Ludogorets II vs Montana Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will set the tone as Ludogorets II, boasting an average of 0.54 goals conceded per match, faces a Montana side that concedes 0.92 on the road. The model favours a home win, with a 56% probability, while a draw sits at 29% and an away win at 15%. The expected total goals is 2.1, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.6% probability, reflecting Ludogorets’ 1.69 average goals scored at home versus Montana’s 0.67 away.

The suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, carrying an 83.8% chance. No other selections appear. Ludogorets’ recent form, a draw against Hebar 1918, and Montana’s win-heavy streak, a 3-0 triumph over Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa, hint at a tight contest. The match is projected to be low-scoring, with the home side’s defensive edge likely to secure the win.

The match saw Ludogorets II extend their recent run, coming off a draw, while Montana arrived on a win. The final score was 3-2, confirming a home win that matched the model’s favourite, which had a 56% probability. The model’s prediction was therefore correct. The model had also forecast an under 3.5 total with an 83.8% chance, but that selection missed as the match produced five goals. The expected total of 2.1 goals was far below the actual five, and the most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 16.6% did not materialise. Overall, the game exceeded the model’s goal expectations while still validating its win call.