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Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town Result & Analysis

Date: 28/08/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 3-3
Loughgall
Loughgall
Vs
67%
22%
11%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Loughgall are the clear favourites, with the model assigning a 67% chance of a home win and picking that outcome as the most likely result. Their recent 2-1 victory over Ards and a strong home form - averaging 1.25 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded against weaker opposition - contrast sharply with Warrenpoint Town’s away struggles, who average 0.67 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly high-scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-0, with a 13.4% probability. The model also projects a 22% draw and an 11% away win. Suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8% with a 5% edge), Home +2 handicap (96.8%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.5% with a 9% edge), and Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.5%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Loughgall, failed to deliver, as the match finished 3-3, a draw that was not predicted by the model. The model had chosen a home win with a 67% probability, but the outcome was a draw, so the call was wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.4%, Under 7.5 hit at 99.3%, Under 6.5 hit at 97.8%, and Home +2 handicap hit at 96.8%. Only Away under 2.5 goals missed, at 96.5%. Both sides were unbeaten in their last five, with Loughgall’s run of DWDDW and Warrenpoint’s DWLWL, each ending in a 3-3 stalemate.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Loughgall win✗ Miss
67.3%
Avg Implied 54.2% · @ 1.67
Edge
+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.75
Dafabet
1.71
Bet365
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Unibet
1.68
Draw✓ Hit
21.6%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.59
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Betano
3.65
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.64
Warrenpoint Town win✗ Miss
11.1%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.41
Edge
-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.68
Dafabet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
BetVictor
4.50
William Hil
4.40

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L11D20W00D12L31W22D00D21WH·INS20/03H·LIM28/03A·ANN04/04H·H&W11/04A·QUE18/04A·NEW24/04A·RAT08/08H·NEW11/08A·INS15/08A·ARD22/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.971.651.001.000.92
vs Stronger (6)2.000.672.750.750.500.50
vs Similar (18)1.171.171.331.331.001.00
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.250.501.501.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D00D02L10W01L03L20W13L30WA·ARD21/03H·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.071.291.251.38
vs Stronger (23)0.871.701.091.640.671.75
vs Similar (7)2.140.141.000.003.000.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
@ 1.22+2.2%
Under 1.5
23.5%
@ 3.55-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.75-1.4%
Under 2.5
48.7%
@ 1.95+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Under
Bet365
2.05
BetVictor
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.2%
@ 2.76-3.7%
Under 3.5
70.8%
@ 1.35+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.81
1xBet
2.81
Unibet
2.80
Superbet
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Under
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.8%
@ 1.72-8.4%
No
55.2%
@ 1.96+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.74
William Hil
1.73
Bet365
1.73
No
Bet365
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Unibet
1.95
Betano
1.95

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%@ 8.25+8.1%
1-0
12.3%@ 7.25+6.3%
1-1
10.3%@ 6.88+3.9%
2-1
9.4%@ 7.75+3.8%
3-0
9.0%@ 12.50+5.5%
0-0
7.5%@ 10.75+3.4%
3-1
6.4%@ 12.75+2.9%
4-0
4.6%@ 24.50+2.8%
Loughgall goals ↓
Warrenpoint Town goals →
01234
07.5%3.7%1.6%0.4%0.1%
112%10%3.3%0.8%0.1%
213%9.4%3.3%0.8%0.1%
39.0%6.4%2.2%0.5%0.1%
44.6%3.2%1.1%0.3%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Loughgall goals (down), columns = Warrenpoint Town goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Loughgall is 0.40 points better than Warrenpoint Town in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Loughgall is 0.20 goals better than Warrenpoint Town in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Loughgall is 0.40 goals better than Warrenpoint Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Loughgall or Draw✓ Hit
88.9%
Avg Implied 79.3% · @ 1.15
Edge
+9.7%
67%
22%
11%
covers Loughgall + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.13
Loughgall or Warrenpoint Town✗ Miss
78.4%
Avg Implied 75.0% · @ 1.22
Edge
+3.3%
67%
22%
11%
covers Loughgall + Warrenpoint Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
Draw or Warrenpoint Town✓ Hit
32.7%
Avg Implied 45.7% · @ 2.00
Edge
-13.0%
67%
22%
11%
covers Draw + Warrenpoint Town
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.03
Superbet
2.00

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Loughgall over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.7%
@ 1.13+5.5%
Under
13.3%
@ 4.88-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.55
Loughgall over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
60.0%
@ 1.72+6.4%
Under
40.0%
@ 1.98-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Betano
1.98
Loughgall over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
32.9%
@ 3.25+4.5%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.29-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.27
Loughgall over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 6.65+0.7%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.07-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
50.6%
@ 1.48-11.4%
Under
49.4%
@ 2.42+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Unibet
1.46
Superbet
1.46
Under
Betano
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.34
Unibet
2.33
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
15.8%
@ 3.33-11.9%
Under
84.2%
@ 1.27+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.42
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Superbet
3.15
Under
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
3.5%
@ 7.65-8.5%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.04+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Under
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
Warrenpoint Town over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.6%
@ 15.00-5.7%
Under
99.4%
@ 1.01+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Loughgall, so a minus line means Loughgall give that many goals of a start and Warrenpoint Town receive them. At -1, Loughgall must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Loughgall win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Loughgall)Actual: Warrenpoint Town
Loughgall -2
22.1%
@ 5.55+5.8%
Draw -2
21.0%
@ 4.83+2.3%
Warrenpoint Town +2
57.0%
@ 1.39-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.10
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Handicap -1 (Loughgall)Actual: Warrenpoint Town
Loughgall -1
43.0%
@ 2.64+10.8%
Draw -1
24.3%
@ 3.41-0.7%
Warrenpoint Town +1
32.7%
@ 1.98-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.66
Unibet
2.50
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.05
Away
Marathonbet
2.04
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.90
Handicap +1 (Loughgall)Actual: Loughgall
Loughgall +1
88.9%
@ 1.20+13.2%
Draw +1
7.9%
@ 6.00-7.3%
Warrenpoint Town -1
3.2%
@ 10.00-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Away
Bet365
10.00
Handicap +2 (Loughgall)Actual: Loughgall
Loughgall +2
96.8%
@ 1.06+7.7%
Draw +2
2.6%
@ 13.00-4.7%
Warrenpoint Town -2
0.6%
@ 26.00-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
26.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LoughgallLoughgall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L10W10W00D11D10W12L00D11DH·INS20/03H·LIM28/03A·ANN04/04H·H&W11/04A·QUE18/04A·NEW24/04A·RAT08/08H·NEW11/08A·INS15/08A·ARD22/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.650.410.540.54
vs Stronger (6)0.670.170.750.250.500.00
vs Similar (18)0.610.720.670.670.560.78
vs Weaker (6)0.500.000.500.000.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D02L10W01L01L10W01L10WA·ARD21/03H·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.570.500.500.75
vs Stronger (23)0.350.780.550.640.170.92
vs Similar (7)1.140.140.670.001.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
67.5%
@ 1.32-1.5%
Under 0.5
32.5%
@ 2.95+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Under
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.92
1xBet
2.86
Marathonbet
2.86
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.53-3.5%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.42+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.53
Under
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.6%
@ 5.75-5.4%
Under 2.5
89.4%
@ 1.10+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
6.00
Superbet
5.70
1xBet
5.30
Under
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.7%
@ 1.70-2.7%
Under
48.3%
@ 2.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Superbet
1.73
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Loughgall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.6%
@ 4.30-4.8%
Under
83.4%
@ 1.17+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.30
Under
1xBet
1.17
Loughgall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
Under
96.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.6%
@ 2.47-2.7%
Under
65.4%
@ 1.47+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.52
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.51
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.43
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 8.70-4.0%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LoughgallLoughgall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D01L10W00D01L21W10W00D10WH·INS20/03H·LIM28/03A·ANN04/04H·H&W11/04A·QUE18/04A·NEW24/04A·RAT08/08H·NEW11/08A·INS15/08A·ARD22/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.501.000.590.460.38
vs Stronger (6)1.330.502.000.500.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.560.440.670.670.440.22
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.750.501.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D00D00D02L10W12L20WA·ARD21/03H·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.500.790.750.62
vs Stronger (23)0.520.910.551.000.500.83
vs Similar (7)1.000.000.330.001.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.1%
@ 1.19-0.6%
Under 0.5
22.9%
@ 4.14+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
3.80
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 1.94-5.2%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.75+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.97
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
Under
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 3.83-7.1%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.21+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.3%
@ 1.47+0.8%
Under
36.7%
@ 2.45-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Under
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.40
Loughgall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
23.3%
@ 3.20-5.4%
Under
76.7%
@ 1.29+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Under
1xBet
1.29
Loughgall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.8%
@ 8.70-4.7%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 2.07-2.3%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.67+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.69
Superbet
1.64
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
10.9%
@ 6.40-3.4%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.07+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.07
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 3.5 goals99.4%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+5.7%✓ Hit
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals98.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+5.1%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap96.8%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+7.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals96.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals96.5%1.04
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.03
---+8.5%✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.2%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.7%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.1%1.04
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.03
---+3.3%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals93.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.4%1.10
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.11
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.07
-+5.4%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.1%1.07
1xBet
1.07
----+3.4%✗ Miss
Home or Draw88.9%1.15
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Unibet
1.13
+9.7%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap88.9%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+13.2%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals86.7%1.13
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
--+5.5%✓ Hit
Under 4.585.9%1.13
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
--+4.7%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals85.3%1.07
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
----0.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals84.2%1.27
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
-+11.9%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals83.4%1.17
1xBet
1.17
----+4.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.1%1.21
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.18
--+7.1%✗ Miss
Home or Away78.4%1.22
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
+3.3%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals77.1%1.19
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
---0.6%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals76.7%1.29
1xBet
1.29
----+5.4%✗ Miss
Over 1.576.5%1.22
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
+2.2%✓ Hit
Under 3.570.8%1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
+3.7%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Loughgall and Warrenpoint Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Loughgall and Warrenpoint Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
Loughgall and Warrenpoint Town have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
LOU wins
1
Draws
3
WT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Loughgall vs Warrenpoint Town · H/A from LOU
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HLOU Vs Warrenpoint Town1-0
20/12/25AWarrenpoint Town Vs LOU1-0
11/10/25HLOU Vs Warrenpoint Town1-1
22/04/23HLOU Vs Warrenpoint Town1-2
14/02/23AWarrenpoint Town Vs LOU1-3
22/10/22AWarrenpoint Town Vs LOU2-0
13/08/22HLOU Vs Warrenpoint Town2-0

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26AArds Vs LOU1-2
15/08/26AInstitute Vs LOU0-0
11/08/26HLOU Vs Newington Youth2-2
08/08/26ARathfriland Vs LOU1-3
24/04/26ANewington Youth Vs LOU2-1
18/04/26AQueen's University Vs LOU0-0
11/04/26HLOU Vs H&W Welders2-0
04/04/26AAnnagh United Vs LOU1-1
28/03/26HLOU Vs Limavady United0-1
20/03/26HLOU Vs Institute1-3

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26ANewry City AFC Vs WT0-3
15/08/26HWT Vs Ards1-3
11/08/26HWT Vs Armagh City2-0
08/08/26AH&W Welders Vs WT3-0
25/04/26HWT Vs Ards0-1
18/04/26ABallinamallard United Vs WT0-1
11/04/26ADundela Vs WT2-0
04/04/26AInstitute Vs WT0-0
28/03/26HWT Vs Armagh City0-0
21/03/26AArds Vs WT3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Loughgall
Loughgall
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDW1.44
HomeDLLWD1.65
AwayDLWDW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.522.692.33
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %26%27%25%
Scored1.341.541.12
Conceded1.181.151.21
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.22
HomeLDLWL1.52
AwayDLWLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals2.642.802.48
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.281.521.04
Conceded1.361.281.44
BTTS40%52%28%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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