Lovćen vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 0-3

Lovćen

23%

28%

49%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Mladost Lješkopolje

Montenegro: Second League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Lovćen is likely to face a tough challenge against Mladost Lješko Polje, as the away side has recently been performing well, coming off a win against Berane. This storyline sets the tone for a closely contested match.

The model predicts an away win, with a 49% probability, while Lovćen has a 23% chance of winning and a 28% chance of a draw. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely score being 1-1, which has a probability of 13.5%.

Lovćen's home form is somewhat concerning, with an average of 1.25 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against stronger opponents. Mladost Lješko Polje, on the other hand, has averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.36 conceded as an away side against weaker opponents.

The model's selections include Under 3.5, with a 76.5% probability, and Over 1.5, with a 71.8% probability. Lovćen has a 23% chance of winning, a 28% chance of a draw, and a 49% chance of losing.

Results analysis

Lovćen's recent form storyline took a hit with their third consecutive defeat, LWWDW, with the latest coming against Mladost Lješko Polje. However, the away side's momentum continued, extending their winning run to two games. In the end, it was the away team that secured the win, with the final score reading 0-3. The model's selection, Mladost Lješko Polje to win, proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 49%. The model's call on the match was correct, as it correctly identified the away side as the favourite. The model's selections largely came in, with Under 3.5 goals hitting and Over 1.5 goals also landing, both with high probabilities of 76.4% and 71.8% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lovćen win✗ Miss

22.7%

Avg Implied 50.9% · @ 1.77

Edge

-28.3%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.80

William Hil

1.80

Dafabet

1.79

Betano

1.78

Pinnacle

1.76

Draw✗ Miss

28.4%

Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.25

Edge

+0.6%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

3.40

1xBet

3.30

Betano

3.30

Betfair

3.30

Pinnacle

3.25

Mladost Lješkopolje win✓ Hit

49.0%

Avg Implied 21.3% · @ 4.22

Edge

+27.6%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

4.50

1xBet

4.34

Dafabet

4.30

William Hil

4.20

10Bet

4.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lovćen

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.00	1.27	0.80	1.13	1.20	1.40
vs Stronger (16)	1.50	1.00	1.25	0.88	1.75	1.12
vs Similar (14)	0.43	1.57	0.29	1.43	0.57	1.71
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	30% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	1.23	1.64	1.00	0.88	1.44
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.78	1.33	0.75	1.00	0.80	1.60
vs Weaker (21)	1.43	1.19	2.00	1.00	0.91	1.36
Clean sheet %	40% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

71.8%

@ 1.33+3.2%

Under 1.5

28.2%

@ 2.90-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.33

1xBet

1.33

Under

Pinnacle

2.91

1xBet

2.90

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

44.8%

@ 2.04-0.1%

Under 2.5

55.2%

@ 1.66+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.07

BetVictor

2.05

1xBet

2.05

Betano

2.02

10Bet

2.00

Under

BetVictor

1.70

1xBet

1.67

Pinnacle

1.66

10Bet

1.65

Betano

1.62

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

23.6%

@ 3.75-1.0%

Under 3.5

76.4%

@ 1.22+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

3.75

Under

1xBet

1.22

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

49.2%

@ 1.94+1.1%

50.8%

@ 1.79-1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

1xBet

1.95

BetVictor

1.93

1xBet

1.81

BetVictor

1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.5%@ 6.06+7.3%

0-1

11.6%@ 9.88+7.8%

0-0

9.7%@ 7.88+4.9%

0-2

9.7%@ 20.00+7.8%

1-2

9.3%@ 13.00+6.4%

1-0

6.9%@ 5.50+0.1%

2-1

5.9%@ 7.50+0.9%

0-3 ✓

4.9%@ 59.75+4.3%

Lovćen goals ↓

	Mladost Lješkopolje goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	12%	9.7%	4.9%	1.8%
1	6.9%	13%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.9%	5.9%	4.4%	2.2%	0.8%
3	1.2%	1.9%	1.4%	0.7%	0.3%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lovćen goals (down), columns = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Jedinstvo

2.36

Grbalj

1.86

Iskra (Montenegro)

1.78

Kom

1.39

Berane

1.39

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.34

Lovćen

1.33

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.31

Mogren

1.25

Zeta

1.00

Lovćen is 0.03 points better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Jedinstvo

2.18

Grbalj

1.75

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.42

Iskra (Montenegro)

1.42

Kom

1.31

Berane

1.25

Mogren

1.16

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.08

Lovćen

0.94

Zeta

0.50

Lovćen is 0.14 goals worse than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.08).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Zeta

0.50

Jedinstvo

0.73

Iskra (Montenegro)

0.94

Berane

1.00

Grbalj

1.17

Kom

1.19

Lovćen

1.25

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.28

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.29

Mogren

1.39

Lovćen is 0.03 goals better than Mladost Lješkopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Lovćen or Draw✗ Miss

51.0%

Avg Implied -

23%

28%

49%

covers Lovćen + Draw

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Lovćen or Mladost Lješkopolje✓ Hit

71.6%

Avg Implied -

23%

28%

49%

covers Lovćen + Mladost Lješkopolje

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw or Mladost Lješkopolje✓ Hit

77.3%

Avg Implied -

23%

28%

49%

covers Draw + Mladost Lješkopolje

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lovćen

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.8

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.30	0.63	0.27	0.53	0.33	0.73
vs Stronger (16)	0.44	0.62	0.50	0.50	0.38	0.75
vs Similar (14)	0.14	0.64	0.00	0.57	0.29	0.71
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	57% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.60	0.50	0.86	0.29	0.38	0.69
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.33	0.67	0.50	0.25	0.20	1.00
vs Weaker (21)	0.71	0.43	1.00	0.30	0.45	0.55
Clean sheet %	73% (+41pp vs league)

This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Lovćen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Lovćen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Lovćen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lovćen

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.63	0.53	0.60	0.87	0.67
vs Stronger (16)	1.06	0.38	0.75	0.38	1.38	0.38
vs Similar (14)	0.29	0.93	0.29	0.86	0.29	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.9

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.63	0.73	0.79	0.71	0.50	0.75
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (9)	0.44	0.67	0.25	0.75	0.60	0.60
vs Weaker (21)	0.71	0.76	1.00	0.70	0.45	0.82
Clean sheet %	53% (+21pp vs league)

This opponent (Lovćen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

0.0%

Under 0.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

0.0%

Under 1.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

0.0%

Under 2.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Lovćen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Lovćen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Lovćen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Draw or Away	77.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	76.4%	1.22	1xBet 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.0%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	71.8%	1.33	Pinnacle 1.33	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+3.2%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	71.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

JED (17)

€1m

GRB (2)

€0m

R( (3)

€0m

LOV (2)

€0m

BER (1)

€0m

KOM (1)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

JED (5)

€0m

GRB (1)

€0m

LOV (2)

€0m

BER (0)

€0m

KOM (0)

€0m

R( (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

JED (2)

€0m

R( (1)

€0m

GRB (0)

€0m

BER (0)

€0m

KOM (0)

€0m

LOV (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

JED (10)

€1m

R( (2)

€0m

GRB (1)

€0m

BER (1)

€0m

KOM (1)

€0m

LOV (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

LOV wins

Draws

ML wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lovćen vs Mladost Lješkopolje · H/A from LOV

Date	H/A	Game	Score
08/04/26	H	LOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	1-2
06/12/25	A	Mladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV	1-0
04/10/25	H	LOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	0-1
16/08/25	A	Mladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV	0-1
14/05/25	H	LOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	1-5
29/03/25	A	Mladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV	1-1
09/11/24	H	LOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	1-4
15/09/24	A	Mladost Lješkopolje Vs LOV	3-1

Lovćen

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/05/26	A	Igalo Vs LOV	2-4
20/05/26	H	LOV Vs Kom	1-0
16/05/26	H	LOV Vs Berane	0-0
10/05/26	A	Rudar (Montenegro) Vs LOV	1-2
03/05/26	H	LOV Vs Internacional Podgorica	1-0
26/04/26	A	Otrant-Olympic Vs LOV	2-1
18/04/26	H	LOV Vs Grbalj	0-2
12/04/26	A	Iskra (Montenegro) Vs LOV	1-0
08/04/26	H	LOV Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	1-2
04/04/26	H	LOV Vs Igalo	0-0

Mladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/05/26	H	ML Vs Berane	3-1
20/05/26	A	Rudar (Montenegro) Vs ML	0-0
16/05/26	H	ML Vs Internacional Podgorica	5-2
10/05/26	A	Otrant-Olympic Vs ML	1-0
02/05/26	H	ML Vs Grbalj	3-2
26/04/26	A	Iskra (Montenegro) Vs ML	0-0
18/04/26	A	Kom Vs ML	1-0
12/04/26	H	ML Vs Igalo	2-0
08/04/26	A	Lovćen Vs ML	1-2
04/04/26	A	Berane Vs ML	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lovćen

Montenegro: Second League

Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWDWW	1.40
Home	LLWDW	1.36
Away	DLLWW	1.44

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	40%	40%
AVG goals	2.38	2.40	2.36
Over 1.5 %	62%	64%	60%
Over 2.5 %	42%	40%	44%
Over 3.5 %	20%	20%	20%
Scored	1.10	1.08	1.12
Conceded	1.28	1.32	1.24
BTTS	36%	32%	40%
Clean Sheet	36%	40%	32%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Mladost Lješkopolje

Montenegro: Second League

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWDW	1.20
Home	WWWWW	1.52
Away	WLDLD	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	24%
AVG goals	2.54	2.36	2.72
Over 1.5 %	62%	60%	64%
Over 2.5 %	44%	36%	52%
Over 3.5 %	30%	28%	32%
Scored	1.10	1.24	0.96
Conceded	1.44	1.12	1.76
BTTS	40%	48%	32%
Clean Sheet	28%	28%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Mladost Lješkopolje	3	7	67%	2.3	5	1	+4	2.0	67%	67%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	0.3	-
2	Zeta	3	7	67%	2.3	4	1	+3	1.7	67%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	0.3	-
3	Mogren	3	6	67%	2.0	7	3	+4	3.3	100%	100%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.3	1.0	-
4	Lovćen	3	6	67%	2.0	6	7	-1	4.3	100%	100%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	2.3	-
5	Grbalj	3	5	33%	1.7	3	2	+1	1.7	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	0.7	-
6	Kom	3	3	33%	1.0	4	5	-1	3.0	100%	67%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.7	-
7	Iskra (Montenegro)	3	3	33%	1.0	1	2	-1	1.0	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	0.7	-
8	Jedinstvo	3	3	33%	1.0	3	5	-2	2.7	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	1	1.0	1.7	-
9	Rudar (Montenegro)	3	3	33%	1.0	1	5	-4	2.0	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	1.7	-
10	Berane	3	0	0%	0.0	2	5	-3	2.3	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.7	1.7	-

Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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Lovćen vs Mladost Lješkopolje Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Lovćen

Mladost Lješkopolje

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Lovćen

Mladost Lješkopolje

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Lovćen

Mladost Lješkopolje

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Lovćen

Mladost Lješkopolje

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature