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Lyn vs Egersund Result & Analysis

Date: 02/10/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 2-1
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
49%
21%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W21W71W11D22D24L00D10W31W12LH·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08H·STA19/08A·VAL24/08H·AAL01/09A·SOG15/09A·LEV25/09H·RAU29/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.382.171.081.791.64
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (22)2.141.362.271.002.001.73
vs Weaker (3)1.001.001.002.001.000.50
Clean sheet %19% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L32W02L32W14L32W12L02L21W21WH·BRY20/07A·AAL27/07H·SOG03/08H·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.781.381.622.431.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.951.731.451.732.451.73
vs Weaker (5)1.802.001.001.002.332.67
Clean sheet %15% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%2%05%114%219%320%416%524%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.5%
Under 1.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
78.1%
Under 2.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
76.2%
No
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1 ✓
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.5%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.3%
Lyn goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
02.3%2.2%2.6%1.6%0.7%
13.0%7.4%6.1%3.7%1.7%
24.3%7.8%7.1%4.3%1.9%
33.3%6.1%5.5%3.3%1.5%
41.9%3.5%3.2%1.9%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Lyn and Egersund are level in average points per game (both 1.52).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Lyn is 0.03 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Lyn is 0.55 goals better than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W40W10W12L22D00D00D21W01LH·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08H·STA19/08A·VAL24/08H·AAL01/09A·SOG15/09A·LEV25/09H·RAU29/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.150.501.330.671.000.36
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (22)1.270.551.450.641.090.45
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %62% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D01L10W02L10W11D01L10W11DH·BRY20/07A·AAL27/07H·SOG03/08H·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.460.850.791.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.590.910.550.910.640.91
vs Weaker (5)0.801.000.000.501.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D31W01L10W02L00D10W10W11DH·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08H·STA19/08A·VAL24/08H·AAL01/09A·SOG15/09A·LEV25/09H·RAU29/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.880.830.420.791.29
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (22)0.860.820.820.360.911.27
vs Weaker (3)0.330.671.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %46% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L22D12L22D01L01L11D10WH·BRY20/07A·AAL27/07H·SOG03/08H·STA11/08A·RAU19/08H·MOS26/08A·LEV02/09H·RAN16/09H·STA25/09A·ASA28/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.850.920.771.640.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.360.820.910.821.820.82
vs Weaker (5)1.001.001.000.501.001.33
Clean sheet %41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.578.1%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes76.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Lyn and Egersund have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and Egersund have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Lyn and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Lyn and Egersund have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
LYN wins
1
Draws
0
EGE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Egersund · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24AEgersund Vs LYN1-1

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/24HLYN Vs Raufoss1-2
25/09/24ALevanger Vs LYN1-3
15/09/24ASogndal Vs LYN0-1
01/09/24HLYN Vs Aalesund0-0
24/08/24AValerenga Vs LYN4-2
19/08/24HLYN Vs Start2-2
11/08/24AKongsvinger Vs LYN1-1
04/08/24HLYN Vs Stabaek7-1
27/07/24AMjondalen Vs LYN1-2
20/07/24HLYN Vs Asane3-1

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/09/24AAsane Vs EGE1-2
25/09/24HEGE Vs Stabaek2-1
16/09/24HEGE Vs Ranheim0-2
02/09/24ALevanger Vs EGE2-1
26/08/24HEGE Vs Moss3-2
19/08/24ARaufoss Vs EGE4-1
11/08/24HEGE Vs Start3-2
03/08/24HEGE Vs Sogndal0-2
27/07/24AAalesund Vs EGE2-3
20/07/24HEGE Vs Bryne0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.50
HomeWWDDL1.50
AwayWDLWW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%33%43%
AVG goals3.353.253.43
Over 1.5 %88%92%86%
Over 2.5 %62%58%64%
Over 3.5 %42%42%43%
Scored1.962.171.79
Conceded1.381.081.64
BTTS73%83%64%
Clean Sheet19%17%21%
Corners---
Cards---
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.74
HomeLWWLW1.38
AwayWWLLW2.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%38%64%
AVG goals3.703.004.36
Over 1.5 %89%92%86%
Over 2.5 %70%54%86%
Over 3.5 %48%38%57%
Scored1.931.382.43
Conceded1.781.621.93
BTTS74%69%79%
Clean Sheet15%8%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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