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Luftëtari vs Apolonia Fier Result & Analysis

Date: 18/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-2
Luftëtari
Luftëtari
Vs
30%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Apolonia Fier
Apolonia Fier
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luftëtari win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier win✗ Miss
38.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LuftëtariLuftëtari

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L11D31W01L11D21W12L03L00D00DH·POG20/12A·SKE17/01H·FK 24/01A·LAC31/01A·BES08/02H·KAS14/02A·LAC21/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 07/03A·LUS14/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.410.921.500.931.33
vs Stronger (11)0.911.730.601.801.171.67
vs Similar (16)0.941.191.141.290.781.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Apolonia FierApolonia Fier

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L00D02L22D23L01L12L12L01LH·LAC20/12A·BUR17/01H·LUS25/01A·ILI31/01H·POG07/02A·SKE14/02A·KAS22/02H·POG28/02A·LAC07/03H·SKE14/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.170.931.141.061.19
vs Stronger (6)1.172.001.252.001.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.960.960.800.801.071.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Luftëtari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.1%
Under 2.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
Luftëtari goals ↓
Apolonia Fier goals →
01234
011%11%7.6%3.2%1.0%
19.2%14%8.2%3.4%1.1%
25.7%7.1%4.4%1.8%0.6%
32.0%2.5%1.6%0.7%0.2%
40.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Luftëtari goals (down), columns = Apolonia Fier goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Laci
2.39
Skenderbeu Korce
2.33
Pogradeci
2.06
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.36
Kastrioti Krujë
1.18
Besa Kavajë
1.18
Burreli
1.12
Korabi Peshkopi
1.09
Luftëtari
1.03
Bylis B
1.00
FK Kukesi
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Apolonia Fier
0.85
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Luftëtari is 0.18 points better than Apolonia Fier in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 0.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Pogradeci
1.91
Laci
1.82
Skenderbeu Korce
1.73
Kastrioti Krujë
1.33
Besa Kavajë
1.24
Luftëtari
1.12
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
FK Kukesi
0.97
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
0.97
Korabi Peshkopi
0.94
Apolonia Fier
0.94
Burreli
0.82
Lushnja
0.79
Butrinti Sarandë
0.00
Luftëtari is 0.18 goals better than Apolonia Fier in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.94).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Laci
0.70
Skenderbeu Korce
0.76
Pogradeci
0.94
Bylis B
1.00
Sopoti Librazhd
1.00
Iliria Fushë-Krujë
1.00
Korabi Peshkopi
1.18
Luftëtari
1.29
Besa Kavajë
1.30
Apolonia Fier
1.33
Burreli
1.36
Lushnja
1.42
FK Kukesi
1.46
Kastrioti Krujë
1.73
Butrinti Sarandë
2.00
Luftëtari is 0.04 goals better than Apolonia Fier in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LuftëtariLuftëtari

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L01L10W10W01L01L00D00DH·POG20/12A·SKE17/01H·FK 24/01A·LAC31/01A·BES08/02H·KAS14/02A·LAC21/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 07/03A·LUS14/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.700.330.750.400.67
vs Stronger (11)0.450.910.401.000.500.83
vs Similar (16)0.310.560.290.570.330.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %52% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Apolonia FierApolonia Fier

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D00D01L11D11D00D01L11D00DH·LAC20/12A·BUR17/01H·LUS25/01A·ILI31/01H·POG07/02A·SKE14/02A·KAS22/02H·POG28/02A·LAC07/03H·SKE14/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.430.290.500.310.38
vs Stronger (6)0.671.000.751.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.210.290.100.300.290.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Luftëtari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Luftëtari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luftëtari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luftëtari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LuftëtariLuftëtari

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D30W00D01L11D11D02L00D00DH·POG20/12A·SKE17/01H·FK 24/01A·LAC31/01A·BES08/02H·KAS14/02A·LAC21/02H·SKE01/03A·FK 07/03A·LUS14/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.560.700.580.750.530.67
vs Stronger (11)0.450.820.200.800.670.83
vs Similar (16)0.620.620.860.710.440.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Apolonia Fier) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Apolonia FierApolonia Fier

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D01L11D12L01L11D01L01LH·LAC20/12A·BUR17/01H·LUS25/01A·ILI31/01H·POG07/02A·SKE14/02A·KAS22/02H·POG28/02A·LAC07/03H·SKE14/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.640.640.750.81
vs Stronger (6)0.501.000.501.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.670.700.500.790.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Luftëtari) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Luftëtari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luftëtari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luftëtari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apolonia Fier over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (27)
€4m
LAC (22)
€3m
BB (20)
€2m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
IF (26)
€2m
KK (18)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
FK (20)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Luftëtari and Apolonia Fier have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (9)
€2m
LAC (6)
€1m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
BB (8)
€1m
IF (9)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
LUF (6)
€0m
FK (6)
€0m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Luftëtari and Apolonia Fier have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAC (6)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
KK (7)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
IF (6)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUF (4)
€0m
FK (4)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Luftëtari and Apolonia Fier have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SK (12)
€2m
LAC (10)
€1m
BB (6)
€1m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
IF (11)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
FK (10)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
KK (4)
€0m
LUF (8)
€0m
LUS (10)
€0m
Luftëtari and Apolonia Fier have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
LUF wins
1
Draws
1
AF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Luftëtari vs Apolonia Fier · H/A from LUF
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HLUF Vs Apolonia Fier0-2
30/08/25AApolonia Fier Vs LUF1-1

LuftëtariLuftëtari

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26ALushnja Vs LUF0-0
07/03/26AFK Kukesi Vs LUF0-0
01/03/26HLUF Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-3
21/02/26ALaci Vs LUF2-1
14/02/26HLUF Vs Kastrioti Krujë2-1
08/02/26ABesa Kavajë Vs LUF1-1
31/01/26ALaci Vs LUF1-0
24/01/26HLUF Vs FK Kukesi3-1
17/01/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs LUF1-1
20/12/25HLUF Vs Pogradeci2-3

Apolonia FierApolonia Fier

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HAF Vs Skenderbeu Korce0-1
07/03/26ALaci Vs AF2-1
28/02/26HAF Vs Pogradeci1-2
22/02/26AKastrioti Krujë Vs AF1-0
14/02/26ASkenderbeu Korce Vs AF3-2
07/02/26HAF Vs Pogradeci2-2
31/01/26AIliria Fushë-Krujë Vs AF2-0
25/01/26HAF Vs Lushnja0-0
17/01/26ABurreli Vs AF2-0
20/12/25HAF Vs Laci0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Luftëtari
Luftëtari
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD0.78
HomeLLWWL0.75
AwayLDLDD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%17%7%
AVG goals2.332.422.27
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %44%58%33%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored0.930.920.93
Conceded1.411.501.33
BTTS67%58%73%
Clean Sheet15%17%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Apolonia Fier
Apolonia Fier
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.16
HomeLDDLL1.25
AwayLLLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.122.212.04
Over 1.5 %68%71%65%
Over 2.5 %34%42%27%
Over 3.5 %12%17%8%
Scored1.061.170.96
Conceded1.061.041.08
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet34%46%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LaciLaci3379
73%
2.4
6023+37
2.5
73%
52%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.80.7
-
2Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce3377
73%
2.3
5725+32
2.5
64%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.70.8
-
3PogradeciPogradeci3368
61%
2.1
6331+32
2.8
76%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.90.9
-
4Iliria Fushë-KrujëIliria Fushë-Krujë3345
33%
1.4
3233-1
2.0
67%
36%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.0
-
5Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë3339
30%
1.2
4143-2
2.5
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.3
-
6Kastrioti KrujëKastrioti Krujë3339
33%
1.2
4457-13
3.1
76%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.7
-
7BurreliBurreli3337
27%
1.1
2745-18
2.2
64%
36%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.4
-
8Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi3336
24%
1.1
3139-8
2.1
64%
36%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.2
-
9LuftëtariLuftëtari3435
21%
1.0
3844-6
2.4
76%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10FK KukesiFK Kukesi3535
26%
1.0
3451-17
2.4
74%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.5
-
11Apolonia FierApolonia Fier3328
18%
0.8
3144-13
2.3
70%
39%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.3
-
12LushnjaLushnja3326
15%
0.8
2647-21
2.2
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.4
-
13Bylis BBylis B11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.0
-
14Sopoti LibrazhdSopoti Librazhd11
0%
1.0
11+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
15Butrinti SarandëButrinti Sarandë10
0%
0.0
02-2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.02.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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