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Ludogorets II vs Botev Plovdiv II Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Vs
70%
20%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Botev Plovdiv II
Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludogorets II win✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II win✗ Miss
10.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D00D02L20W01L00D11D11D40W20WA·FRA16/03H·CSK22/03A·SPA29/03H·NES02/04A·PIR08/04A·MON12/04H·YAN18/04A·FK 28/04H·BEL04/05A·STR07/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.861.000.751.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.351.001.900.700.801.30
vs Weaker (10)1.101.601.751.750.671.50
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Botev Plovdiv II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L04L00D13L01L12L42W20W02LA·LOK17/03H·CSK22/03A·DUN29/03H·LIT03/04A·DOB08/04H·SPO13/04A·FRA19/04H·CSK28/04A·SPA05/05H·NES08/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.771.191.500.572.07
vs Stronger (12)1.082.251.672.000.502.50
vs Similar (18)0.781.440.901.200.621.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%015%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
Under 2.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
5.1%
Ludogorets II goals ↓
Botev Plovdiv II goals →
01234
06.6%3.2%1.5%0.3%0.1%
111%9.7%3.1%0.7%0.1%
213%9.4%3.4%0.8%0.1%
39.4%6.7%2.4%0.6%0.1%
45.1%3.6%1.3%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ludogorets II goals (down), columns = Botev Plovdiv II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dobrudzha
2.16
Montana
2.05
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.89
Marek
1.71
Dunav Ruse
1.68
Yantra 2019
1.68
Belasitsa
1.47
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.37
Spartak Pleven
1.34
Ludogorets II
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.29
Fratria
1.26
FK Minyor Pernik
1.08
Sportist Svoge
0.97
Litex
0.87
Botev Plovdiv II
0.76
Strumska Slava
0.74
Nesebar
0.74
Ludogorets II is 0.58 points better than Botev Plovdiv II in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 0.76).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dobrudzha
1.95
Yantra 2019
1.55
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.45
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.45
Montana
1.39
Ludogorets II
1.39
Dunav Ruse
1.37
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
CSKA Sofia II
1.24
Fratria
1.18
Marek
1.16
Belasitsa
1.11
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
FK Minyor Pernik
0.95
Spartak Pleven
0.92
Botev Plovdiv II
0.87
Nesebar
0.74
Strumska Slava
0.61
Sportist Svoge
0.58
Litex
0.50
Ludogorets II is 0.53 goals better than Botev Plovdiv II in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 0.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montana
0.39
Dobrudzha
0.68
Marek
0.82
Dunav Ruse
0.92
Yantra 2019
0.97
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.05
Sportist Svoge
1.05
CSKA Sofia II
1.08
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.08
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.08
Ludogorets II
1.11
Spartak Pleven
1.13
Belasitsa
1.18
Litex
1.18
Fratria
1.32
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.37
Strumska Slava
1.42
FK Minyor Pernik
1.47
Nesebar
1.66
Botev Plovdiv II
1.84
Ludogorets II is 0.74 goals better than Botev Plovdiv II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.84).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L10W00D00D00D10W20W10WA·FRA16/03H·CSK22/03A·SPA29/03H·NES02/04A·PIR08/04A·MON12/04H·YAN18/04A·FK 28/04H·BEL04/05A·STR07/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.860.710.380.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.500.900.400.400.60
vs Weaker (10)0.500.900.751.500.330.50
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Botev Plovdiv II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L00D00D00D11D20W20W02LA·LOK17/03H·CSK22/03A·DUN29/03H·LIT03/04A·DOB08/04H·SPO13/04A·FRA19/04H·CSK28/04A·SPA05/05H·NES08/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.810.620.290.64
vs Stronger (12)0.670.671.000.500.330.83
vs Similar (18)0.500.610.700.700.250.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L10W01L00D11D01L20W10WA·FRA16/03H·CSK22/03A·SPA29/03H·NES02/04A·PIR08/04A·MON12/04H·YAN18/04A·FK 28/04H·BEL04/05A·STR07/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.571.000.290.380.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.700.501.000.300.400.70
vs Weaker (10)0.600.701.000.250.331.00
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Botev Plovdiv II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L03L00D13L01L01L22D00D00DA·LOK17/03H·CSK22/03A·DUN29/03H·LIT03/04A·DOB08/04H·SPO13/04A·FRA19/04H·CSK28/04A·SPA05/05H·NES08/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.130.380.880.291.43
vs Stronger (12)0.421.580.671.500.171.67
vs Similar (18)0.280.830.200.500.381.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Botev Plovdiv II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
EVT (23)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
LI wins
0
Draws
1
BPI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ludogorets II vs Botev Plovdiv II · H/A from LI
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24ABotev Plovdiv II Vs LI2-0
16/05/23ABotev Plovdiv II Vs LI0-2
18/10/22HLI Vs Botev Plovdiv II1-0

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/25AStrumska Slava Vs LI0-2
04/05/25HLI Vs Belasitsa4-0
28/04/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LI1-1
18/04/25HLI Vs Yantra 20191-1
12/04/25AMontana Vs LI0-0
08/04/25APirin Blagoevgrad Vs LI1-0
02/04/25HLI Vs Nesebar2-0
29/03/25ASpartak Pleven Vs LI2-0
22/03/25HLI Vs CSKA Sofia II0-0
16/03/25AFratria Vs LI2-2

Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/25HBPI Vs Nesebar0-2
05/05/25ASpartak Pleven Vs BPI0-2
28/04/25HBPI Vs CSKA Sofia II4-2
19/04/25AFratria Vs BPI2-1
13/04/25HBPI Vs Sportist Svoge0-1
08/04/25ADobrudzha Vs BPI3-1
03/04/25HBPI Vs Litex0-0
29/03/25ADunav Ruse Vs BPI4-0
22/03/25HBPI Vs CSKA 1948 Sofia II1-2
17/03/25ALokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa Vs BPI2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.36
HomeLDWDW1.84
AwayLLDDW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%52%16%
AVG goals2.442.921.96
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %40%56%24%
Over 3.5 %24%36%12%
Scored1.321.880.76
Conceded1.121.041.20
BTTS46%52%40%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Botev Plovdiv II
Botev Plovdiv II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWL0.70
HomeLDLWL0.85
AwayLLLLW0.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %18%19%17%
AVG goals2.542.582.50
Over 1.5 %72%65%79%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %28%35%21%
Scored0.781.000.54
Conceded1.761.581.96
BTTS36%38%33%
Clean Sheet22%27%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DobrudzhaDobrudzha3882
63%
2.2
7426+48
2.6
76%
45%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.7
-
2MontanaMontana3878
58%
2.1
5315+38
1.8
55%
29%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.4
-
3Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3872
55%
1.9
5541+14
2.5
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.41.1
-
4MarekMarek3865
47%
1.7
4431+13
2.0
63%
24%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.20.8
-
5Yantra 2019Yantra 20193864
47%
1.7
5937+22
2.5
74%
47%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.61.0
-
6Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3864
45%
1.7
5235+17
2.3
71%
34%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.40.9
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3856
39%
1.5
5140+11
2.4
68%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.1
-
8BelasitsaBelasitsa3856
42%
1.5
4245-3
2.3
66%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
9CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3855
45%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
76%
53%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
10Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3852
39%
1.4
4141+0
2.2
66%
34%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.1
-
11Ludogorets IILudogorets II3851
34%
1.3
5342+11
2.5
79%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.1
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3851
37%
1.3
3543-8
2.1
58%
37%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.1
-
13CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3849
32%
1.3
4741+6
2.3
66%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
14FratriaFratria3848
34%
1.3
4550-5
2.5
74%
45%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
15FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3841
29%
1.1
3656-20
2.4
66%
32%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
16Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3837
21%
1.0
2240-18
1.6
55%
26%
3%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.61.1
-
17LitexLitex3833
21%
0.9
1945-26
1.7
45%
29%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.2
-
18Botev Plovdiv IIBotev Plovdiv II3829
21%
0.8
3370-37
2.7
76%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.8
-
19Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3828
11%
0.7
2354-31
2.0
58%
37%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
20NesebarNesebar3828
13%
0.7
2863-35
2.4
71%
39%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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