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Luton vs Doncaster Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Luton
Luton
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Doncaster
Doncaster
England: League One
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luton win✓ Hit
38.2%
Avg Implied 52.9% · @ 1.77
Edge
-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.64
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Doncaster win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.37
Edge
+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LutonLuton

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-535L10W20W01L12L10W01L30W23L13LA·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08A·BUR30/08H·PLY13/09A·LIN20/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.230.790.711.121.69
vs Stronger (3)0.331.671.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (23)0.911.300.750.751.091.91
vs Weaker (4)1.750.501.000.002.000.67
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoncasterDoncaster

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W11D02L10W20W10W31W03L12L03LA·MID12/08H·WYC16/08A·HUD19/08A·POR23/08A·ACC26/08H·ROT30/08H·BRA06/09A·WIG13/09H·AFC20/09A·TOT24/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.101.711.001.441.19
vs Stronger (3)1.331.670.002.002.001.50
vs Similar (25)1.561.121.751.001.381.23
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.5%
Under 1.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.5%
@ 1.87-4.4%
Under 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.86+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.2%
Under 3.5
75.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-0
9.5%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.8%
Luton goals ↓
Doncaster goals →
01234
09.5%8.5%5.8%2.3%0.7%
19.5%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
27.1%8.4%5.0%2.0%0.6%
33.1%3.7%2.2%0.9%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Luton goals (down), columns = Doncaster goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Luton is 0.30 points better than Doncaster in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Luton is 0.39 goals better than Doncaster in terms of goals scored per game (1.48 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Luton is 0.28 goals better than Doncaster in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Luton is 5.4 percentage points better than Doncaster in terms of average possession (56% vs 50%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

LutonLuton

For 6.9 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

19072163465884925563524691910131211109710A·LINH·PLYA·BURH·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

605124121122212211226613341424A·LINH·PLYA·BURH·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.6 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

31014121210109111071215121161215101122926221921192717272131A·LINH·PLYA·BURH·CARH·WIGA·BRAA·COVA·PETH·AFCA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

DoncasterDoncaster

For 5.3 · Against 6.3 · Total 11.6

🚩 Corners

200492610103726121676763271382010813131399A·TOTH·AFCA·WIGH·BRAH·ROTA·ACCA·PORA·HUDH·WYCA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

601112122313213332312332433654A·TOTH·AFCA·WIGH·BRAH·ROTA·ACCA·PORA·HUDH·WYCA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.1 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

330912712101591212136671019141314161321192521251217332729A·TOTH·AFCA·WIGH·BRAH·ROTA·ACCA·PORA·HUDH·WYCA·MID
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LutonLuton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.510.23.84.13.523.825.022.7
vs Stronger (5)8.89.08.52.84.51.722.527.018.0
vs Similar (41)11.212.010.44.04.13.824.025.022.9
vs Weaker (4)9.27.010.02.82.03.023.521.024.3
% over line67%71%64%52%50%54%63%75%52%
% under line33%29%36%48%50%46%37%25%48%
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoncasterDoncaster

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.99.911.83.52.94.023.723.523.9
vs Stronger (5)11.0-11.01.20.01.525.0-25.0
vs Similar (42)10.910.011.93.73.04.423.623.523.7
vs Weaker (3)10.39.011.03.72.04.524.022.025.0
% over line50%41%58%48%35%59%67%68%67%
% under line50%59%42%52%65%41%33%32%33%
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Luton
10.9
Doncaster
10.9
Huddersfield
10.8
Barnsley
10.3
Reading
10.1
Wigan
10.0
Peterboro
9.9
Port Vale
9.8
Lincoln
9.8
Bradford
9.8
Rotherham
9.8
Burton
9.7
Cardiff
9.7
Plymouth
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.6
Bolton
9.6
Exeter
9.6
Stevenage
9.6
Blackpool
9.4
Northampton
9.1
Wycombe
9.0
AFC Wimbledon
8.9
Stockport
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.0
Bradford
4.6
Lincoln
4.2
Peterboro
4.0
Stockport
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Mansfield
3.8
Exeter
3.8
Luton
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Doncaster
3.7
Burton
3.7
AFC Wimbledon
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.7
Barnsley
3.7
Huddersfield
3.7
Northampton
3.6
Cardiff
3.6
Plymouth
3.5
Reading
3.5
Rotherham
3.4
Blackpool
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.2
Wycombe
24.7
Rotherham
24.6
Stevenage
24.5
Stockport
24.4
Bradford
24.2
Exeter
24.1
Luton
23.8
Wigan
23.8
Peterboro
23.8
Mansfield
23.7
Lincoln
23.6
Doncaster
23.4
Cardiff
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.1
Reading
23.0
Northampton
22.9
Huddersfield
22.6
Plymouth
22.6
Blackpool
22.2
Burton
21.6
Port Vale
21.6
Barnsley
21.5
Leyton Orient
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.2%
Under 9.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.2%
Under 3.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.3%
Under 21.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LutonLuton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L00D00D00D01L10W00D20W12L01LA·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08A·BUR30/08H·PLY13/09A·LIN20/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.290.210.440.75
vs Stronger (3)0.331.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.350.480.250.170.450.82
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoncasterDoncaster

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D00D00D10W31W02L00D02LA·MID12/08H·WYC16/08A·HUD19/08A·POR23/08A·ACC26/08H·ROT30/08H·BRA06/09A·WIG13/09H·AFC20/09A·TOT24/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.860.360.560.56
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.440.920.330.460.54
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LutonLuton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W20W01L11D00D01L10W11D12LA·WES03/05H·AFC01/08A·PET09/08A·COV12/08A·BRA16/08H·WIG19/08H·CAR23/08A·BUR30/08H·PLY13/09A·LIN20/09← ChampionshipLeague One →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.500.500.690.94
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.570.830.500.580.641.09
vs Weaker (4)1.250.251.000.001.330.33
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Doncaster) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DoncasterDoncaster

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D02L10W20W00D00D01L12L01LA·MID12/08H·WYC16/08A·HUD19/08A·POR23/08A·ACC26/08H·ROT30/08H·BRA06/09A·WIG13/09H·AFC20/09A·TOT24/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.860.640.880.62
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.880.680.830.670.920.69
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Luton) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Luton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doncaster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls74.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.572.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners70.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Luton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kasey Palmer35%
Jordan Clark32%
Gideon Kodua22%
Jake Richards17%
Shayden Morris16%
Nahki Wells15%
Hakeem Odofin11%
Lamine Fanne9%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Kal Naismith8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Millenic Alli6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Isaiah Jones6%
George Saville5%
Nigel Lonwijk5%
Zack Nelson5%
Liam Walsh3%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kasey Palmer30%
Jacob Brown29%
Nigel Lonwijk23%
Joseph Gbode20%
George Saville18%
Kal Naismith18%
Millenic Alli18%
Josh Keeley17%
Liam Walsh17%
Davy van den Berg13%
Mads Juel Andersen12%
Jordan Clark11%
Zack Nelson10%
Teden Mengi9%
Christ Makosso9%
Lamine Fanne9%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Cohen Bramall6%
Emilio Lawrence6%
Hakeem Odofin6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Jerry Yates4%
Nahki Wells2%
Gideon Kodua2%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Shayden Morris0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås0%
Reuell Walters0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Emilio Lawrence29%
Liam Walsh23%
Lamine Fanne13%
George Saville13%
Millenic Alli12%
Nahki Wells10%
Jerry Yates8%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Jordan Clark8%
Ali Al-Hamadi7%
Jake Richards7%
Mads Juel Andersen6%
Isaiah Jones6%
Joseph Johnson6%
Kal Naismith5%
Kasey Palmer5%
Zack Nelson5%
Shayden Morris3%
Cohen Bramall3%
Gideon Kodua2%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Christ Makosso0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordan Clark27%
Emilio Lawrence24%
Millenic Alli18%
Nahki Wells18%
Kasey Palmer15%
Gideon Kodua10%
Lasse Selvåg Nordås8%
Shayden Morris6%
Liam Walsh6%
Zack Nelson5%
Lamine Fanne4%
Cohen Bramall3%
Kal Naismith3%
Mads Juel Andersen0%
George Saville0%
Jerry Yates0%
Jacob Brown0%
Devante Cole0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Hakeem Odofin0%
Teden Mengi0%
Davy van den Berg0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaiah Jones0%
Nigel Lonwijk0%
Josh Keeley0%
Ali Al-Hamadi0%
Reuell Walters0%
Joseph Gbode0%
Sverre Hakami Sandal0%
Joseph Johnson0%
Christ Makosso0%
Jake Richards0%
Doncaster
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Owen Bailey25%
Francis Okoronkwo25%
Luke Molyneux18%
Elliott Lee17%
Billy Sharp12%
Brandon Hanlan12%
Ben Close12%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Jordan Gibson7%
Oyindamola Ajayi7%
Matty Pearson6%
Tom Nixon6%
Harry Clifton5%
Jay McGrath3%
Glenn Middleton3%
Robbie Gotts3%
George Broadbent2%
Jack Senior2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie Sterry0%
James Maxwell0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Charlie Crew0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Gotts33%
Jay McGrath25%
Jack Senior22%
Neill Byrne21%
George Broadbent20%
Joe Sbarra17%
Owen Bailey16%
Sean Grehan15%
Jamie Sterry15%
Darren Robinson14%
Connor O'Riordan14%
James Maxwell14%
Luke Molyneux13%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala11%
Glenn Middleton10%
Harry Clifton10%
Billy Sharp10%
Brandon Hanlan10%
Charlie Crew10%
Matty Pearson9%
Ben Close8%
Oyindamola Ajayi7%
Tom Nixon6%
Elliott Lee6%
Jordan Gibson0%
Hakeeb Adelakun0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luke Molyneux20%
Owen Bailey12%
Elliott Lee11%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Charlie Crew10%
James Maxwell9%
Glenn Middleton8%
Robbie Gotts8%
George Broadbent8%
Jay McGrath6%
Billy Sharp5%
Jordan Gibson4%
Jamie Sterry3%
Harry Clifton3%
Brandon Hanlan2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Jack Senior0%
Matty Pearson0%
Ben Close0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Tom Nixon0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Oyindamola Ajayi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luke Molyneux18%
Owen Bailey12%
Harry Clifton10%
Hakeeb Adelakun10%
Glenn Middleton8%
Elliott Lee6%
Brandon Hanlan5%
Jordan Gibson4%
Billy Sharp2%
George Broadbent2%
Joe Sbarra0%
Neill Byrne0%
Jack Senior0%
Robbie Gotts0%
Matty Pearson0%
Ben Close0%
Ian Lawlor0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie Sterry0%
James Maxwell0%
Thimothee Lo-Tutala0%
Toyosi Olusanya0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Tom Nixon0%
Jay McGrath0%
Sean Grehan0%
Darren Robinson0%
Connor O'Riordan0%
Charlie Crew0%
Oyindamola Ajayi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Luton's squad is €22m more valuable than Doncaster's (€29m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Luton's attack is €12m more valuable than Doncaster's (€13m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Luton's midfield is €2m more valuable than Doncaster's (€4m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Luton's defence is €9m more valuable than Doncaster's (€12m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LUT wins
0
Draws
0
DON wins

Head-to-head

Luton vs Doncaster · H/A from LUT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LutonLuton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25ALincoln Vs LUT3-1
13/09/25HLUT Vs Plymouth2-3
30/08/25ABurton Vs LUT0-3
23/08/25HLUT Vs Cardiff0-1
19/08/25HLUT Vs Wigan1-0
16/08/25ABradford Vs LUT2-1
12/08/25ACoventry Vs LUT1-0
09/08/25APeterboro Vs LUT0-2
01/08/25HLUT Vs AFC Wimbledon1-0
03/05/25AWest Brom Vs LUT5-3

DoncasterDoncaster

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/25ATottenham Vs DON3-0
20/09/25HDON Vs AFC Wimbledon1-2
13/09/25AWigan Vs DON3-0
06/09/25HDON Vs Bradford3-1
30/08/25HDON Vs Rotherham1-0
26/08/25AAccrington Vs DON0-2
23/08/25APort Vale Vs DON0-1
19/08/25AHuddersfield Vs DON2-0
16/08/25HDON Vs Wycombe1-1
12/08/25AMiddlesbrough Vs DON0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Luton
Luton
England: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLL1.08
HomeWWWLL1.54
AwayWLLWL0.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%19%
AVG goals2.481.833.08
Over 1.5 %66%46%85%
Over 2.5 %42%29%54%
Over 3.5 %22%12%31%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.460.792.08
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet26%38%15%
Corners10.8811.5410.24
Cards3.844.083.60
Doncaster
Doncaster
England: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.76
HomeWDWWL1.74
AwayLWWLL1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%48%52%
AVG goals2.542.652.44
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %50%61%41%
Over 3.5 %18%22%15%
Scored1.481.611.37
Conceded1.061.041.07
BTTS54%65%44%
Clean Sheet30%26%33%
Corners10.899.9111.79
Cards3.783.004.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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