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Lyn vs Start Result & Analysis

Date: 19/08/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 2-2
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
73%
17%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✗ Miss
72.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
17.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Start win✗ Miss
10.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-750W01L11D41W12L35L31W21W71W11DH·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.352.561.001.731.64
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (17)2.291.352.561.002.001.75
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %15% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W11D14L43W12L12L04L10W23LA·MOS21/05H·SOG28/05A·LEV01/06H·LYN09/06H·STA16/06A·RAU23/06H·VAL20/07A·SOG27/07H·MJO03/08A·EGE11/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.471.600.671.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.171.831.501.640.702.10
vs Weaker (6)0.671.001.001.000.601.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
Under 2.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-0
8.8%
3-1
7.9%
1-1
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
5.1%
Lyn goals ↓
Start goals →
01234
03.8%2.1%1.3%0.4%0.1%
17.2%7.9%3.3%1.0%0.2%
210%9.3%4.2%1.3%0.3%
38.8%7.9%3.6%1.1%0.2%
45.6%5.1%2.3%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Start goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Lyn is 0.35 points better than Start in terms of average points per game (1.52 vs 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Lyn is 0.34 goals better than Start in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Lyn is 0.58 goals better than Start in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.90).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D10W21W12L10W21W10W40W10WH·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.250.351.670.560.910.18
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (17)1.350.411.670.561.000.25
vs Weaker (2)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W12L21W11D00D02L00D01LA·MOS21/05H·SOG28/05A·LEV01/06H·LYN09/06H·STA16/06A·RAU23/06H·VAL20/07A·SOG27/07H·MJO03/08A·EGE11/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.670.730.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.481.040.620.850.301.30
vs Weaker (7)0.570.291.000.000.400.40
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W01L01L20W00D25L10W11D31W01LH·SAN23/05A·RAU27/05H·MJO31/05A·STA09/06H·SOG16/06A·BRY23/06H·ASA20/07A·MJO27/07H·STA04/08A·KON11/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.851.000.890.440.821.45
vs Stronger (1)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (17)0.940.940.890.441.001.50
vs Weaker (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L02L22D01L12L02L10W22DA·MOS21/05H·SOG28/05A·LEV01/06H·LYN09/06H·STA16/06A·RAU23/06H·VAL20/07A·SOG27/07H·MJO03/08A·EGE11/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.870.670.330.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.740.741.000.690.400.80
vs Weaker (7)0.140.570.000.500.200.60
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win72.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Start · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Cornelius22%
Steve Mvoué18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Altin Ujkani17%
Deni Dashaev17%
Ousmane Diallo Toure12%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Erlend Segberg12%
Tom Strannegård12%
Eirik Schulze7%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
James Ampofo0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erlend Dahl Reitan41%
Steve Mvoué36%
Altin Ujkani33%
Kristoffer Tønnessen20%
Alexander Gurendal20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Ousmane Diallo Toure19%
Erlend Segberg18%
Deni Dashaev17%
Sebastian Griesbeck14%
Eirik Schulze14%
John Olav Norheim14%
Fredrik Palerud11%
Omar Jebali8%
James Ampofo7%
Jacob Pryts6%
Jesper Cornelius6%
Hakon Lorentzen0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Strannegård18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Erlend Segberg12%
Jesper Cornelius11%
Omar Jebali8%
Mikael Ugland6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
James Ampofo0%
Deni Dashaev0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Cornelius33%
James Ampofo20%
Deni Dashaev17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Hakon Lorentzen11%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mikael Ugland6%
Erlend Segberg6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Lyn's squad is €4m less valuable than Start's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and Start have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Lyn's midfield is €1m less valuable than Start's (€2m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
Lyn's defence is €2m less valuable than Start's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
LYN wins
0
Draws
0
STA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Start · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/24AStart Vs LYN1-4

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24AKongsvinger Vs LYN1-1
04/08/24HLYN Vs Stabaek7-1
27/07/24AMjondalen Vs LYN1-2
20/07/24HLYN Vs Asane3-1
23/06/24ABryne Vs LYN5-3
16/06/24HLYN Vs Sogndal1-2
09/06/24AStart Vs LYN1-4
31/05/24HLYN Vs Mjondalen1-1
27/05/24ARaufoss Vs LYN1-0
23/05/24HLYN Vs Sandnes ULF5-0

StartStart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/24AEgersund Vs STA3-2
03/08/24HSTA Vs Mjondalen1-0
27/07/24ASogndal Vs STA4-0
20/07/24HSTA Vs Valerenga1-2
23/06/24ARaufoss Vs STA2-1
16/06/24HSTA Vs Stabaek4-3
09/06/24HSTA Vs Lyn1-4
01/06/24ALevanger Vs STA1-1
28/05/24HSTA Vs Sogndal2-1
21/05/24AMoss Vs STA2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.55
HomeWDLWW1.78
AwayLWLWD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals3.453.563.36
Over 1.5 %95%100%91%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored2.102.561.73
Conceded1.351.001.64
BTTS75%89%64%
Clean Sheet15%11%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.26
HomeWLWLW1.92
AwayLDLLL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%56%8%
AVG goals2.983.242.72
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.441.881.00
Conceded1.541.361.72
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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