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Luzi 2008 vs Burreli Result & Analysis

Date: 15/10/2022
Time: 12:00
Final 2-1
Luzi 2008
Luzi 2008
Vs
60%
23%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burreli
Burreli
Albania: 1st Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Luzi 2008 win✓ Hit
59.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burreli win✗ Miss
16.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Luzi 2008Luzi 2008

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D02L12L22DA·FLA03/09H·ORI10/09A·KOR17/09H·SKE01/10A·TUR08/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.601.001.501.331.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.601.001.501.331.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D05L11D10W14LH·TËR10/09A·DIN18/09A·LUS25/09H·ORI02/10A·SKE08/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.201.000.500.673.33
vs Stronger (2)0.504.50--0.504.50
vs Similar (3)1.000.671.000.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Luzi 2008) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.0%
Under 2.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.6%
Under 3.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
2-0
10.4%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
Luzi 2008 goals ↓
Burreli goals →
01234
06.4%4.1%2.5%0.8%0.2%
19.5%11%4.8%1.5%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
36.8%6.5%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.4%3.2%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Luzi 2008 goals (down), columns = Burreli goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Skenderbeu Korce
1.88
Dinamo Tirana
1.76
Flamurtari
1.68
Korabi Peshkopi
1.61
Tomori Berat
1.59
Apolonia Fier
1.44
Besa Kavajë
1.42
Luzi 2008
1.40
Burreli
1.26
Lushnja
1.23
Tërbuni Pukë
1.14
Oriku
1.08
Turbina Cërrik
0.92
Besëlidhja Lezhë
0.65
Valbona
0.00
Pogradeci
0.00
Luzi 2008 is 0.14 points better than Burreli in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Tirana
1.80
Flamurtari
1.50
Skenderbeu Korce
1.42
Korabi Peshkopi
1.25
Besa Kavajë
1.23
Apolonia Fier
1.19
Luzi 2008
1.12
Lushnja
1.08
Tomori Berat
1.07
Pogradeci
1.00
Oriku
0.96
Burreli
0.89
Turbina Cërrik
0.85
Tërbuni Pukë
0.77
Besëlidhja Lezhë
0.65
Valbona
0.00
Luzi 2008 is 0.23 goals better than Burreli in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Skenderbeu Korce
0.50
Flamurtari
0.68
Korabi Peshkopi
0.89
Dinamo Tirana
0.92
Valbona
1.00
Besa Kavajë
1.00
Tomori Berat
1.04
Luzi 2008
1.04
Burreli
1.11
Apolonia Fier
1.15
Tërbuni Pukë
1.23
Oriku
1.32
Besëlidhja Lezhë
1.58
Lushnja
1.62
Turbina Cërrik
1.77
Pogradeci
2.00
Luzi 2008 is 0.07 goals better than Burreli in terms of goals conceded per game (1.04 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Luzi 2008Luzi 2008

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W10WA·FLA03/09H·ORI10/09A·KOR17/09H·SKE01/10A·TUR08/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.500.000.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.500.000.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L10W10W12LH·TËR10/09A·DIN18/09A·LUS25/09H·ORI02/10A·SKE08/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.801.000.000.671.33
vs Stronger (2)0.502.00--0.502.00
vs Similar (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Luzi 2008) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Luzi 2008 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luzi 2008 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luzi 2008 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Luzi 2008Luzi 2008

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W11D00D02L12LA·FLA03/09H·ORI10/09A·KOR17/09H·SKE01/10A·TUR08/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.200.501.501.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.801.200.501.501.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Burreli) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurreliBurreli

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L01L00D02LH·TËR10/09A·DIN18/09A·LUS25/09H·ORI02/10A·SKE08/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.001.400.000.500.002.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.50--0.002.50
vs Similar (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Luzi 2008) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Luzi 2008 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luzi 2008 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Luzi 2008 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burreli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (27)
€7m
SK (27)
€4m
BK (21)
€2m
POG (14)
€2m
KP (24)
€2m
BUR (21)
€1m
AF (18)
€1m
LUS (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€3m
SK (9)
€2m
BK (6)
€1m
POG (5)
€1m
KP (9)
€1m
BUR (5)
€0m
AF (4)
€0m
LUS (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (5)
€2m
SK (6)
€1m
BK (7)
€1m
BUR (8)
€0m
KP (4)
€0m
POG (2)
€0m
AF (3)
€0m
LUS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DT (11)
€2m
SK (12)
€2m
BK (8)
€1m
POG (7)
€1m
KP (11)
€1m
AF (11)
€1m
BUR (8)
€1m
LUS (10)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
L2 wins
0
Draws
0
BUR wins

Head-to-head

Luzi 2008 vs Burreli · H/A from L2
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Luzi 2008Luzi 2008

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22ATurbina Cërrik Vs L22-2
01/10/22HL2 Vs Skenderbeu Korce1-2
17/09/22AKorabi Peshkopi Vs L22-0
10/09/22HL2 Vs Oriku1-1
03/09/22AFlamurtari Vs L21-2

BurreliBurreli

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/22ASkenderbeu Korce Vs BUR4-1
02/10/22HBUR Vs Oriku1-0
25/09/22ALushnja Vs BUR1-1
18/09/22ADinamo Tirana Vs BUR5-0
10/09/22HBUR Vs Tërbuni Pukë1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Luzi 2008
Luzi 2008
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.00
HomeDL0.50
AwayWLD1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%33%
AVG goals2.802.503.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %60%50%67%
Over 3.5 %20%0%33%
Scored1.201.001.33
Conceded1.601.501.67
BTTS80%100%67%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Burreli
Burreli
Albania: 1st Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.00
HomeDW2.00
AwayLDL0.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%50%0%
AVG goals3.001.504.00
Over 1.5 %80%50%100%
Over 2.5 %40%0%67%
Over 3.5 %40%0%67%
Scored0.801.000.67
Conceded2.200.503.33
BTTS60%50%67%
Clean Sheet20%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Skenderbeu KorceSkenderbeu Korce2649
50%
1.9
3713+24
1.9
58%
31%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.5
-
2FlamurtariFlamurtari2847
46%
1.7
4219+23
2.2
64%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.7
-
3Korabi PeshkopiKorabi Peshkopi2845
43%
1.6
3525+10
2.1
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.20.9
-
4Dinamo TiranaDinamo Tirana2544
52%
1.8
4523+22
2.7
68%
44%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.80.9
-
5Tomori BeratTomori Berat2743
48%
1.6
2928+1
2.1
63%
41%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
6Apolonia FierApolonia Fier2739
37%
1.4
3231+1
2.3
63%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.1
-
7Besa KavajëBesa Kavajë2637
38%
1.4
3226+6
2.2
54%
38%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Luzi 2008Luzi 20082535
36%
1.4
2826+2
2.2
68%
36%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
9BurreliBurreli2734
30%
1.3
2430-6
2.0
59%
33%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
10LushnjaLushnja2632
31%
1.2
2842-14
2.7
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.6
-
11OrikuOriku2527
32%
1.1
2433-9
2.3
52%
40%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
12Tërbuni PukëTërbuni Pukë2225
27%
1.1
1727-10
2.0
64%
36%
5%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
13Turbina CërrikTurbina Cërrik2624
23%
0.9
2246-24
2.6
69%
46%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
14Besëlidhja LezhëBesëlidhja Lezhë2617
12%
0.7
1741-24
2.2
58%
46%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
15PogradeciPogradeci10
0%
0.0
12-1
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
16ValbonaValbona10
0%
0.0
01-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.0
-
Albania: 1st Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Albania: 1st Division stats & trends →

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