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Lyn vs Start Result & Analysis

Date: 08/11/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 0-3
Lyn
Lyn
Vs
39%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyn win✗ Miss
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Start win✓ Hit
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

LynLyn

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W00D10W21W10W40W15L12L01L51WA·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09A·HOD29/09H·MOS05/10A·LIL17/10A·AAL22/10H·KON25/10A·STA02/11
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.131.291.212.121.06
vs Stronger (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.501.171.171.171.831.17
vs Weaker (5)2.601.202.001.503.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L11D23L23L02L40W00D21W22D21WA·EIK27/08A·STA30/08H·KON13/09H·RAN20/09A·EGE27/09H·RAU04/10A·SOG18/10H·SKE22/10A·ASA25/10H·MOS01/11
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.272.291.431.441.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.751.332.181.451.381.23
vs Weaker (6)2.171.002.671.331.670.67
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-2
5.5%
Lyn goals ↓
Start goals →
01234
09.5%8.3%5.5%2.1%0.6%
19.7%14%7.4%2.9%0.8%
27.4%8.5%4.9%1.9%0.6%
33.3%3.8%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.1%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyn goals (down), columns = Start goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Lyn is 0.27 points worse than Start in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Lyn is 0.33 goals worse than Start in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Lyn is 0.07 goals worse than Start in terms of goals conceded per game (1.23 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LynLyn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W11D00D30W12L01L00D20WA·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09A·HOD29/09H·MOS05/10A·LIL17/10A·AAL22/10H·KON25/10A·STA02/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.570.790.750.50
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.620.580.830.670.42
vs Weaker (5)0.800.800.500.501.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D00D00D00D01L11D21WA·EIK27/08A·STA30/08H·KON13/09H·RAN20/09A·EGE27/09H·RAU04/10A·SOG18/10H·SKE22/10A·ASA25/10H·MOS01/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.570.710.620.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.580.330.640.730.540.00
vs Weaker (6)0.670.500.330.671.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LynLyn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D10W10W10W03L11D01L31WA·FOL27/08H·ODD31/08A·MJO14/09H·SOG21/09A·HOD29/09H·MOS05/10A·LIL17/10A·AAL22/10H·KON25/10A·STA02/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.500.710.431.380.56
vs Stronger (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.540.580.331.170.75
vs Weaker (5)1.800.401.501.002.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Start) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StartStart

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L01L22D23L02L40W00D20W11D00DA·EIK27/08A·STA30/08H·KON13/09H·RAN20/09A·EGE27/09H·RAU04/10A·SOG18/10H·SKE22/10A·ASA25/10H·MOS01/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.901.710.710.811.06
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.171.001.550.730.851.23
vs Weaker (6)1.500.502.330.670.670.33
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyn) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Start over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Start · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesper Cornelius22%
Steve Mvoué18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Altin Ujkani17%
Deni Dashaev17%
Ousmane Diallo Toure12%
Erlend Dahl Reitan12%
Erlend Segberg12%
Tom Strannegård12%
Eirik Schulze7%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Mikael Ugland0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
James Ampofo0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Erlend Dahl Reitan41%
Steve Mvoué36%
Altin Ujkani33%
Kristoffer Tønnessen20%
Alexander Gurendal20%
Mikael Ugland19%
Ousmane Diallo Toure19%
Erlend Segberg18%
Deni Dashaev17%
Sebastian Griesbeck14%
Eirik Schulze14%
John Olav Norheim14%
Fredrik Palerud11%
Omar Jebali8%
James Ampofo7%
Jacob Pryts6%
Jesper Cornelius6%
Hakon Lorentzen0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Strannegård18%
Hakon Lorentzen17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Erlend Segberg12%
Jesper Cornelius11%
Omar Jebali8%
Mikael Ugland6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
John Olav Norheim0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
James Ampofo0%
Deni Dashaev0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesper Cornelius33%
James Ampofo20%
Deni Dashaev17%
Eirik Schulze14%
Hakon Lorentzen11%
John Olav Norheim7%
Mikael Ugland6%
Erlend Segberg6%
Jacob Pryts0%
Sebastian Griesbeck0%
Erlend Dahl Reitan0%
Fredrik Palerud0%
Kristoffer Tønnessen0%
Steve Mvoué0%
Altin Ujkani0%
Markus Soomets0%
Jens Berland Husebø0%
Tom Strannegård0%
Ousmane Diallo Toure0%
Omar Jebali0%
Lukas Hjelleset Gausdal0%
Alexander Gurendal0%
Santino Samuyiwa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Lyn's squad is €4m less valuable than Start's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Lyn and Start have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Lyn's midfield is €1m less valuable than Start's (€2m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Lyn's defence is €2m less valuable than Start's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
LYN wins
2
Draws
0
STA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyn vs Start · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
15/06/25AStart Vs LYN1-1
19/08/24HLYN Vs Start2-2
09/06/24AStart Vs LYN1-4

LynLyn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25AStabaek Vs LYN1-5
25/10/25HLYN Vs Kongsvinger0-1
22/10/25AAalesund Vs LYN2-1
17/10/25ALillestrom Vs LYN5-1
05/10/25HLYN Vs Moss4-0
29/09/25Ahodd Vs LYN0-1
21/09/25HLYN Vs Sogndal2-1
14/09/25AMjondalen Vs LYN0-1
31/08/25HLYN Vs ODD Ballklubb0-0
27/08/25AFollo Vs LYN0-2

StartStart

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/25HSTA Vs Moss2-1
25/10/25AAsane Vs STA2-2
22/10/25HSTA Vs Skeid2-1
18/10/25ASogndal Vs STA0-0
04/10/25HSTA Vs Raufoss4-0
27/09/25AEgersund Vs STA2-0
20/09/25HSTA Vs Ranheim2-3
13/09/25HSTA Vs Kongsvinger2-3
30/08/25AStabaek Vs STA1-1
27/08/25AEik-Tønsberg Vs STA3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Lyn
Lyn
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.70
HomeDDWWL1.35
AwayWWLLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%35%63%
AVG goals2.882.613.11
Over 1.5 %78%70%85%
Over 2.5 %58%52%63%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.721.431.96
Conceded1.161.171.15
BTTS60%61%59%
Clean Sheet28%17%37%
Corners---
Cards---
Start
Start
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.62
HomeLLWWW1.70
AwayLDLDD1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals3.303.393.22
Over 1.5 %92%96%89%
Over 2.5 %74%78%70%
Over 3.5 %44%39%48%
Scored1.841.961.74
Conceded1.461.431.48
BTTS66%78%56%
Clean Sheet24%17%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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