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Lyn vs hodd Result & Analysis

Date: 04/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
hodd win✓ Hit
31.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W23L12L11D30W01L21W12L30W01LH·BRY26/10A·ASA02/11H·MOS09/11H·KON17/11A·RAN31/03H·STA06/04A·RÅD13/04A·ODD21/04A·KJE24/04H·LIL27/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.271.791.071.941.44
vs Stronger (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.931.301.851.002.001.57
vs Weaker (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D61W10W13L11D02L11D21W13L01LA·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04H·AAL24/04H·MOL01/05A·STA31/03H·KON05/04A·BRA13/04A·STA21/04A·GRO24/04H·RAN29/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.001.291.121.50
vs Stronger (8)0.751.250.751.750.750.75
vs Similar (21)0.951.481.101.100.821.82
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
9.3%
0-0
9.0%
2-1
8.6%
0-1 ✓
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.5%
Lyn goals ↓
hodd goals →
01234
09.0%8.0%5.5%2.2%0.6%
19.3%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.2%8.6%5.1%2.0%0.6%
33.3%3.9%2.3%0.9%0.3%
41.1%1.3%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = hodd goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Lyn is 0.47 points better than hodd in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Lyn is 0.47 goals better than hodd in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Lyn is 0.50 goals better than hodd in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L00D10W10W00D11D00D10W00DH·BRY26/10A·ASA02/11H·MOS09/11H·KON17/11A·RAN31/03H·STA06/04A·RÅD13/04A·ODD21/04A·KJE24/04H·LIL27/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.500.930.500.940.50
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.000.521.000.461.000.57
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W00D01L00D01L00D20W13L01LA·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04H·AAL24/04H·MOL01/05A·STA31/03H·KON05/04A·BRA13/04A·STA21/04A·GRO24/04H·RAN29/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.570.640.440.62
vs Stronger (8)0.380.620.501.000.250.25
vs Similar (21)0.430.670.600.500.270.82
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D12L01L20W01L10W12L20W01LH·BRY26/10A·ASA02/11H·MOS09/11H·KON17/11A·RAN31/03H·STA06/04A·RÅD13/04A·ODD21/04A·KJE24/04H·LIL27/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.770.860.571.000.94
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.930.780.850.541.001.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (hodd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

hoddhodd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W10W12L11D01L11D01L00D00DA·RAN12/11A·VOL11/04H·AAL24/04H·MOL01/05A·STA31/03H·KON05/04A·BRA13/04A·STA21/04A·GRO24/04H·RAN29/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.770.430.640.690.88
vs Stronger (8)0.380.620.250.750.500.50
vs Similar (21)0.520.810.500.600.551.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
hodd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Lyn and hodd have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and hodd have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Lyn's midfield is €1m more valuable than hodd's (€2m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Lyn and hodd have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
LYN wins
0
Draws
0
HOD wins

Head-to-head

Lyn vs hodd · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25HLYN Vs Lillestrom0-1
24/04/25AKjelsås Vs LYN0-3
21/04/25AODD Ballklubb Vs LYN2-1
13/04/25ARåde Vs LYN1-2
06/04/25HLYN Vs Stabaek0-1
31/03/25ARanheim Vs LYN0-3
17/11/24HLYN Vs Kongsvinger1-1
09/11/24HLYN Vs Moss1-2
02/11/24AAsane Vs LYN3-2
26/10/24HLYN Vs Bryne1-0

hoddhodd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/25HHOD Vs Ranheim0-1
24/04/25AGrorud Vs HOD3-1
21/04/25AStart Vs HOD1-2
13/04/25ABrattvåg Vs HOD1-1
05/04/25HHOD Vs Kongsvinger0-2
31/03/25AStabaek Vs HOD1-1
01/05/24HHOD Vs Molde1-3
24/04/24HHOD Vs Aalesund1-0
11/04/24AVolda Vs HOD1-6
12/11/23ARanheim Vs HOD0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.51
HomeWLDLL1.39
AwayLWWLW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%33%48%
AVG goals3.032.783.24
Over 1.5 %82%78%86%
Over 2.5 %59%50%67%
Over 3.5 %31%28%33%
Scored1.771.721.81
Conceded1.261.061.43
BTTS67%72%62%
Clean Sheet23%17%29%
Corners---
Cards---
hodd
hodd
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.13
HomeWWLLL1.16
AwayWDDWL1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%26%30%
AVG goals2.382.052.70
Over 1.5 %67%63%70%
Over 2.5 %44%32%55%
Over 3.5 %21%16%25%
Scored1.080.951.20
Conceded1.311.111.50
BTTS51%53%50%
Clean Sheet21%21%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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