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Lovćen vs Kom Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 18:00
Lovćen
Lovćen
Vs
39%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kom
Kom
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The clash between Lovćen and Kom is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win yet recognising a tight contest. Lovćen’s recent five-match run of WWLWW, including a 3-2 victory over Berane, shows they are on a two-game winning streak, while Kom, after a solitary win before a four-match losing streak, entered the fixture with a 2-0 win over Jedinstvo. The model assigns a 39% chance to a Lovćen victory, 27% for a draw and 34% for a Kom win, making the home win the most likely result. The expected total goals sit at 2.9, with the most probable total of 2 goals occurring 24% of the time. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8% probability. Lovćen’s home form shows 0.62 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against similar opponents, whereas Kom’s away form yields 2.0 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.8%), and Home under 3.5 goals (93.4%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovćen win
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kom win
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L10W21W00D10W42W03L32W32WH·GRB18/04A·OTR26/04H·INT03/05A·RUD10/05H·BER16/05H·KOM20/05A·IGA24/05H·MLA16/08A·JED22/08H·BER29/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.400.941.311.431.50
vs Stronger (17)1.591.181.251.121.891.22
vs Similar (13)0.621.690.621.500.602.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KomKom

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W14L12L34L02L01L02L13L12L20WH·MLA18/04A·RUD26/04H·ISK03/05A·BER10/05H·GRB16/05A·LOV20/05H·OTR24/05H·MOG16/08A·MLA23/08H·JED29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.231.310.941.791.57
vs Stronger (21)1.381.241.231.081.621.50
vs Similar (9)1.891.221.670.332.001.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.2%
Under 2.5
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.2%
0-0
6.7%
0-1
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Lovćen goals ↓
Kom goals →
01234
06.7%6.5%5.3%2.4%0.8%
17.2%13%8.0%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.7%6.0%2.8%1.0%
33.2%4.4%3.0%1.4%0.5%
41.2%1.7%1.1%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lovćen goals (down), columns = Kom goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Lovćen is 0.06 points worse than Kom in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Lovćen is 0.36 goals worse than Kom in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Lovćen is 0.06 goals worse than Kom in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.19).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lovćen or Draw
66.3%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Lovćen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lovćen or Kom
72.9%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Lovćen + Kom
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kom
60.8%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Kom
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lovćen over/under 0.5
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
Under
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
Under
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5
Over
40.2%
Under
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Lovćen, so a minus line means Lovćen give that many goals of a start and Kom receive them. At -1, Lovćen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lovćen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lovćen)
Lovćen -2
7.7%
Draw -2
12.0%
Kom +2
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lovćen)
Lovćen -1
19.7%
Draw -1
19.6%
Kom +1
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lovćen)
Lovćen +1
66.3%
Draw +1
17.9%
Kom -1
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lovćen)
Lovćen +2
84.2%
Draw +2
10.1%
Kom -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LovćenLovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D21W00D00D10W00D20W12LH·GRB18/04A·OTR26/04H·INT03/05A·RUD10/05H·BER16/05H·KOM20/05A·IGA24/05H·MLA16/08A·JED22/08H·BER29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.310.620.500.79
vs Stronger (17)0.530.590.500.500.560.67
vs Similar (13)0.230.850.120.750.401.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KomKom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L02L31W00D00D01L13L11D10WH·MLA18/04A·RUD26/04H·ISK03/05A·BER10/05H·GRB16/05A·LOV20/05H·OTR24/05H·MOG16/08A·MLA23/08H·JED29/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.500.560.710.71
vs Stronger (21)0.570.710.540.690.620.75
vs Similar (9)0.670.440.330.000.830.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.9%
Under 0.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.9%
Under 1.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.8%
Under
86.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 0.5 HT
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LovćenLovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W00D00D10W32W03L12L20WH·GRB18/04A·OTR26/04H·INT03/05A·RUD10/05H·BER16/05H·KOM20/05A·IGA24/05H·MLA16/08A·JED22/08H·BER29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.620.690.930.71
vs Stronger (17)1.060.590.750.621.330.56
vs Similar (13)0.380.850.500.750.201.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Kom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KomKom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L10W03L02L01L01L00D01L10WH·MLA18/04A·RUD26/04H·ISK03/05A·BER10/05H·GRB16/05A·LOV20/05H·OTR24/05H·MOG16/08A·MLA23/08H·JED29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.600.810.381.070.86
vs Stronger (21)0.810.520.690.381.000.75
vs Similar (9)1.220.781.330.331.171.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lovćen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
78.7%
Under 0.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.2%
Under 1.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.0%
Under 2.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lovćen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.5%
Under
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.9%
Under
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lovćen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kom over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.0%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.2%-------
Under 6.597.2%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.9%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.3%-------
Under 5.592.7%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals89.0%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals86.8%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals86.2%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.2%-------
Home +2 handicap84.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.8%-------
Under 4.583.3%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals81.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals80.7%-------
Away +2 handicap80.3%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.1%-------
Over 1.579.5%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals78.7%-------
Home over 0.5 goals77.8%-------
Away over 0.5 goals74.9%-------
Home or Away72.9%-------
Over 0.5 HT goals70.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
Lovćen and Kom have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
Lovćen and Kom have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
Lovćen and Kom have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
LOV wins
2
Draws
2
KOM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lovćen vs Kom · H/A from LOV
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/26HLOV Vs Kom1-0
28/03/26AKom Vs LOV0-0
23/11/25HLOV Vs Kom0-2
24/09/25AKom Vs LOV1-0
10/05/25AKom Vs LOV0-0
24/03/25HLOV Vs Kom2-1
03/11/24AKom Vs LOV1-3
11/09/24HLOV Vs Kom3-0

LovćenLovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HLOV Vs Berane3-2
22/08/26AJedinstvo Vs LOV2-3
16/08/26HLOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje0-3
24/05/26AIgalo Vs LOV2-4
20/05/26HLOV Vs Kom1-0
16/05/26HLOV Vs Berane0-0
10/05/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs LOV1-2
03/05/26HLOV Vs Internacional Podgorica1-0
26/04/26AOtrant-Olympic Vs LOV2-1
18/04/26HLOV Vs Grbalj0-2

KomKom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HKOM Vs Jedinstvo2-0
23/08/26AMladost Lješkopolje Vs KOM2-1
16/08/26HKOM Vs Mogren1-3
24/05/26HKOM Vs Otrant-Olympic0-2
20/05/26ALovćen Vs KOM1-0
16/05/26HKOM Vs Grbalj0-2
10/05/26ABerane Vs KOM4-3
03/05/26HKOM Vs Iskra (Montenegro)1-2
26/04/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs KOM4-1
18/04/26HKOM Vs Mladost Lješkopolje1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lovćen
Lovćen
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.38
HomeWDWLW1.24
AwayLLWWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%36%44%
AVG goals2.462.442.48
Over 1.5 %62%64%60%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.080.961.20
Conceded1.381.481.28
BTTS36%32%40%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Kom
Kom
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.36
HomeLLLLW1.69
AwayWLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.782.353.25
Over 1.5 %72%65%79%
Over 2.5 %48%35%62%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.361.381.33
Conceded1.420.961.92
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
2ZetaZeta37
67%
2.3
41+3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
3MogrenMogren36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
4LovćenLovćen36
67%
2.0
67-1
4.3
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.3
-
5GrbaljGrbalj35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
6KomKom33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
7Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.7
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.7
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
10BeraneBerane30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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