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Ludogorets II vs FK Minyor Pernik Result & Analysis

Date: 10/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-2
Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Vs
50%
25%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludogorets II win✓ Hit
50.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik win✗ Miss
24.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W22D13L11D01L11D11D13L00DA·CSK07/12H·HEB12/12H·SPO16/02A·VIH21/02H·SEV28/02A·DUN07/03H·FRA15/03A·BEL21/03H·YAN28/03A·PIR04/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.871.330.601.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.091.451.551.450.641.45
vs Weaker (8)1.621.002.751.000.501.00
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D11D02L03L11D40W02L13L01LA·BEL29/11H·PIR06/12A·CHE15/02H·HEB21/02A·ETA28/02H·MAR07/03A·SPO14/03H·SEV21/03A·FRA28/03H·YAN03/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.001.331.201.27
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)1.111.291.071.211.141.36
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.0%
Under 2.5
40.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.9%
0-0
5.5%
Ludogorets II goals ↓
FK Minyor Pernik goals →
01234
05.5%4.6%3.5%1.5%0.5%
17.3%11%6.5%2.7%0.9%
27.7%9.6%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.7%5.9%3.7%1.6%0.5%
42.2%2.8%1.7%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ludogorets II goals (down), columns = FK Minyor Pernik goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dunav Ruse
2.16
Yantra 2019
2.00
Fratria
1.97
Vihren
1.81
CSKA Sofia II
1.72
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.44
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.38
Marek
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.25
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.09
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
Sevlievo
1.00
FK Minyor Pernik
0.94
Belasitsa
0.59
Ludogorets II is 0.34 points better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 0.94).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Fratria
1.91
Vihren
1.84
CSKA Sofia II
1.78
Dunav Ruse
1.66
Yantra 2019
1.41
Ludogorets II
1.28
Hebar 1918
1.28
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.22
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.19
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.19
Spartak Pleven
1.16
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.03
FK Minyor Pernik
1.00
Sevlievo
0.91
Sportist Svoge
0.88
Marek
0.84
Belasitsa
0.81
Ludogorets II is 0.28 goals better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dunav Ruse
0.50
Yantra 2019
0.75
Fratria
0.91
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Vihren
1.06
Marek
1.09
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1.28
Ludogorets II
1.34
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.34
FK Minyor Pernik
1.41
Spartak Pleven
1.41
Sportist Svoge
1.50
Hebar 1918
1.59
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.62
Sevlievo
1.62
Belasitsa
1.94
Ludogorets II is 0.06 goals better than FK Minyor Pernik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.34 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D11D12L01L00D11D11D12L00DA·CSK07/12H·HEB12/12H·SPO16/02A·VIH21/02H·SEV28/02A·DUN07/03H·FRA15/03A·BEL21/03H·YAN28/03A·PIR04/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.800.870.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.550.770.730.910.360.64
vs Weaker (8)0.500.621.000.750.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D01L10W20W01L01L00DA·BEL29/11H·PIR06/12A·CHE15/02H·HEB21/02A·ETA28/02H·MAR07/03A·SPO14/03H·SEV21/03A·FRA28/03H·YAN03/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.430.530.400.530.47
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.570.460.570.430.570.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W11D01L10W01L00D00D01L00DA·CSK07/12H·HEB12/12H·SPO16/02A·VIH21/02H·SEV28/02A·DUN07/03H·FRA15/03A·BEL21/03H·YAN28/03A·PIR04/04
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.601.070.470.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.550.680.820.550.270.82
vs Weaker (8)1.120.381.750.250.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Minyor Pernik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L02L02L01L20W01L12L01LA·BEL29/11H·PIR06/12A·CHE15/02H·HEB21/02A·ETA28/02H·MAR07/03A·SPO14/03H·SEV21/03A·FRA28/03H·YAN03/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.470.930.670.80
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)0.540.820.500.790.570.86
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ludogorets II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ludogorets II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ludogorets II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Minyor Pernik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (22)
€4m
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (11)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
LI wins
1
Draws
1
FMP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ludogorets II vs FK Minyor Pernik · H/A from LI
DateH/AGameScore
03/10/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LI0-2
28/04/25AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LI1-1
23/10/24HLI Vs FK Minyor Pernik5-1
12/02/23HLI Vs FK Minyor Pernik1-0
16/07/22AFK Minyor Pernik Vs LI5-1

Ludogorets IILudogorets II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26APirin Blagoevgrad Vs LI0-0
28/03/26HLI Vs Yantra 20191-3
21/03/26ABelasitsa Vs LI1-1
15/03/26HLI Vs Fratria1-1
07/03/26ADunav Ruse Vs LI1-0
28/02/26HLI Vs Sevlievo1-1
21/02/26AVihren Vs LI3-1
16/02/26HLI Vs Sportist Svoge2-2
12/12/25HLI Vs Hebar 19182-1
07/12/25ACSKA Sofia II Vs LI0-0

FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26HFMP Vs Yantra 20190-1
28/03/26AFratria Vs FMP3-1
21/03/26HFMP Vs Sevlievo0-2
14/03/26ASportist Svoge Vs FMP0-4
07/03/26HFMP Vs Marek1-1
28/02/26AEtar Veliko Tarnovo Vs FMP3-0
21/02/26HFMP Vs Hebar 19180-2
15/02/26AChernomorets 1919 Burgas Vs FMP1-1
06/12/25HFMP Vs Pirin Blagoevgrad0-0
29/11/25ABelasitsa Vs FMP0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ludogorets II
Ludogorets II
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLD1.08
HomeWDDDL1.54
AwayDLLDD0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%42%12%
AVG goals2.382.792.00
Over 1.5 %72%83%62%
Over 2.5 %40%50%31%
Over 3.5 %26%38%15%
Scored1.121.710.58
Conceded1.261.081.42
BTTS40%50%31%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Minyor Pernik
FK Minyor Pernik
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.10
HomeDLDLL1.16
AwayDDLWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.482.242.72
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %38%28%48%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.020.961.08
Conceded1.461.281.64
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3269
62%
2.2
5316+37
2.2
69%
38%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.70.5
-
2Yantra 2019Yantra 20193264
56%
2.0
4524+21
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.40.8
-
3FratriaFratria3263
56%
2.0
6129+32
2.8
84%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.90.9
-
4VihrenVihren3258
53%
1.8
5934+25
2.9
72%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.81.1
-
5CSKA Sofia IICSKA Sofia II3255
50%
1.7
5732+25
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.0
-
6Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3246
34%
1.4
3832+6
2.2
69%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
7Etar Veliko TarnovoEtar Veliko Tarnovo3244
34%
1.4
3943-4
2.6
66%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.3
-
8Ludogorets IILudogorets II3241
34%
1.3
4143-2
2.6
69%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.3
-
9MarekMarek3241
31%
1.3
2735-8
1.9
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.1
-
10Hebar 1918Hebar 19183240
34%
1.2
4151-10
2.9
84%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.31.6
-
11Pirin BlagoevgradPirin Blagoevgrad3238
28%
1.2
3841-3
2.5
66%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.3
-
12Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3235
28%
1.1
3745-8
2.6
75%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
13Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3234
28%
1.1
2848-20
2.4
62%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.5
-
14Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaLokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa3233
25%
1.0
3352-19
2.7
69%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.6
-
15SevlievoSevlievo3232
28%
1.0
2952-23
2.5
69%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
16FK Minyor PernikFK Minyor Pernik3230
22%
0.9
3245-13
2.4
72%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
17BelasitsaBelasitsa3219
12%
0.6
2662-36
2.8
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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