Ludogorets II vs Fratria Result & Analysis

The contest between Ludogorets II and Fratria is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: a 39% chance for Ludogorets, 28% for a draw and 33% for Fratria. The average goal tally is 2.8, with the most probable total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which the model assigns a 13.2% probability. Ludogorets, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.82 goals scored and 1.18 conceded, while Fratria, on the road, averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 77.4% chance and Under 3.5 with a 70.1% chance. Both teams have been relatively balanced in recent form, with Ludogorets coming off a draw and Fratria unbeaten in their last five. The predicted outcome remains a home win, but the match could easily swing to a draw or an away victory.

The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Ludogorets II, had been tipped to win with a 39% probability. The model’s call was wrong. The match finished 1-1, leaving the result a draw. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.4% chance, hit, as did its pick for Under 3.5 goals, at 70.1%. Ludogorets II had been coming off a draw in their last five matches, while Fratria were unbeaten in their last five, yet neither side could secure the win. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely outcome of 1-1, which had a 13.2% probability.