PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Luton vs Burton Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Luton
Luton
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burton
Burton
England: League One
Referee: S Stockbridge

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luton win✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.75
Edge
-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.63
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burton win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 21.2% · @ 4.39
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L21W22D01L01L10W21W13L01LH·LEY29/12A·EXE01/01H·STE10/01H·LIN17/01A·PLY24/01A·HUD27/01H·BLA31/01H·BRA07/02A·CAR14/02A·WIG18/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.401.731.131.071.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.351.471.881.000.891.89
vs Weaker (13)1.461.311.571.291.331.33
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L50W31W12L12L22D12L22D00D10WA·PLY04/01A·BOR10/01H·HUD17/01A·LIN22/01A·BOL27/01H·CAR31/01H·DON03/02A·POR07/02H·WES14/02H·ROT17/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.231.471.201.401.27
vs Stronger (9)1.441.221.831.000.671.67
vs Similar (20)1.351.251.221.331.451.18
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.7%
@ 1.89-2.5%
Under 2.5
53.3%
@ 1.83+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
Luton goals ↓
Burton goals →
01234
09.1%6.7%4.0%1.4%0.3%
111%13%6.2%2.1%0.5%
29.2%9.3%4.7%1.6%0.4%
34.7%4.8%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.8%1.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Luton goals (down), columns = Burton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Luton is 0.43 points better than Burton in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Luton is 0.39 goals better than Burton in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Luton is 0.09 goals better than Burton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Luton is 9.7 percentage points better than Burton in terms of average possession (56% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LutonLuton

For 4.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

15047375553965687371629111010815111510711A·WIGA·CARH·BRAH·BLAA·HUDA·PLYH·LINH·STEA·EXEH·LEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

602423221221415121326541456342A·WIGA·CARH·BRAH·BLAA·HUDA·PLYH·LINH·STEA·EXEH·LEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

350148171015131311137141514218121412111522272824202935202626A·WIGA·CARH·BRAH·BLAA·HUDA·PLYH·LINH·STEA·EXEH·LEY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurtonBurton

For 6.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 12.9

🚩 Corners

2701037126520754455238284913191127997111013H·ROTH·WESA·PORH·DONH·CARA·BOLA·LINH·HUDA·BORA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

6012223212211331442223453343564H·ROTH·WESA·PORH·DONH·CARA·BOLA·LINH·HUDA·BORA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

2701278141291413111011791813131097719222127211827261914H·ROTH·WESA·PORH·DONH·CARA·BOLA·LINH·HUDA·BORA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.99.73.53.43.623.223.023.5
vs Stronger (1)5.05.0-3.03.0-28.028.0-
vs Similar (33)11.112.49.93.83.83.923.623.723.5
vs Weaker (16)8.98.69.12.82.53.022.121.023.3
% over line59%56%62%50%32%68%63%60%67%
% under line41%44%38%50%68%32%37%40%33%
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.69.83.53.43.622.322.422.2
vs Stronger (17)10.010.89.23.22.44.121.022.020.0
vs Similar (32)10.410.510.23.73.93.422.822.523.1
vs Weaker (1)8.0-8.02.0-2.026.0-26.0
% over line51%52%50%48%46%50%53%52%54%
% under line49%48%50%52%54%50%47%48%46%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.0
Wigan
10.8
Huddersfield
10.7
Doncaster
10.5
Luton
10.2
Barnsley
10.2
Burton
10.2
Port Vale
10.1
Rotherham
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Bolton
9.8
Exeter
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Northampton
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
AFC Wimbledon
9.5
Wycombe
9.5
Blackpool
9.4
Bradford
9.4
Reading
9.3
Lincoln
9.2
Mansfield
9.1
Stockport
8.9
Stevenage
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bradford
4.5
Peterboro
4.4
Plymouth
4.4
Port Vale
4.0
Bolton
3.9
Lincoln
3.9
Huddersfield
3.8
Doncaster
3.7
Exeter
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.7
Rotherham
3.7
Burton
3.6
Stevenage
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Luton
3.5
Reading
3.5
Mansfield
3.5
Stockport
3.5
Wycombe
3.4
Blackpool
3.4
Cardiff
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Wigan
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.5
Peterboro
24.3
Stevenage
24.0
Plymouth
23.8
Huddersfield
23.6
Rotherham
23.3
Stockport
23.2
Blackpool
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Doncaster
23.1
Luton
23.1
Bolton
23.0
Exeter
22.8
Lincoln
22.8
Wigan
22.8
Reading
22.5
Northampton
22.5
Mansfield
22.4
Burton
22.2
Wycombe
22.1
Cardiff
22.1
Leyton Orient
21.7
Barnsley
21.2
Port Vale
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
65.8%
Under 9.5
34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.5%
Under 21.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D00D22D01L00D00D10W13L00DH·LEY29/12A·EXE01/01H·STE10/01H·LIN17/01A·PLY24/01A·HUD27/01H·BLA31/01H·BRA07/02A·CAR14/02A·WIG18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.930.470.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.710.821.120.620.331.00
vs Weaker (13)0.540.230.710.290.330.17
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W11D11D00D10W02L12L00D10WA·PLY04/01A·BOR10/01H·HUD17/01A·LIN22/01A·BOL27/01H·CAR31/01H·DON03/02A·POR07/02H·WES14/02H·ROT17/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.600.600.530.60
vs Stronger (9)0.330.330.500.330.000.33
vs Similar (20)0.650.700.670.780.640.64
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W00D00D01L10W11D00D01LH·LEY29/12A·EXE01/01H·STE10/01H·LIN17/01A·PLY24/01A·HUD27/01H·BLA31/01H·BRA07/02A·CAR14/02A·WIG18/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.830.800.670.731.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.650.650.750.380.560.89
vs Weaker (13)0.921.080.861.001.001.17
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Burton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurtonBurton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W20W01L12L12L10W10W00D00DA·PLY04/01A·BOR10/01H·HUD17/01A·LIN22/01A·BOL27/01H·CAR31/01H·DON03/02A·POR07/02H·WES14/02H·ROT17/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.870.600.870.67
vs Stronger (9)1.110.891.330.670.671.33
vs Similar (20)0.700.550.560.560.820.55
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards79.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners76.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards75.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasey Palmer35%
Jordan Clark32%
Gideon Kodua22%
Jake Richards17%
Shayden Morris16%
Nahki Wells15%
Hakeem Odofin11%
Lamine Fanne9%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Kal Naismith8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Millenic Alli6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Isaiah Jones6%
George Saville5%
Nigel Lonwijk5%
Zack Nelson5%
Liam Walsh3%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasey Palmer30%
Jacob Brown29%
Nigel Lonwijk23%
Joseph Gbode20%
George Saville18%
Kal Naismith18%
Millenic Alli18%
Josh Keeley17%
Liam Walsh17%
Davy van den Berg13%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Jordan Clark11%
Zack Nelson10%
Teden Mengi9%
Christ Makosso9%
Lamine Fanne9%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Hakeem Odofin6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Jerry Yates4%
Nahki Wells2%
Gideon Kodua2%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Shayden Morris0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås0%
Reuell Walters0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emilio Lawrence29%
Liam Walsh23%
Lamine Fanne13%
George Saville13%
Millenic Alli12%
Nahki Wells10%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Jordan Clark8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Isaiah Jones6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Kal Naismith5%
Kasey Palmer5%
Zack Nelson5%
Shayden Morris3%
Cohen Bramall3%
Gideon Kodua2%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Christ Makosso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Clark27%
Emilio Lawrence24%
Millenic Alli18%
Nahki Wells18%
Kasey Palmer15%
Gideon Kodua10%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Shayden Morris6%
Liam Walsh6%
Zack Nelson5%
Lamine Fanne4%
Cohen Bramall3%
Kal Naismith3%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
George Saville0%
Jerry Yates0%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
Jake Richards0%
Burton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jake Beesley23%
Charlie Webster21%
Tyrese Shade19%
Fábio Tavares16%
Kyran Lofthouse12%
Alex Hartridge8%
John Joshua Mckiernan6%
George Evans6%
Udoka Godwin-Malife5%
Jack Armer5%
Terence Vancooten4%
Jasper Moon4%
Dylan Williams3%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Julian Larsson0%
Finn Delap0%
Kain Adom0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Terence Vancooten22%
Finn Delap20%
George Evans19%
Jack Newall18%
Udoka Godwin-Malife18%
Bradley Collins17%
John Joshua Mckiernan15%
Kgagelo Chauke15%
Kyran Lofthouse14%
Dylan Williams13%
Alex Hartridge12%
Andy Cannon12%
Jake Beesley11%
Jack Armer10%
Toby Sibbick10%
Jasper Moon9%
Sulyman Krubally9%
Charlie Webster8%
Kain Adom7%
Fábio Tavares6%
Sebastian Revan6%
Tyrese Shade5%
Julian Larsson4%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kyran Lofthouse18%
Jake Beesley17%
Charlie Webster12%
George Evans11%
Terence Vancooten9%
Udoka Godwin-Malife8%
Julian Larsson8%
Kain Adom7%
Sebastian Revan6%
Jasper Moon4%
Sulyman Krubally4%
Dylan Williams3%
Fábio Tavares3%
John Joshua Mckiernan3%
Jack Armer3%
Alex Hartridge2%
Toby Sibbick2%
Tyrese Shade2%
Andy Cannon0%
Bradley Collins0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Charlie Webster33%
Tyrese Shade29%
Jake Beesley23%
Kain Adom7%
Andy Cannon6%
Julian Larsson4%
Fábio Tavares3%
Jack Armer3%
Kyran Lofthouse2%
Udoka Godwin-Malife0%
Alex Hartridge0%
Terence Vancooten0%
George Evans0%
Bradley Collins0%
Toby Sibbick0%
Jasper Moon0%
Kgagelo Chauke0%
Sebastian Revan0%
John Joshua Mckiernan0%
Dylan Williams0%
Jason Sraha0%
Jordan Amissah0%
Finn Delap0%
Nicholas Akoto0%
Jack Newall0%
Kamil Dudek0%
Josh Taroni0%
Sulyman Krubally0%
Jamal Williamson0%
Zac Scutt0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Luton's squad is €24m more valuable than Burton's (€29m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Luton's attack is €12m more valuable than Burton's (€13m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Luton's midfield is €3m more valuable than Burton's (€4m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Luton's defence is €10m more valuable than Burton's (€12m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LUT wins
0
Draws
0
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Luton vs Burton · H/A from LUT
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25ABurton Vs LUT0-3

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/26AWigan Vs LUT1-0
14/02/26ACardiff Vs LUT3-1
07/02/26HLUT Vs Bradford2-1
31/01/26HLUT Vs Blackpool1-0
27/01/26AHuddersfield Vs LUT1-0
24/01/26APlymouth Vs LUT1-0
17/01/26HLUT Vs Lincoln2-2
10/01/26HLUT Vs Stevenage2-1
01/01/26AExeter Vs LUT1-0
29/12/25HLUT Vs Leyton Orient3-0

BurtonBurton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/02/26HBUR Vs Rotherham1-0
14/02/26HBUR Vs West Ham0-0
07/02/26APort Vale Vs BUR2-2
03/02/26HBUR Vs Doncaster1-2
31/01/26HBUR Vs Cardiff2-2
27/01/26ABolton Vs BUR2-1
22/01/26ALincoln Vs BUR2-1
17/01/26HBUR Vs Huddersfield3-1
10/01/26ABoreham Wood Vs BUR0-5
04/01/26APlymouth Vs BUR3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Luton
Luton
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLL1.42
HomeWWDWW1.84
AwayLLLLL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals2.502.282.72
Over 1.5 %62%56%68%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.241.401.08
Conceded1.260.881.64
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.3110.889.71
Cards3.553.363.75
Burton
Burton
England: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDW1.22
HomeWDLDW1.38
AwayLWLLD1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.602.542.67
Over 1.5 %74%69%79%
Over 2.5 %58%58%58%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.281.351.21
Conceded1.321.191.46
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners10.2010.609.79
Cards3.573.563.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

← all matches