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Longford Town vs Wexford Result & Analysis

Date: 21/09/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 3-0
Longford Town
Longford Town
Vs
23%
25%
52%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Longford Town win✓ Hit
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wexford win✗ Miss
52.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W14L12L01L14L22D23L10W01LH·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08H·BRA06/09A·FIN13/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.831.001.791.001.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.002.200.802.401.202.00
vs Weaker (20)1.001.651.111.440.911.82
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L30W13L11D20W32W31W21W21W00DH·COR04/07H·COB12/07A·BRA26/07A·UCD02/08H·FIN09/08A·ATH12/08A·TRE23/08H·ATH30/08A·COB06/09H·BRA17/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.431.561.381.931.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.671.602.201.501.00
vs Weaker (21)1.811.331.551.002.101.70
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.5%
Under 2.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.1%
Under 3.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.3%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
6.2%
1-3
6.1%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
Longford Town goals ↓
Wexford goals →
01234
05.9%7.9%8.3%5.2%2.4%
14.6%12%9.8%6.1%2.8%
23.3%6.2%5.7%3.6%1.7%
31.3%2.4%2.2%1.4%0.6%
40.4%0.7%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Longford Town goals (down), columns = Wexford goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Longford Town is 0.69 points worse than Wexford in terms of average points per game (0.81 vs 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Longford Town is 0.47 goals worse than Wexford in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.61).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Longford Town is 0.28 goals worse than Wexford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.78 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L11D00D13L11D21W00D00DH·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08H·BRA06/09A·FIN13/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.430.860.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.401.000.401.200.400.80
vs Weaker (20)0.600.600.440.670.730.55
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D12L10W10W02L00D10W10W00DH·COR04/07H·COB12/07A·BRA26/07A·UCD02/08H·FIN09/08A·ATH12/08A·TRE23/08H·ATH30/08A·COB06/09H·BRA17/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.690.310.860.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.560.400.801.250.25
vs Weaker (21)0.760.480.820.090.700.90
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W13L01L01L01L11D02L10W01LH·FIN28/06A·BRA04/07A·ATH12/07H·UCD27/07A·COB02/08H·TRE10/08H·KER24/08A·COR30/08H·BRA06/09A·FIN13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.100.570.930.381.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.200.401.200.801.20
vs Weaker (20)0.401.050.670.780.181.27
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L01L10W30W31W11D11D00DH·COR04/07H·COB12/07A·BRA26/07A·UCD02/08H·FIN09/08A·ATH12/08A·TRE23/08H·ATH30/08A·COB06/09H·BRA17/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.930.881.061.070.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.111.201.400.250.75
vs Weaker (21)1.050.860.730.911.400.80
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
LT wins
2
Draws
3
WEX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Longford Town vs Wexford · H/A from LT
DateH/AGameScore
03/06/24AWexford Vs LT2-2
27/04/24HLT Vs Wexford1-2
16/04/24AWexford Vs LT2-2
25/09/23AWexford Vs LT2-0
01/07/23HLT Vs Wexford2-1
19/05/23AWexford Vs LT0-3
15/04/23HLT Vs Wexford1-2
20/08/22HLT Vs Wexford1-0

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/24AFinn Harps Vs LT1-0
06/09/24HLT Vs Bray Wanderers1-0
30/08/24ACork City Vs LT3-2
24/08/24HLT Vs Kerry2-2
10/08/24HLT Vs Treaty United1-4
02/08/24ACobh Ramblers Vs LT1-0
27/07/24HLT Vs UCD1-2
12/07/24AAthlone Town Vs LT4-1
04/07/24ABray Wanderers Vs LT0-1
28/06/24HLT Vs Finn Harps1-1

WexfordWexford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/24HWEX Vs Bray Wanderers0-0
06/09/24ACobh Ramblers Vs WEX1-2
30/08/24HWEX Vs Athlone Town2-1
23/08/24ATreaty United Vs WEX1-3
12/08/24AAthlone Town Vs WEX2-3
09/08/24HWEX Vs Finn Harps2-0
02/08/24AUCD Vs WEX1-1
26/07/24ABray Wanderers Vs WEX3-1
12/07/24HWEX Vs Cobh Ramblers3-0
04/07/24HWEX Vs Cork City1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.86
HomeDLLDW0.96
AwayWLLLL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%25%15%
AVG goals2.903.082.73
Over 1.5 %74%83%65%
Over 2.5 %58%71%46%
Over 3.5 %36%33%38%
Scored1.101.211.00
Conceded1.801.881.73
BTTS58%71%46%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.58
HomeLWWWD1.40
AwayLDWWW1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%36%48%
AVG goals2.942.922.96
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.581.521.64
Conceded1.361.401.32
BTTS68%64%72%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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