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Loznica vs Macva Result & Analysis

Date: 13/03/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-0
Loznica
Loznica
Vs
43%
35%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Loznica win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
34.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Macva win✗ Miss
21.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W12L20W20W10W10W00D10W21WA·FK 09/11H·SEM14/11A·DIN22/11H·FAP28/11H·OFK06/12A·DUB14/12H·FK 13/02A·STE20/02H·GRA28/02A·TEK08/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.871.670.670.801.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.230.871.670.670.801.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D30W21W10W11D00D10W01L11DH·TEK09/11A·OFK17/11A·KAB23/11H·JED29/11A·BOR07/12H·ZEM14/12A·FK 15/02H·SEM22/02A·DIN28/02H·FAP09/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.931.530.870.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.210.931.530.870.861.00
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%19%028%128%216%37%42%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
53.7%
Under 1.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.8%
Under 2.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.2%
Under 3.5
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.8%
No
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
18.5%
1-0
17.3%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
0-2
4.0%
Loznica goals ↓
Macva goals →
01234
019%10%4.0%0.9%0.2%
117%14%4.3%1.0%0.2%
210.0%6.8%2.3%0.5%0.1%
33.6%2.4%0.8%0.2%0.0%
41.0%0.7%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Loznica goals (down), columns = Macva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zemun
2.00
Macva
1.89
FK Vozdovac
1.86
Loznica
1.74
Dinamo Jug
1.59
Semendrija 1924
1.51
Borac Cacak
1.38
Grafičar
1.33
OFK Vršac
1.31
Jedinstvo Ub
1.26
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.26
Kabel Novi Sad
1.10
FAP
1.03
Dubočica
0.95
FK Trayal
0.90
Stepojevac Vaga
0.74
Loznica is 0.14 points worse than Macva in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Vozdovac
1.71
Zemun
1.57
Semendrija 1924
1.36
Macva
1.34
Jedinstvo Ub
1.31
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.21
Dinamo Jug
1.13
Borac Cacak
1.10
Loznica
1.06
FAP
1.05
Grafičar
1.05
FK Trayal
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.00
Dubočica
1.00
Kabel Novi Sad
0.97
Stepojevac Vaga
0.79
Loznica is 0.29 goals worse than Macva in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Loznica
0.74
Macva
0.83
FK Vozdovac
0.83
Dinamo Jug
0.85
Zemun
0.94
Grafičar
0.97
Semendrija 1924
1.00
Borac Cacak
1.03
OFK Vršac
1.03
Tekstilac Odžaci
1.33
Kabel Novi Sad
1.44
FK Trayal
1.44
Jedinstvo Ub
1.49
FAP
1.49
Stepojevac Vaga
1.54
Dubočica
1.54
Loznica is 0.09 goals better than Macva in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 0.83).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LoznicaLoznica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D00D10W00D00D00D10W11DA·FK 09/11H·SEM14/11A·DIN22/11H·FAP28/11H·OFK06/12A·DUB14/12H·FK 13/02A·STE20/02H·GRA28/02A·TEK08/03
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.330.600.200.270.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.330.600.200.270.47
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D30W20W10W11D00D00D01L00DH·TEK09/11A·OFK17/11A·KAB23/11H·JED29/11A·BOR07/12H·ZEM14/12A·FK 15/02H·SEM22/02A·DIN28/02H·FAP09/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.370.930.330.470.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.720.340.930.330.500.36
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Loznica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LoznicaLoznica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L20W10W10W10W00D00D10WA·FK 09/11H·SEM14/11A·DIN22/11H·FAP28/11H·OFK06/12A·DUB14/12H·FK 13/02A·STE20/02H·GRA28/02A·TEK08/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.531.070.470.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.800.531.070.470.530.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Macva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MacvaMacva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D00D01L00D00D00D10W00D11DH·TEK09/11A·OFK17/11A·KAB23/11H·JED29/11A·BOR07/12H·ZEM14/12A·FK 15/02H·SEM22/02A·DIN28/02H·FAP09/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.600.530.470.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.480.590.600.530.360.64
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Loznica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Loznica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loznica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Macva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.589.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.574.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Macva · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Milan Vidakov50%
Đorđe Đorđić17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Ristivojević50%
Kristijan Tojčić50%
Sani Abdullahi50%
Milan Vidakov33%
Luka Pejović33%
Slobodan Sladojević33%
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Boško Vraštanović20%
Darko Terzić20%
Vladimir Ilić20%
Vladimir Rakić17%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Stevanović25%
Slobodan Sladojević17%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Milan Vidakov0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milan Vidakov33%
Boško Vraštanović0%
Igor Ristivojević0%
Kristijan Tojčić0%
Mitar Ergelaš0%
Luka Pejović0%
Nemanja Stevanović0%
Nikola Lainović0%
Slobodan Sladojević0%
Sani Abdullahi0%
Vladimir Rakić0%
Darko Terzić0%
Đorđe Đorđić0%
Vladimir Ilić0%
Kosta Rakonić0%
Nikša Delibašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
FV (20)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
Loznica and Macva have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
Loznica's attack is €1m less valuable than Macva's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEM (5)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
Loznica and Macva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
Loznica and Macva have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
LOZ wins
1
Draws
2
MAC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Loznica vs Macva · H/A from LOZ
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25AMacva Vs LOZ2-1
30/04/23AMacva Vs LOZ2-1
12/03/23HLOZ Vs Macva0-0
11/09/22AMacva Vs LOZ1-3

LoznicaLoznica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/26ATekstilac Odžaci Vs LOZ1-2
28/02/26HLOZ Vs Grafičar1-0
20/02/26AStepojevac Vaga Vs LOZ0-0
13/02/26HLOZ Vs FK Trayal1-0
14/12/25ADubočica Vs LOZ0-1
06/12/25HLOZ Vs OFK Vršac2-0
28/11/25HLOZ Vs FAP2-0
22/11/25ADinamo Jug Vs LOZ2-1
14/11/25HLOZ Vs Semendrija 19241-0
09/11/25AFK Vozdovac Vs LOZ1-1

MacvaMacva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26HMAC Vs FAP1-1
28/02/26ADinamo Jug Vs MAC1-0
22/02/26HMAC Vs Semendrija 19241-0
15/02/26AFK Vozdovac Vs MAC0-0
14/12/25HMAC Vs Zemun1-1
07/12/25ABorac Cacak Vs MAC0-1
29/11/25HMAC Vs Jedinstvo Ub2-1
23/11/25AKabel Novi Sad Vs MAC0-3
17/11/25AOFK Vršac Vs MAC0-0
09/11/25HMAC Vs Tekstilac Odžaci2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Loznica
Loznica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.40
HomeWWWWW2.00
AwayDLWDW0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%58%15%
AVG goals2.182.382.00
Over 1.5 %72%79%65%
Over 2.5 %36%38%35%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored1.101.500.73
Conceded1.080.881.27
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Macva
Macva
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.48
HomeWWDWD2.00
AwayDWWDL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%60%16%
AVG goals2.062.122.00
Over 1.5 %60%56%64%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %20%20%20%
Scored1.061.320.80
Conceded1.000.801.20
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZemunZemun3570
57%
2.0
5533+22
2.5
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.60.9
-
2MacvaMacva3566
54%
1.9
4729+18
2.2
71%
40%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.30.8
-
3FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3565
54%
1.9
6029+31
2.5
71%
49%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.70.8
-
4Dinamo JugDinamo Jug3962
41%
1.6
4433+11
2.0
62%
33%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
5LoznicaLoznica3561
49%
1.7
3726+11
1.8
63%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.10.7
-
6Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243959
44%
1.5
5339+14
2.4
67%
41%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.0
-
7Borac CacakBorac Cacak3954
36%
1.4
4340+3
2.1
59%
31%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.0
-
8GrafičarGrafičar3952
36%
1.3
4138+3
2.0
67%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.0
-
9Tekstilac OdžaciTekstilac Odžaci3949
31%
1.3
4752-5
2.5
77%
49%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
10OFK VršacOFK Vršac3546
29%
1.3
3536-1
2.0
54%
34%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.0
-
11Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3544
31%
1.3
4652-6
2.8
77%
51%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.5
-
12Kabel Novi SadKabel Novi Sad3943
26%
1.1
3856-18
2.4
69%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
13FAPFAP3940
26%
1.0
4158-17
2.5
74%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.5
-
14DubočicaDubočica3937
21%
0.9
3960-21
2.5
77%
51%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.5
-
15FK TrayalFK Trayal3935
23%
0.9
4056-16
2.5
74%
38%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
16Stepojevac VagaStepojevac Vaga3929
15%
0.7
3160-29
2.3
69%
44%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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