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Lushnja vs Skenderbeu Korce Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Lushnja
Lushnja
Vs
31%
34%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lushnja win✗ Miss
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce win✗ Miss
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LushnjaLushnja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W22D11D03L32W11D21W02L21W24LH·TOM11/02A·BES18/02H·APO25/02A·FLA04/03H·KOR11/03A·TUR18/03H·BES01/04A·LUZ07/04H·DIN23/04A·ORI07/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.121.751.581.000.672.50
vs Stronger (12)0.751.831.170.830.332.83
vs Similar (12)1.501.672.001.171.002.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W21W00D10W00D41W00D20W40W01LH·ORI19/02H·LUZ25/02A·BUR04/03H·TOM11/03A·BES18/03H·APO31/03A·FLA08/04H·KOR15/04A·TUR23/04H·BES07/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.480.522.000.540.920.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.380.501.620.501.120.50
vs Weaker (9)1.670.562.600.600.500.50
Clean sheet %52% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Lushnja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
59.8%
Under 1.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
31.4%
Under 2.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.4%
No
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
15.4%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
Lushnja goals ↓
Skenderbeu Korce goals →
01234
015%13%7.3%2.5%0.6%
112%15%6.9%2.3%0.6%
26.3%6.4%3.3%1.1%0.3%
32.0%2.0%1.0%0.3%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lushnja goals (down), columns = Skenderbeu Korce goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Skenderbeu Korce
1.88
Dinamo Tirana
1.76
Flamurtari
1.68
Korabi Peshkopi
1.61
Tomori Berat
1.59
Apolonia Fier
1.44
Besa Kavajë
1.42
Luzi 2008
1.40
Burreli
1.26
Lushnja
1.23
Tërbuni Pukë
1.14
Oriku
1.08
Turbina Cërrik
0.92
Besëlidhja Lezhë
0.65
Valbona
0.00
Pogradeci
0.00
Lushnja is 0.65 points worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tirana
1.80
Flamurtari
1.50
Skenderbeu Korce
1.42
Korabi Peshkopi
1.25
Besa Kavajë
1.23
Apolonia Fier
1.19
Luzi 2008
1.12
Lushnja
1.08
Tomori Berat
1.07
Pogradeci
1.00
Oriku
0.96
Burreli
0.89
Turbina Cërrik
0.85
Tërbuni Pukë
0.77
Besëlidhja Lezhë
0.65
Valbona
0.00
Lushnja is 0.35 goals worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Skenderbeu Korce
0.50
Flamurtari
0.68
Korabi Peshkopi
0.89
Dinamo Tirana
0.92
Valbona
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Tomori Berat
1.04
Luzi 2008
1.04
Burreli
1.11
Apolonia Fier
1.15
Tërbuni Pukë
1.23
Oriku
1.32
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1.58
Lushnja
1.62
Turbina Cërrik
1.77
Pogradeci
2.00
Lushnja is 1.12 goals worse than Skenderbeu Korce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LushnjaLushnja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W02L11D00D00D01L10W01LH·TOM11/02A·BES18/02H·APO25/02A·FLA04/03H·KOR11/03A·TUR18/03H·BES01/04A·LUZ07/04H·DIN23/04A·ORI07/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.830.500.580.171.08
vs Stronger (12)0.080.920.170.500.001.33
vs Similar (12)0.580.750.830.670.330.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D10W00D10W00D10W10W01LH·ORI19/02H·LUZ25/02A·BUR04/03H·TOM11/03A·BES18/03H·APO31/03A·FLA08/04H·KOR15/04A·TUR23/04H·BES07/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.200.920.150.420.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.190.880.120.500.25
vs Weaker (9)0.670.221.000.200.250.25
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Lushnja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lushnja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lushnja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lushnja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LushnjaLushnja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W22D01L01L21W11D21W01L11D23LH·TOM11/02A·BES18/02H·APO25/02A·FLA04/03H·KOR11/03A·TUR18/03H·BES01/04A·LUZ07/04H·DIN23/04A·ORI07/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.921.080.420.501.42
vs Stronger (12)0.670.921.000.330.331.50
vs Similar (12)0.920.921.170.500.671.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Skenderbeu Korce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D00D00D00D31W00D10W30W00DH·ORI19/02H·LUZ25/02A·BUR04/03H·TOM11/03A·BES18/03H·APO31/03A·FLA08/04H·KOR15/04A·TUR23/04H·BES07/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.321.080.380.500.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.690.310.750.380.620.25
vs Weaker (9)1.000.331.600.400.250.25
Clean sheet %68% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Lushnja) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lushnja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lushnja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lushnja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skenderbeu Korce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (27)
€7m
SK (27)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
Lushnja's squad is €3m less valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SK (9)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
Lushnja's attack is €1m less valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
SK (6)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
Lushnja and Skenderbeu Korce have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
LUS (10)
€0m
Lushnja's defence is €1m less valuable than Skenderbeu Korce's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
LUS wins
0
Draws
1
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lushnja vs Skenderbeu Korce · H/A from LUS
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23ASkenderbeu Korce Vs LUS2-0

LushnjaLushnja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/23AOriku Vs LUS4-2
23/04/23HLUS Vs Dinamo Tirana2-1
07/04/23ALuzi 2008 Vs LUS2-0
01/04/23HLUS Vs Besa Kavajë2-1
18/03/23ATurbina Cërrik Vs LUS1-1
11/03/23HLUS Vs Korabi Peshkopi3-2
04/03/23AFlamurtari Vs LUS3-0
25/02/23HLUS Vs Apolonia Fier1-1
18/02/23ABesëlidhja Lezhë Vs LUS2-2
11/02/23HLUS Vs Tomori Berat2-1

Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/23HSK Vs Besa Kavajë0-1
23/04/23ATurbina Cërrik Vs SK0-4
15/04/23HSK Vs Korabi Peshkopi2-0
08/04/23AFlamurtari Vs SK0-0
31/03/23HSK Vs Apolonia Fier4-1
18/03/23ABesëlidhja Lezhë Vs SK0-0
11/03/23HSK Vs Tomori Berat1-0
04/03/23ABurreli Vs SK0-0
25/02/23HSK Vs Luzi 20082-1
19/02/23HSK Vs Oriku4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lushnja
Lushnja
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.17
HomeWDWWW2.08
AwayDLDLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%58%0%
AVG goals2.882.583.17
Over 1.5 %83%75%92%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %29%25%33%
Scored1.121.580.67
Conceded1.751.002.50
BTTS58%67%50%
Clean Sheet12%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Skenderbeu Korce
Skenderbeu Korce
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.92
HomeWWWWL2.31
AwayDDDDW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%69%33%
AVG goals2.002.541.42
Over 1.5 %60%77%42%
Over 2.5 %32%38%25%
Over 3.5 %16%23%8%
Scored1.482.000.92
Conceded0.520.540.50
BTTS40%46%33%
Clean Sheet52%46%58%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce2649
50%
1.9
3713+24
1.9
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.5
-
2FlamurtariFlamurtari2847
46%
1.7
4219+23
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.7
-
3Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi2845
43%
1.6
3525+10
2.1
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.20.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana2544
52%
1.8
4523+22
2.7
68%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.80.9
-
5Tomori BeratTomori Berat2743
48%
1.6
2928+1
2.1
63%
41%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
6Apolonia FierApolonia Fier2739
37%
1.4
3231+1
2.3
63%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
7Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
54%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Luzi 2008Luzi 20082535
36%
1.4
2826+2
2.2
68%
36%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
9BurreliBurreli2734
30%
1.3
2430-6
2.0
59%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
10LushnjaLushnja2632
31%
1.2
2842-14
2.7
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.6
-
11OrikuOriku2527
32%
1.1
2433-9
2.3
52%
40%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12Tërbuni PukëTërbuni Pukë2225
27%
1.1
1727-10
2.0
64%
36%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
13Turbina CërrikTurbina Cërrik2624
23%
0.9
2246-24
2.6
69%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
14Besëlidhja LezhëBesëlidhja Lezhë2617
12%
0.7
1741-24
2.2
58%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
15PogradeciPogradeci10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
16ValbonaValbona10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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