%	0.8%
4	3.0%	4.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Longford Town goals (down), columns = Kerry goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Kerry

2.00

Cork City

1.86

Athlone Town

1.86

Longford Town

1.86

UCD

1.57

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Treaty United

1.43

Bray Wanderers

1.29

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.00

Longford Town is 0.14 points worse than Kerry in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Cork City

2.57

Longford Town

2.57

Bray Wanderers

2.43

Kerry

2.29

UCD

2.29

Athlone Town

1.57

Cobh Ramblers

1.29

Treaty United

1.14

Wexford

1.00

Finn Harps

0.86

Longford Town is 0.29 goals better than Kerry in terms of goals scored per game (2.57 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Athlone Town

1.00

Kerry

1.14

Cobh Ramblers

1.43

Treaty United

1.43

Longford Town

1.57

Bray Wanderers

1.86

Wexford

1.86

Cork City

2.00

UCD

2.29

Finn Harps

3.43

Longford Town is 0.43 goals worse than Kerry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Longford Town or Draw

79.0%

Avg Implied 67.5% · @ 1.35

Edge

+11.5%

58%

21%

covers Longford Town + Draw

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.40

10Bet

1.40

Superbet

1.37

Betfair

1.36

1xBet

1.35

Longford Town or Kerry

79.0%

Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25

Edge

+5.7%

58%

21%

covers Longford Town + Kerry

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.27

Superbet

1.26

Betfair

1.25

Unibet

1.24

Draw or Kerry

42.0%

Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.54

Edge

-17.2%

58%

21%

covers Draw + Kerry

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.62

William Hil

1.57

Betfair

1.57

10Bet

1.57

Marathonbet

1.55

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Longford Town over/under 0.5

Over

90.2%

@ 1.22+14.6%

Under

9.8%

@ 3.76-14.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.22

Pinnacle

1.22

Betfair

1.22

1xBet

1.21

Superbet

1.21

Under

Pinnacle

3.97

10Bet

3.80

Betfair

3.75

1xBet

3.74

Superbet

3.55

Longford Town over/under 1.5

Over

67.5%

@ 2.09+23.3%

Under

32.5%

@ 1.66-23.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.17

Betfair

2.10

Superbet

2.10

10Bet

2.10

1xBet

2.09

Under

Betano

1.70

Marathonbet

1.68

Pinnacle

1.67

Betfair

1.67

1xBet

1.66

Longford Town over/under 2.5

Over

41.0%

@ 4.39+20.2%

Under

59.0%

@ 1.16-20.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

4.50

Betfair

4.50

1xBet

4.40

Marathonbet

4.30

Superbet

4.25

Under

Betfair

1.17

10Bet

1.17

1xBet

1.15

Marathonbet

1.15

Superbet

1.14

Longford Town over/under 3.5

Over

20.5%

@ 10.00+11.2%

Under

79.5%

@ 1.03-11.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

10.00

Under

Betfair

1.03

Kerry over/under 0.5

Over

74.6%

@ 1.28+3.2%

Under

25.4%

@ 3.22-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.30

Betfair

1.30

Marathonbet

1.28

1xBet

1.28

Pinnacle

1.28

Under

Pinnacle

3.37

10Bet

3.25

Betfair

3.20

1xBet

3.20

Marathonbet

3.20

Kerry over/under 1.5

Over

39.8%

@ 2.43+1.9%

Under

60.2%

@ 1.49-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

Pinnacle

2.50

Unibet

2.45

Marathonbet

2.43

Betano

2.42

Under

Betano

1.50

Pinnacle

1.50

10Bet

1.50

1xBet

1.50

Betfair

1.50

Kerry over/under 2.5

Over

16.0%

@ 5.47-0.7%

Under

84.0%

@ 1.10+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

6.00

Marathonbet

5.50

10Bet

5.50

1xBet

5.35

Superbet

5.00

Under

10Bet

1.11

Betfair

1.11

Superbet

1.10

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.08

Kerry over/under 3.5

Over

5.1%

Under

94.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Longford Town, so a minus line means Longford Town give that many goals of a start and Kerry receive them. At -1, Longford Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Longford Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Longford Town)

Longford Town -2

20.0%

@ 9.15+10.4%

Draw -2

17.4%

@ 6.35+3.5%

Kerry +2

62.6%

@ 1.15-13.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

10.00

Marathonbet

8.30

Draw

Betfair

6.50

Marathonbet

6.20

Away

Marathonbet

1.16

Betfair

1.14

Handicap -1 (Longford Town)

Longford Town -1

37.4%

@ 4.10+16.3%

Draw -1

20.6%

@ 3.73-2.5%

Kerry +1

42.0%

@ 1.54-13.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

4.33

10Bet

4.33

Marathonbet

4.10

Unibet

3.65

Draw

Betfair

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Marathonbet

3.74

Unibet

3.25

Away

Betfair

1.57

10Bet

1.57

Marathonbet

1.55

Unibet

1.48

Handicap +1 (Longford Town)

Longford Town +1

79.0%

@ 1.34+15.3%

Draw +1

11.8%

@ 4.14-8.8%

Kerry -1

9.2%

@ 5.42-6.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

1.40

Marathonbet

1.33

Unibet

1.29

Draw

Marathonbet

4.40

10Bet

4.33

Unibet

3.70

Away

10Bet

5.75

Marathonbet

5.60

Unibet

4.90

Handicap +2 (Longford Town)

Longford Town +2

90.8%

Draw +2

6.1%

Kerry -2

3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Longford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	0.60	0.93	0.50	0.62	0.69
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.78	0.78	0.75	0.50	0.80	1.00
vs Weaker (21)	0.76	0.52	1.00	0.50	0.55	0.55
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kerry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	0.47	0.81	0.31	0.64	0.64
vs Stronger (24)	0.67	0.54	0.62	0.31	0.73	0.82
vs Similar (6)	1.00	0.17	1.67	0.33	0.33	0.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	63% (+38pp vs league)

This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

76.9%

@ 1.31+6.8%

Under 0.5

23.1%

@ 3.07-6.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.33

1xBet

1.32

Superbet

1.32

Marathonbet

1.32

William Hil

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.21

Betfair

3.20

10Bet

3.20

William Hil

3.10

Marathonbet

2.96

Half Time Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

44.7%

@ 2.54+8.6%

Under 1.5

55.3%

@ 1.43-8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.67

Betfair

2.63

1xBet

2.56

Unibet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.53

Under

10Bet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.45

Betfair

1.44

William Hil

1.44

Marathonbet

1.43

Half Time Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

16.4%

@ 5.86+0.8%

Under 2.5

83.6%

@ 1.09-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

6.00

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

5.90

Marathonbet

5.90

Superbet

5.50

Under

William Hil

1.11

Betfair

1.10

Superbet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.07

1xBet

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Longford Town over/under 0.5 HT

Over

54.5%

@ 1.90+5.8%

Under

45.5%

@ 1.81-5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.93

Betano

1.93

Superbet

1.92

1xBet

1.91

Marathonbet

1.86

Under

10Bet

1.85

Pinnacle

1.83

1xBet

1.80

Marathonbet

1.80

Superbet

1.78

Longford Town over/under 1.5 HT

Over

20.0%

@ 5.77+4.0%

Under

80.0%

@ 1.10-4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.50

Marathonbet

5.55

10Bet

5.25

Under

10Bet

1.12

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.08

Longford Town over/under 2.5 HT

Over

3.8%

@ 17.00-1.8%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.01+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

17.00

Under

10Bet

1.01

Kerry over/under 0.5 HT

Over

46.7%

@ 2.08+2.4%

Under

53.3%

@ 1.65-2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.15

Pinnacle

2.13

Superbet

2.07

Marathonbet

2.07

10Bet

2.05

Under

10Bet

1.70

Pinnacle

1.67

Superbet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.64

Betano

1.62

Kerry over/under 1.5 HT

Over

12.7%

@ 6.67-1.1%

Under

87.3%

@ 1.07+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.00

Marathonbet

6.75

10Bet

6.25

Under

10Bet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.06

1xBet

1.06

Kerry over/under 2.5 HT

Over

2.0%

@ 23.00-2.2%

Under

98.0%

@ 1.01+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

23.00

Under

10Bet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Longford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.1

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.90	1.14	0.79	0.62	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.78	1.22	0.75	1.50	0.80	1.00
vs Weaker (21)	0.90	0.76	1.30	0.50	0.55	1.00
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kerry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	1.07	0.56	0.75	0.79	1.43
vs Stronger (24)	0.71	1.17	0.62	0.85	0.82	1.55
vs Similar (6)	0.50	0.67	0.33	0.33	0.67	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (+4pp vs league)

This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

84.1%

@ 1.19+7.6%

Under 0.5

15.9%

@ 3.87-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.22

1xBet

1.18

Marathonbet

1.18

Superbet

1.18

Under

Marathonbet

3.92

1xBet

3.92

William Hil

3.90

Superbet

3.75

Second Half Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

52.4%

@ 1.96+5.3%

Under 1.5

47.6%

@ 1.74-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.00

1xBet

1.99

Marathonbet

1.97

William Hil

1.95

Betano

1.91

Under

Betano

1.78

William Hil

1.75

Marathonbet

1.74

1xBet

1.73

Superbet

1.72

Second Half Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

26.5%

@ 3.94+3.4%

Under 2.5

73.5%

@ 1.18-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

4.00

1xBet

3.96

Marathonbet

3.94

Superbet

3.85

Under

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.17

Superbet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.17

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Longford Town over/under 0.5 2H

Over

61.1%

@ 1.66+5.2%

Under

38.9%

@ 2.10-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.67

Superbet

1.66

1xBet

1.64

Under

1xBet

2.12

10Bet

2.10

Superbet

2.07

Longford Town over/under 1.5 2H

Over

25.4%

@ 4.16+3.3%

Under

74.6%

@ 1.18-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

4.33

1xBet

4.10

Marathonbet

4.05

Under

Marathonbet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

10Bet

1.18

Longford Town over/under 2.5 2H

Over

8.8%

@ 11.00+0.3%

Under

91.2%

@ 1.02-0.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

11.00

Under

10Bet

1.02

Kerry over/under 0.5 2H

Over

49.3%

@ 1.78-2.6%

Under

50.7%

@ 1.92+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.80

Superbet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.78

1xBet

1.75

Under

1xBet

1.96

Superbet

1.92

10Bet

1.91

Marathonbet

1.88

Kerry over/under 1.5 2H

Over

14.9%

@ 4.87-3.9%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.13+3.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

5.00

Marathonbet

4.90

1xBet

4.70

Under

1xBet

1.14

10Bet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.12

Kerry over/under 2.5 2H

Over

3.4%

@ 15.00-2.9%

Under

96.6%

@ 1.02+2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

15.00

Under

10Bet

1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.0%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.6%	1.02	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9%
Under 7.5	96.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.2%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.8%
Away under 3.5 goals	94.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 6.5	91.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home under 2.5 2H goals	91.2%	1.02	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	-	-0.3%
Home +2 handicap	90.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home over 0.5 goals	90.2%	1.22	10Bet 1.22	Pinnacle 1.22	Betfair 1.22	1xBet 1.21	Superbet 1.21	+14.6%
Over 1.5	89.1%	1.23	10Bet 1.25	Unibet 1.25	Betano 1.24	Pinnacle 1.24	Betfair 1.22	+14.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals	87.3%	1.07	10Bet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	+1.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals	85.1%	1.13	1xBet 1.14	10Bet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.12	-	-	+3.9%
Over 0.5 2H goals	84.1%	1.19	William Hil 1.22	1xBet 1.18	Marathonbet 1.18	Superbet 1.18	-	+7.6%
Away under 2.5 goals	84.0%	1.10	10Bet 1.11	Betfair 1.11	Superbet 1.10	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.08	+0.7%
Under 2.5 HT goals	83.6%	1.09	William Hil 1.11	Betfair 1.10	Superbet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.07	1xBet 1.07	-0.8%
Under 5.5	83.1%	1.04	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-8.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals	80.0%	1.10	10Bet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.08	-	-	-4.0%
Home under 3.5 goals	79.5%	1.03	Betfair 1.03	-	-	-	-	-11.2%
Home or Draw	79.0%	1.35	William Hil 1.40	10Bet 1.40	Superbet 1.37	Betfair 1.36	1xBet 1.35	+11.5%
Home +1 handicap	79.0%	1.34	10Bet 1.40	Marathonbet 1.33	Unibet 1.29	-	-	+15.3%
Home or Away	79.0%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.27	Superbet 1.26	Betfair 1.25	Unibet 1.24	+5.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals	76.9%	1.31	Pinnacle 1.33	1xBet 1.32	Superbet 1.32	Marathonbet 1.32	William Hil 1.30	+6.8%
Away over 0.5 goals	74.6%	1.28	10Bet 1.30	Betfair 1.30	Marathonbet 1.28	1xBet 1.28	Pinnacle 1.28	+3.2%
Home under 1.5 2H goals	74.6%	1.18	Marathonbet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	10Bet 1.18	-	-	-3.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals	73.5%	1.18	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.17	Superbet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	-	-3.4%
Over 2.5	71.4%	1.78	Unibet 1.82	10Bet 1.80	Betfair 1.80	Pinnacle 1.79	Superbet 1.77	+19.1%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (2)

€0m

CR (2)

€0m

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

TU (1)

€0m

CC (2)

€0m

FH (1)

€0m

AT (1)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FH (1)

€0m

BW (1)

€0m

KER (1)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

CR (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CR (2)

€0m

CC (0)

€0m

BW (0)

€0m

AT (0)

€0m

FH (0)

€0m

TU (0)

€0m

KER (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

LT wins

Draws

KER wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Longford Town vs Kerry · H/A from LT

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/25	A	Kerry Vs LT	1-0
12/07/25	H	LT Vs Kerry	3-1
30/05/25	A	Kerry Vs LT	2-0
15/03/25	H	LT Vs Kerry	3-2
24/08/24	H	LT Vs Kerry	2-2
13/06/24	A	Kerry Vs LT	2-1
06/05/24	H	LT Vs Kerry	2-1
05/04/24	A	Kerry Vs LT	3-0

Longford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/08/26	A	Cobh Ramblers Vs LT	2-2
22/08/26	H	LT Vs Bray Wanderers	4-2
07/08/26	A	Athlone Town Vs LT	2-1
03/08/26	H	LT Vs Finn Harps	5-0
31/07/26	A	Treaty United Vs LT	0-1
25/07/26	H	LT Vs Wexford	1-2
10/07/26	A	Cork City Vs LT	3-4
17/10/25	A	Athlone Town Vs LT	1-2
10/10/25	H	LT Vs Cobh Ramblers	3-1
05/10/25	A	Treaty United Vs LT	1-2

Kerry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/08/26	H	KER Vs Treaty United	3-1
21/08/26	H	KER Vs UCD	1-1
07/08/26	A	Cork City Vs KER	3-1
03/08/26	H	KER Vs Cobh Ramblers	3-0
31/07/26	A	Bray Wanderers Vs KER	0-4
24/07/26	H	KER Vs Finn Harps	2-1
10/07/26	A	Wexford Vs KER	2-2
17/10/25	A	Bray Wanderers Vs KER	5-1
13/10/25	A	Finn Harps Vs KER	1-1
10/10/25	H	KER Vs Wexford	0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Longford Town

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWD	1.38
Home	WWLWW	1.80
Away	WWWLD	0.96

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	38%	52%	24%
AVG goals	2.96	2.88	3.04
Over 1.5 %	82%	84%	80%
Over 2.5 %	56%	52%	60%
Over 3.5 %	36%	32%	40%
Scored	1.42	1.76	1.08
Conceded	1.54	1.12	1.96
BTTS	60%	56%	64%
Clean Sheet	22%	28%	16%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Kerry

Ireland: First Division

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLDW	1.10
Home	LWWDW	1.52
Away	DLDWL	0.68

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	44%	12%
AVG goals	2.84	2.32	3.36
Over 1.5 %	80%	76%	84%
Over 2.5 %	50%	36%	64%
Over 3.5 %	32%	16%	48%
Scored	1.24	1.24	1.24
Conceded	1.60	1.08	2.12
BTTS	50%	36%	64%
Clean Sheet	24%	32%	16%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Kerry	7	14	57%	2.0	16	8	+8	3.4	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.1	-
2	Longford Town	7	13	57%	1.9	18	11	+7	4.1	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	1.6	-
3	Cork City	7	13	57%	1.9	18	14	+4	4.6	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.6	2.0	-
4	Athlone Town	7	13	57%	1.9	11	7	+4	2.6	86%	57%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.0	-
5	UCD	7	11	43%	1.6	16	16	+0	4.6	86%	71%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	2.3	-
6	Cobh Ramblers	7	10	43%	1.4	9	10	-1	2.7	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.4	-
7	Treaty United	7	10	43%	1.4	8	10	-2	2.6	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.1	1.4	-
8	Bray Wanderers	7	9	43%	1.3	17	13	+4	4.3	100%	100%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.4	1.9	-
9	Wexford	7	7	29%	1.0	7	13	-6	2.9	86%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.9	-
10	Finn Harps	7	0	0%	0.0	6	24	-18	4.3	86%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	3.4	-

Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

← all matches

Longford Town vs Kerry Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Longford Town

Kerry

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Longford Town

Kerry

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Longford Town

Kerry

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Longford Town

Kerry

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature