PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Lyn vs Ranheim Result & Analysis

Date: 10/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
32%
27%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✓ Hit
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ranheim win✗ Miss
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L13L11D32W21W21W50W22D30W20WA·KON24/05H·MJO29/05A·STA15/06H·RAU18/06A·SOG22/06H·ASA29/06A·EGE26/07H·AAL30/07A·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.131.071.431.940.88
vs Stronger (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.401.160.911.361.791.00
vs Weaker (4)2.001.251.671.673.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W43W01L04L21W31W00D21W00DA·ASA25/05H·AAL31/05A·EGE15/06H·STA18/06H·LIL21/06A·STA28/06H·ODD26/07A·SKE30/07H·HOD02/08H·MOS06/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.431.121.592.231.23
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (28)1.571.321.191.442.081.17
vs Weaker (1)4.002.00--4.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.7%
No
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-1 ✓
7.8%
0-1
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
6.2%
1-0
6.0%
Lyn goals ↓
Ranheim goals →
01234
06.3%7.0%6.4%3.4%1.3%
16.0%12%8.9%4.7%1.9%
24.9%7.8%6.2%3.3%1.3%
32.3%3.6%2.9%1.5%0.6%
40.8%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Ranheim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Lyn is 0.02 points better than Ranheim in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.55).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Lyn is 0.01 goals worse than Ranheim in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Lyn is 0.41 goals better than Ranheim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.65).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L10W01L11D10W10W02L10W00DA·KON24/05H·MJO29/05A·STA15/06H·RAU18/06A·SOG22/06H·ASA29/06A·EGE26/07H·AAL30/07A·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.290.710.690.44
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.600.270.730.640.50
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.330.671.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D12L00D03L10W20W00D00D00DA·ASA25/05H·AAL31/05A·EGE15/06H·STA18/06H·LIL21/06A·STA28/06H·ODD26/07A·SKE30/07H·HOD02/08H·MOS06/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.470.711.000.31
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (28)0.680.460.500.560.920.33
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W01L31W10W11D40W20W20W20WA·KON24/05H·MJO29/05A·STA15/06H·RAU18/06A·SOG22/06H·ASA29/06A·EGE26/07H·AAL30/07A·RAU02/08A·ASA06/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.570.790.711.250.44
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.560.640.641.140.50
vs Weaker (4)1.500.751.331.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Ranheim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RanheimRanheim

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W31W01L01L11D11D00D21W00DA·ASA25/05H·AAL31/05A·EGE15/06H·STA18/06H·LIL21/06A·STA28/06H·ODD26/07A·SKE30/07H·HOD02/08H·MOS06/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.900.650.881.230.92
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (28)0.890.860.690.881.170.83
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ranheim over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Lyn and Ranheim have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
LYN wins
2
Draws
0
RAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Ranheim · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/25ARanheim Vs LYN0-3
06/10/24ARanheim Vs LYN1-1
28/04/24HLYN Vs Ranheim1-1

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/25AAsane Vs LYN0-2
02/08/25ARaufoss Vs LYN0-3
30/07/25HLYN Vs Aalesund2-2
26/07/25AEgersund Vs LYN0-5
29/06/25HLYN Vs Asane2-1
22/06/25ASogndal Vs LYN1-2
18/06/25HLYN Vs Raufoss3-2
15/06/25AStart Vs LYN1-1
29/05/25HLYN Vs Mjondalen1-3
24/05/25AKongsvinger Vs LYN2-1

RanheimRanheim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/25HRAN Vs Moss0-0
02/08/25HRAN Vs hodd2-1
30/07/25ASkeid Vs RAN0-0
26/07/25HRAN Vs ODD Ballklubb3-1
28/06/25AStabaek Vs RAN1-2
21/06/25HRAN Vs Lillestrom0-4
18/06/25HRAN Vs Start0-1
15/06/25AEgersund Vs RAN3-4
31/05/25HRAN Vs Aalesund2-1
25/05/25AAsane Vs RAN2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW1.52
HomeDLWWD1.33
AwayDWWWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%33%50%
AVG goals3.042.883.19
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.781.621.92
Conceded1.261.251.27
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet22%12%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Ranheim
Ranheim
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.46
HomeLLWWD1.19
AwayWLWWD1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%31%50%
AVG goals3.122.813.46
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %66%65%67%
Over 3.5 %36%35%38%
Scored1.621.272.00
Conceded1.501.541.46
BTTS66%62%71%
Clean Sheet20%19%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches