PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Lyngby vs Esbjerg Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 5-0
Lyngby
Lyngby
Vs
58%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lyngby winâś“ Hit
58.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg winâś— Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

LyngbyLyngby

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L20W31W41W33D01L31W21W31WH·ESB21/11A·HIL28/11H·KOL27/02A·AC 09/03H·MID13/03A·HB 21/03A·AC 04/04H·KOL11/04H·HVI18/04A·HIL21/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.102.071.002.071.20
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (27)2.071.042.080.922.071.14
vs Weaker (2)3.001.504.001.002.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-424L02L21W10W22D11D11D10W00D14LH·FC 03/12A·FC 13/12H·AC 28/02A·HB 06/03H·HIL15/03A·AAL21/03A·KOL03/04H·HVI10/04H·HIL17/04A·AC 21/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.301.541.311.181.29
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.281.241.271.001.291.43
vs Weaker (3)2.000.674.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.5%
Under 3.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.3%
No
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.2%
Lyngby goals ↓
Esbjerg goals →
01234
05.7%4.0%2.6%0.9%0.2%
18.4%11%5.2%1.8%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.3%6.6%3.5%1.2%0.3%
43.2%3.3%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lyngby goals (down), columns = Esbjerg goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lyngby
1.88
AC Horsens
1.69
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
Aalborg
1.44
Hvidovre
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
B 93
1.16
Middelfart
0.47
Lyngby is 0.25 points better than Esbjerg in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lyngby
2.16
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
Esbjerg
1.41
B 93
1.38
Hvidovre
1.34
Hillerød
1.31
AC Horsens
1.31
HB Koge
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Middelfart
1.00
Lyngby is 0.75 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals scored per game (2.16 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AC Horsens
0.84
Lyngby
1.12
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Esbjerg
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
B 93
1.81
Middelfart
2.41
Lyngby is 0.22 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

LyngbyLyngby

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D21W21W12L01L10W01L00DH·ESB21/11A·HIL28/11H·KOL27/02A·AC 09/03H·MID13/03A·HB 21/03A·AC 04/04H·KOL11/04H·HVI18/04A·HIL21/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.870.400.800.73
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (27)0.780.590.850.380.710.79
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L01L00D20W10W10W00D00D12LH·FC 03/12A·FC 13/12H·AC 28/02A·HB 06/03H·HIL15/03A·AAL21/03A·KOL03/04H·HVI10/04H·HIL17/04A·AC 21/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.690.620.650.59
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.520.550.360.710.64
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

LyngbyLyngby

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D20W10W20W21W00D21W20W31WH·ESB21/11A·HIL28/11H·KOL27/02A·AC 09/03H·MID13/03A·HB 21/03A·AC 04/04H·KOL11/04H·HVI18/04A·HIL21/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.531.200.601.270.47
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (27)1.300.441.230.541.360.36
vs Weaker (2)1.001.002.000.000.002.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W10W02L01L01L10W00D02LH·FC 03/12A·FC 13/12H·AC 28/02A·HB 06/03H·HIL15/03A·AAL21/03A·KOL03/04H·HVI10/04H·HIL17/04A·AC 21/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.850.690.530.71
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.640.720.730.640.570.79
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lyngby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lyngby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lyngby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------âś“ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Lyngby · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Casper Winther17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Renzo Tytens17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cornelius Allen40%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson33%
Casper Winther33%
Munashe Garananga33%
Renzo Tytens33%
Frederik Gytkjær17%
Simon Colyn17%
Lauge Sandgrav17%
Gustav Fraulo17%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Oskar Buur0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Diego Kochen0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simon Colyn17%
Oskar Buur17%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson17%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Simon Colyn50%
Ísak Snær Þorvaldsson50%
Mathias Hebo0%
Jens Jakob Thomasen0%
Frederik Gytkjær0%
Oskar Buur0%
Casper Winther0%
Lauge Sandgrav0%
Daniel Freyr Kristjansson0%
Gustav Fraulo0%
Mikkel Fischer0%
Munashe Garananga0%
Cornelius Allen0%
Renzo Tytens0%
Diego Kochen0%
Asbjorn Bøndergaard0%
Oliver Højer0%
David Helgi Aronsson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
Lyngby's squad is €6m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€13m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
Lyngby and Esbjerg have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LYN (8)
€5m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
Lyngby's midfield is €3m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€5m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
Lyngby's defence is €2m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€5m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
LYN wins
0
Draws
0
ESB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Lyngby vs Esbjerg · H/A from LYN
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/25HLYN Vs Esbjerg2-0
20/07/25AEsbjerg Vs LYN0-2

LyngbyLyngby

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26AHillerød Vs LYN1-3
18/04/26HLYN Vs Hvidovre2-1
11/04/26HLYN Vs Kolding IF3-1
04/04/26AAC Horsens Vs LYN1-0
21/03/26AHB Koge Vs LYN3-3
13/03/26HLYN Vs Middelfart4-1
09/03/26AAC Horsens Vs LYN1-3
27/02/26HLYN Vs Kolding IF2-0
28/11/25AHillerød Vs LYN1-0
21/11/25HLYN Vs Esbjerg2-0

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/26AAC Horsens Vs ESB4-1
17/04/26HESB Vs Hillerød0-0
10/04/26HESB Vs Hvidovre1-0
03/04/26AKolding IF Vs ESB1-1
21/03/26AAalborg Vs ESB1-1
15/03/26HESB Vs Hillerød2-2
06/03/26AHB Koge Vs ESB0-1
28/02/26HESB Vs AC Horsens2-1
13/12/25AFC Copenhagen Vs ESB2-0
03/12/25HESB Vs FC Copenhagen2-4

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Lyngby
Lyngby
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.48
HomeWWWWW1.67
AwayLWDLW1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.762.503.00
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.541.541.54
Conceded1.220.961.46
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet30%42%19%
Corners9.249.209.27
Cards4.434.604.27
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDL1.42
HomeLWDWD1.46
AwayLWDDL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.722.712.73
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.281.251.31
Conceded1.441.461.42
BTTS50%46%54%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LyngbyLyngby3260
56%
1.9
6936+33
3.3
91%
69%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3552.21.1
-
2AC HorsensAC Horsens3254
47%
1.7
4227+15
2.2
56%
41%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.30.8
-
3EsbjergEsbjerg3252
47%
1.6
4543+2
2.8
75%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.41.3
-
4HillerødHillerød3250
41%
1.6
4243-1
2.7
81%
59%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
5HvidovreHvidovre3246
34%
1.4
4339+4
2.6
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.31.2
-
6AalborgAalborg3246
38%
1.4
5047+3
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2261.61.5
-
7Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad3244
34%
1.4
5237+15
2.8
72%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.61.2
-
8HobroHobro3242
34%
1.3
4043-3
2.6
72%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.21.3
-
9HB KogeHB Koge3240
34%
1.2
4248-6
2.8
81%
53%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.31.5
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF3238
31%
1.2
3740-3
2.4
72%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.21.2
-
11B 93B 933237
31%
1.2
4458-14
3.2
81%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
12MiddelfartMiddelfart3215
9%
0.5
3277-45
3.4
78%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches