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Loznica vs Borac Cacak Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 2-3
Loznica
Loznica
Vs
47%
31%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Loznica's defensive solidity has been on display in recent matches, with the team unbeaten in their last 5 games, including a scoreless draw against Dubočica. However, Borac Cacak has shown some resilience in their away form, scoring 1.67 goals per game against similar opponents.

The model predicts a low-scoring match, with the expected total goals standing at 2.1. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 14.5%.

Loznica's home scoring has averaged 1.1 goals per game, while their home defense has conceded just 0.5 goals on average. Borac Cacak's away scoring has averaged 1.67 goals, but their away defense has conceded 1.33 goals per game. The model's selection is Under 3.5, with a probability of 84.0%.

The model's favoured match result is a home win, with a probability of 46.0%. The model's selection of Under 3.5 is the most likely outcome, with a home win percentage of 46%, a draw percentage of 31%, and an away win percentage of 22%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Borac Cacak emerged victorious on the road, claiming a 2-3 win over Loznica. This victory extends Borac Cacak's 2-game winning run, as they bounced back from a 2-3 loss to Loznica in their previous encounter. Loznica's winless streak continues, coming off a defeat in their last outing. The pre-match favourite was Loznica, with a 47% chance of winning, but the model's selection, Home win, was incorrect. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was an Away win. The model's selection of Loznica Home win had a pre-match probability of 47%. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals missed, with an 83.5% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Loznica win✗ Miss
47.1%
Avg Implied 37.7% · @ 2.39
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.50
1xBet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Dafabet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
Draw✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 2.88
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.10
BetVictor
2.90
Betfair
2.90
Betano
2.87
10Bet
2.85
Borac Cacak win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 2.93
Edge
-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.05
1xBet
3.03
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
Betano
2.95

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L20W00D10W21W20W00D00DA·KAB22/03H·JED28/03A·BOR05/04A·FK 18/04A·OFK22/04H·JED25/04A·ZEM03/05H·MAC09/05H·NAF31/07A·DUB08/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.631.130.471.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.100.661.210.501.000.80
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W02L10W20W11D00D20W11D23L10WA·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05A·SEM01/08H·FK 08/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.830.730.401.531.27
vs Stronger (2)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (28)1.140.890.690.461.531.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.8%
@ 1.47+1.4%
Under 1.5
36.2%
@ 2.45-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Betfair
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.60
BetVictor
2.45
Marathonbet
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Betano
2.32
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.6%
@ 2.40-2.5%
Under 2.5
64.4%
@ 1.48+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
1xBet
2.43
Marathonbet
2.43
Betfair
2.40
Under
BetVictor
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.5%
@ 4.90-2.1%
Under 3.5
83.5%
@ 1.12+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.8%
@ 2.04-3.2%
No
58.2%
@ 1.67+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
No
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.66
BetVictor
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.5%@ 6.05+7.5%
1-1
14.0%@ 5.75+6.7%
0-0
13.3%@ 6.26+6.6%
2-0
10.3%@ 9.90+6.1%
0-1
8.5%@ 6.70+2.2%
2-1
8.3%@ 9.60+4.0%
1-2
5.2%@ 10.40+1.1%
3-0
4.5%@ 21.80+2.6%
Loznica goals ↓
Borac Cacak goals →
01234
013%8.5%3.9%1.1%0.2%
114%14%5.2%1.4%0.3%
210%8.3%3.4%0.9%0.2%
34.5%3.6%1.5%0.4%0.1%
41.5%1.2%0.5%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Loznica goals (down), columns = Borac Cacak goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Cacak
2.50
TSC Backa Topola
2.00
OFK Vršac
2.00
Semendrija 1924
2.00
Javor
1.83
Napredak
1.67
Dubočica
1.67
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.50
Loznica
1.17
FK Vozdovac
1.17
Teleoptik
0.83
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
Naftagas
0.67
Jedinstvo Ub
0.67
Metalac GM
0.67
Grafičar
0.67
Loznica is 1.33 points worse than Borac Cacak in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Javor
2.50
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
2.33
Borac Cacak
2.00
Semendrija 1924
1.83
TSC Backa Topola
1.67
OFK Vršac
1.50
Dubočica
1.50
Teleoptik
1.33
Loznica
1.33
Naftagas
1.00
Jedinstvo Ub
1.00
Napredak
1.00
Metalac GM
1.00
Grafičar
1.00
OFK Bor 1919
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Loznica is 0.67 goals worse than Borac Cacak in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
OFK Vršac
1.00
Javor
1.00
FK Vozdovac
1.00
Semendrija 1924
1.00
TSC Backa Topola
1.17
Loznica
1.17
Napredak
1.17
Dubočica
1.17
Borac Cacak
1.17
Naftagas
1.50
Jedinstvo Ub
1.83
OFK Bor 1919
1.83
FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV
1.83
Metalac GM
1.83
Grafičar
1.83
Teleoptik
2.17
Loznica and Borac Cacak are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LoznicaLoznica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D10W00D10W00D10W00D00DA·KAB22/03H·JED28/03A·BOR05/04A·FK 18/04A·OFK22/04H·JED25/04A·ZEM03/05H·MAC09/05H·NAF31/07A·DUB08/08
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.230.470.130.400.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.450.240.500.140.400.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D00D10W10W00D10W01L02L00DA·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05A·SEM01/08H·FK 08/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.130.270.670.87
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Similar (28)0.390.610.080.310.670.87
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Loznica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LoznicaLoznica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L10W00D00D21W10W00D00DA·KAB22/03H·JED28/03A·BOR05/04A·FK 18/04A·OFK22/04H·JED25/04A·ZEM03/05H·MAC09/05H·NAF31/07A·DUB08/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.400.670.330.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.660.410.710.360.600.47
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Cacak) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W10W01L00D10W10W21W10WA·KAB22/04H·FK 26/04A·FAP02/05H·GRA07/05A·SEM11/05H·DIN17/05A·TEK24/05H·STE29/05A·SEM01/08H·FK 08/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.270.600.130.870.40
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.500.00--
vs Similar (28)0.750.290.620.150.870.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Loznica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Cacak over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.5%1.12
Betfair
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
--+2.1%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (24)
€10m
NAP (24)
€7m
JAV (21)
€5m
FSZ (21)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
OB1 (17)
€2m
DUB (17)
€1m
TEL (7)
€1m
Loznica and Borac Cacak have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (9)
€5m
JAV (9)
€2m
NAP (9)
€2m
FSZ (8)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
OB1 (6)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Loznica and Borac Cacak have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TBT (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
FSZ (4)
€1m
NAP (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
OB1 (3)
€0m
TEL (1)
€0m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Loznica and Borac Cacak have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAP (12)
€5m
TBT (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
FSZ (9)
€2m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
OB1 (8)
€1m
TEL (3)
€0m
Loznica and Borac Cacak have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
LOZ wins
0
Draws
1
BC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Loznica vs Borac Cacak · H/A from LOZ
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/26ABorac Cacak Vs LOZ1-0
24/10/25HLOZ Vs Borac Cacak2-0

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26ADubočica Vs LOZ0-0
31/07/26HLOZ Vs Naftagas0-0
09/05/26HLOZ Vs Macva2-0
03/05/26AZemun Vs LOZ1-2
25/04/26HLOZ Vs Jedinstvo Ub1-0
22/04/26AOFK Vršac Vs LOZ0-0
18/04/26AFK Vozdovac Vs LOZ0-2
05/04/26ABorac Cacak Vs LOZ1-0
28/03/26HLOZ Vs Jedinstvo Ub1-0
22/03/26AKabel Novi Sad Vs LOZ1-1

Borac CacakBorac Cacak

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HBC Vs FK Vozdovac1-0
01/08/26ASemendrija 1924 Vs BC3-2
29/05/26HBC Vs Stepojevac Vaga1-1
24/05/26ATekstilac Odžaci Vs BC0-2
17/05/26HBC Vs Dinamo Jug0-0
11/05/26ASemendrija 1924 Vs BC1-1
07/05/26HBC Vs Grafičar2-0
02/05/26AFAP Vs BC0-1
26/04/26HBC Vs FK Trayal0-2
22/04/26AKabel Novi Sad Vs BC2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.64
HomeDWWWD2.25
AwayLWDWD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%67%23%
AVG goals1.982.001.96
Over 1.5 %68%67%69%
Over 2.5 %30%25%35%
Over 3.5 %6%8%4%
Scored1.121.460.81
Conceded0.860.541.15
BTTS44%38%50%
Clean Sheet42%58%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Cacak
Borac Cacak
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.28
HomeLWDDW1.44
AwayWWDWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.281.563.00
Over 1.5 %64%48%80%
Over 2.5 %34%24%44%
Over 3.5 %20%4%36%
Scored1.120.881.36
Conceded1.160.681.64
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet38%52%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac CacakBorac Cacak615
83%
2.5
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1012.01.2
-
2Semendrija 1924Semendrija 1924612
50%
2.0
116+5
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.0
-
3TSC Backa TopolaTSC Backa Topola612
50%
2.0
107+3
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5141.71.2
-
4OFK VršacOFK Vršac612
67%
2.0
96+3
2.5
67%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.51.0
-
5JavorJavor611
50%
1.8
156+9
3.5
100%
83%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2132.51.0
-
6DubočicaDubočica610
50%
1.7
97+2
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.51.2
-
7NapredakNapredak610
50%
1.7
67-1
2.2
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2151.01.2
-
8FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVFK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV69
33%
1.5
1411+3
4.2
100%
83%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.8
-
9LoznicaLoznica67
17%
1.2
87+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.2
-
10FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac67
33%
1.2
56-1
1.8
33%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.0
-
11TeleoptikTeleoptik65
17%
0.8
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.32.2
-
12OFK Bor 1919OFK Bor 191965
17%
0.8
511-6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.8
-
13NaftagasNaftagas64
17%
0.7
69-3
2.5
67%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
14Metalac GMMetalac GM64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
50%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
15Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.8
-
16GrafičarGrafičar64
17%
0.7
611-5
2.8
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.8
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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