Luton’s recent struggles at home, highlighted by a 2-5 loss to Mansfield, set the stage for a match where the model favours an away win. Chelsea, riding a three-game winning streak, are expected to win 44% of the time, with a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of a Luton victory. The average number of goals is 2.6, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. Luton averages 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against stronger opponents, while Chelsea averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against weaker sides. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 77.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.8%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 74.7%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.8% (miss), and Under 25.5 fouls at 71.3% (miss).
Results analysis
The win extends Luton’s run of two straight defeats, while Chelsea continues a three-game winning streak. The final score was 2-3, an away win that matched the model’s pick. The model favoured an away victory with a 44% probability, and that call was correct. Its suggested selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards hit at 77.7%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 76.8%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 75.8%, Over 1.5 hit at 75.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 74.7%, Under 3.5 missed at 72.8%, and Under 25.5 fouls missed at 71.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every pick was reported once.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Luton win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 17.5% · @ 5.50
Edge
+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.46
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied 60.9% · @ 1.58
Edge
-16.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Luton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.30
1.33
1.07
1.07
1.53
vs Stronger (14)
1.07
2.00
1.29
1.57
0.86
2.43
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.71
1.38
0.62
1.17
0.83
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.67
1.40
1.53
1.27
1.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.35
1.94
1.50
1.88
1.22
2.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.31
1.31
1.29
1.14
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.60-10.9%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 2.39+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.2%
Under 3.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.1%
0-0
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
Luton goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
9.5%
8.0%
4.0%
1.5%
1
6.9%
13%
9.1%
4.6%
1.7%
2
4.6%
6.9%
5.2%
2.6%
1.0%
3
1.8%
2.6%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Luton goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Luton is 0.97 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Luton is 0.66 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Luton is 0.58 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (2.24 vs 1.66).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Luton is 16.8 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (42% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Luton
For 4.1 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 9.8 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 5.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Luton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
11.4
9.5
4.0
4.0
4.0
22.8
22.8
22.8
vs Stronger (15)
11.0
11.5
10.4
3.7
3.6
3.7
22.7
23.1
22.1
vs Similar (31)
10.1
11.0
9.4
3.8
3.8
3.8
22.8
22.9
22.6
vs Weaker (4)
10.5
13.5
7.5
6.5
6.5
6.5
23.8
20.5
27.0
% over line
58%
75%
42%
56%
50%
62%
52%
54%
50%
% under line
42%
25%
58%
44%
50%
38%
48%
46%
50%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
10.0
5.1
4.9
5.3
24.1
24.3
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
9.9
10.4
9.3
5.0
4.9
5.2
23.9
23.4
24.5
vs Weaker (23)
10.5
10.2
10.8
5.1
4.9
5.4
24.4
25.2
23.4
% over line
54%
59%
48%
82%
81%
83%
56%
59%
52%
% under line
46%
41%
52%
18%
19%
17%
44%
41%
48%
This opponent (Luton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.6
Bournemouth
11.5
Tottenham
11.3
Newcastle
10.7
West Ham
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Luton
10.4
Sheffield United
10.4
Everton
10.2
Wolves
10.1
Chelsea
10.1
Brentford
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Burnley
10.0
Fulham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.6
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Manchester City
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Brighton
5.0
Tottenham
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Crystal Palace
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Sheffield United
4.4
Burnley
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Manchester City
4.1
Luton
4.0
Everton
3.9
Manchester United
3.9
Liverpool
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Brentford
3.6
Bournemouth
3.6
Fulham
3.5
West Ham
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Chelsea
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Tottenham
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Brighton
23.2
Luton
22.8
Newcastle
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.3
Fulham
21.8
Liverpool
21.7
Everton
21.7
Manchester City
21.3
Brentford
21.3
Arsenal
21.1
Burnley
21.0
Bournemouth
20.9
Sheffield United
20.7
Manchester United
20.6
West Ham
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.7%
Under 3.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
60.5%
Under 21.5
39.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Luton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.33
0.47
0.40
0.27
0.27
vs Stronger (14)
0.21
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.43
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.29
0.50
0.38
0.50
0.17
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.67
0.60
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.44
1.22
vs Weaker (13)
0.46
0.46
0.29
0.43
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Luton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.97
0.87
0.67
0.80
1.27
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.57
0.86
1.14
0.86
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.43
0.88
0.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.73
0.93
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.94
0.50
1.12
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
0.85
0.85
1.00
0.71
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elijah Adebayo30%
Carlton Morris29%
Ross Barkley16%
Chiedozie Ogbene13%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Tahith Chong12%
Luke Berry12%
Jacob Brown11%
Gabriel Osho10%
Tom Lockyer7%
Albert Sambi Lokonga6%
Alfie Doughty5%
Jordan Clark4%
Cauley Woodrow4%
Andros Townsend4%
Teden Mengi3%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Thomas Kaminski0%
Ryan Giles0%
Reece Burke0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Daiki Hashioka0%
Issa Kaboré0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marvelous Nakamba38%
Issa Kaboré29%
Tom Lockyer29%
Albert Sambi Lokonga24%
Reece Burke23%
Jacob Brown21%
Ross Barkley19%
Jordan Clark17%
Gabriel Osho14%
Alfie Doughty14%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Fred Onyedinma12%
Tahith Chong12%
Carlton Morris11%
Teden Mengi10%
Cauley Woodrow8%
Thomas Kaminski8%
Luke Berry6%
Elijah Adebayo4%
Andros Townsend4%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu4%
Chiedozie Ogbene3%
Ryan Giles0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Daiki Hashioka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alfie Doughty19%
Reece Burke18%
Albert Sambi Lokonga18%
Ross Barkley12%
Andros Townsend11%
Carlton Morris11%
Issa Kaboré8%
Tom Lockyer7%
Luke Berry6%
Jordan Clark4%
Cauley Woodrow4%
Chiedozie Ogbene3%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Tahith Chong0%
Thomas Kaminski0%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
Elijah Adebayo0%
Ryan Giles0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Jacob Brown0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Daiki Hashioka0%
Teden Mengi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Carlton Morris26%
Elijah Adebayo15%
Ross Barkley12%
Fred Onyedinma12%
Chiedozie Ogbene7%
Jacob Brown5%
Andros Townsend4%
Teden Mengi3%
Marvelous Nakamba0%
Tahith Chong0%
Albert Sambi Lokonga0%
Thomas Kaminski0%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
Ryan Giles0%
Reece Burke0%
Amari'i Bell0%
Luke Berry0%
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu0%
Cauley Woodrow0%
Alfie Doughty0%
Jordan Clark0%
Tom Lockyer0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Daiki Hashioka0%
Issa Kaboré0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cole Palmer45%
Nicolas Jackson31%
Christopher Nkunku27%
Raheem Sterling23%
Noni Madueke22%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Conor Gallagher11%
Thiago Silva10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Armando Broja8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Axel Disasi6%
Levi Colwill4%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marc Cucurella48%
Ben Chilwell38%
Moisés Caicedo31%
Nicolas Jackson29%
Malo Gusto26%
Enzo Fernández25%
Raheem Sterling23%
Carney Chukwuemeka22%
Conor Gallagher22%
Cole Palmer21%
Axel Disasi19%
Benoît Badiashile17%
Lesley Ugochukwu17%
Mykhaylo Mudryk16%
Thiago Silva13%
Robert Sánchez12%
Reece James10%
Alfie Gilchrist9%
Đorđe Petrović9%
Noni Madueke9%
Levi Colwill9%
Ian Maatsen8%
Trevoh Chalobah8%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cole Palmer30%
Reece James20%
Conor Gallagher19%
Malo Gusto19%
Nicolas Jackson14%
Raheem Sterling13%
Carney Chukwuemeka11%
Marc Cucurella10%
Noni Madueke9%
Moisés Caicedo9%
Ben Chilwell8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Benoît Badiashile6%
Levi Colwill4%
Thiago Silva3%
Christopher Nkunku0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Axel Disasi0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cole Palmer39%
Nicolas Jackson23%
Raheem Sterling16%
Noni Madueke13%
Christopher Nkunku9%
Conor Gallagher8%
Enzo Fernández7%
Mykhaylo Mudryk6%
Axel Disasi3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Thiago Silva0%
Ben Chilwell0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Lesley Ugochukwu0%
Alfie Gilchrist0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Luton's squad is €1378m less valuable than Chelsea's (€29m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Luton's attack is €601m less valuable than Chelsea's (€13m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Luton's midfield is €274m less valuable than Chelsea's (€4m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Luton's defence is €503m less valuable than Chelsea's (€12m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
Sheffield United