This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.30
2.00
0.87
1.80
1.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (21)
2.05
1.67
2.09
1.00
2.00
2.40
vs Weaker (7)
1.86
0.43
3.00
0.50
1.40
0.40
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lysekloster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.4%
Under 1.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.9%
Under 2.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.6%
Under 3.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.0%
No
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
1-3 â
7.2%
2-2
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
2-1
5.3%
2-3
5.1%
0-3
5.0%
Lysekloster goals ↓
Aalesund goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.9%
4.4%
6.3%
5.0%
3.0%
1
2.3%
8.1%
8.9%
7.2%
4.4%
2
2.2%
5.3%
6.4%
5.1%
3.1%
3
1.0%
2.5%
3.0%
2.4%
1.5%
4
0.4%
0.9%
1.1%
0.9%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Lysekloster goals (down), columns = Aalesund goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Stabaek
2.60
Fredrikstad
2.50
Ham-Kam
2.50
Viking
2.50
Lillestrom
2.43
KFUM Oslo
2.40
Brann
2.33
Ranheim
2.33
Sogndal
2.33
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.29
Asane
2.25
Rosenborg
2.20
Molde
2.00
TrÃĶff
2.00
Rana
2.00
Tromsdalen Uil
2.00
Alta
2.00
Lysekloster
2.00
Bodo/Glimt
2.00
Tromso
2.00
Sandefjord
2.00
Aalesund
2.00
Stromsgodset
2.00
Start
2.00
Lyn
2.00
Moss
2.00
Kongsvinger
2.00
Haugesund
2.00
Strommen
2.00
Kristiansund BK
1.83
Bryne
1.75
Egersund
1.75
Grorud
1.67
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
LÃļrenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Levanger
1.50
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.50
Eidsvold
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
KjelsÃĨs
1.50
Flint
1.50
Follo
1.50
FlekkerÃļy
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.33
Mjondalen
1.25
Djerv
1.00
Asker
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
Arendal
1.00
BÃĶrum
1.00
Nordstrand
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
FÃļrde
0.92
Madla
0.92
VigÃļr
0.92
Vestfossen
0.92
Finnsnes
0.92
Gamle Oslo
0.50
Sotra
0.50
Nardo
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Ull/Kisa
0.50
hodd
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Brumunddal
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
RÃĨde
0.00
HÃļnefoss
0.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
0.00
ODD Ballklubb
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Lysekloster and Aalesund are level in average points per game (both 2.00).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kongsvinger
6.00
Alta
4.67
Haugesund
4.67
Levanger
4.50
Rosenborg
4.40
Bodo/Glimt
4.33
Tromso
3.67
Molde
3.50
Follo
3.50
Fredrikstad
3.25
Brann
3.00
Stromsgodset
3.00
Start
3.00
Viking
3.00
Stabaek
3.00
Strommen
3.00
Sogndal
3.00
Kristiansund BK
2.83
Asane
2.75
Egersund
2.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2.71
Tromsdalen Uil
2.67
Sandefjord
2.67
Ranheim
2.67
Eidsvold
2.50
Lysekloster
2.50
Raufoss
2.50
Lillestrom
2.29
KFUM Oslo
2.20
Rana
2.00
Asker
2.00
Grorud
2.00
Mjondalen
2.00
BÃĶrum
2.00
Ull/Kisa
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
ODD Ballklubb
2.00
Moss
2.00
Aalesund
1.80
Ham-Kam
1.75
Bryne
1.75
Lyn
1.67
TrÃĶff
1.50
Bjarg
1.50
Junkeren
1.50
LÃļrenskog
1.50
Vidar
1.50
jerv
1.50
Nardo
1.50
Skeid
1.50
Flint
1.50
FlekkerÃļy
1.50
FÃļrde
1.44
Madla
1.44
VigÃļr
1.44
Vestfossen
1.44
Finnsnes
1.44
Pors Grenland
1.33
Djerv
1.00
Gamle Oslo
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Brumunddal
1.00
RÃĨde
1.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
hodd
1.00
Sotra
0.50
Strindheim
0.50
KjelsÃĨs
0.50
Sandviken (Norway)
0.50
Trygg/Lade
0.00
Vard
0.00
Gneist
0.00
Notodden
0.00
Ulfstind
0.00
Spjelkavik
0.00
HÃļnefoss
0.00
Sandnes ULF
0.00
Lysekloster is 0.70 goals better than Aalesund in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 1.80).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Viking
0.17
Brann
0.33
Tromso
0.33
Lillestrom
0.43
TrÃĶff
0.50
Fredrikstad
0.50
jerv
0.50
Ham-Kam
0.50
Stromsgodset
0.50
KFUM Oslo
0.60
Bodo/Glimt
0.67
Molde
0.75
Rosenborg
0.80
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.00
Djerv
1.00
Trygg/Lade
1.00
LÃļrenskog
1.00
Vidar
1.00
BrattvÃĨg
1.00
Levanger
1.00
StjÃļrdals-Blink
1.00
Arendal
1.00
Eidsvold
1.00
HÃļnefoss
1.00
Sandefjord
1.00
Valerenga
1.00
Aalesund
1.00
Lyn
1.00
Bryne
1.00
Haugesund
1.00
Stabaek
1.20
Grorud
1.33
Alta
1.33
Kristiansund BK
1.33
Moss
1.33
Sogndal
1.33
Bjarg
1.50
Sotra
1.50
Strindheim
1.50
Skeid
1.50
KjelsÃĨs
1.50
Lysekloster
1.50
Raufoss
1.50
Egersund
1.50
Pors Grenland
1.67
Rana
1.67
Tromsdalen Uil
1.67
Ranheim
1.67
Strommen
1.67
Mjondalen
1.75
Kongsvinger
1.75
Asker
2.00
Vard
2.00
Gneist
2.00
Spjelkavik
2.00
RÃĨde
2.00
BÃĶrum
2.00
FlekkerÃļy
2.00
Nordstrand
2.00
Start
2.00
hodd
2.00
Sandnes ULF
2.00
Asane
2.25
Sandviken (Norway)
2.50
Follo
2.50
Ull/Kisa
2.50
FÃļrde
2.68
Madla
2.68
VigÃļr
2.68
Vestfossen
2.68
Finnsnes
2.68
Junkeren
3.00
Notodden
3.00
Ulfstind
3.00
Nardo
3.00
ODD Ballklubb
3.00
Gamle Oslo
3.50
Flint
3.50
Brumunddal
4.00
Eik-TÃļnsberg
4.00
Lysekloster is 0.50 goals worse than Aalesund in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
âąïļ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Lysekloster or Drawâ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
21%
20%
59%
covers Lysekloster + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster or Aalesundâ Hit
79.6%
Avg Implied -
21%
20%
59%
covers Lysekloster + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Aalesundâ Hit
79.1%
Avg Implied -
21%
20%
59%
covers Draw + Aalesund
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Lysekloster over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.8%
Under
58.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.1%
Under
8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
69.6%
Under
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
43.5%
Under
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
22.5%
Under
77.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âïļ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Lysekloster, so a minus line means Lysekloster give that many goals of a start and Aalesund receive them. At -1, Lysekloster must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Lysekloster win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Lysekloster)Actual: Aalesund
Lysekloster -2
3.3%
Draw -2
6.1%
Aalesund +2
90.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Lysekloster)Actual: Aalesund
Lysekloster -1
9.3%
Draw -1
11.6%
Aalesund +1
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Lysekloster)Actual: Aalesund
Lysekloster +1
41.3%
Draw +1
20.2%
Aalesund -1
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Lysekloster)Actual: Draw
Lysekloster +2
61.6%
Draw +2
17.4%
Aalesund -2
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Lysekloster
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.60
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.14
0.33
0.33
0.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.67
0.53
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.90
0.73
0.73
0.90
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Lysekloster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Lysekloster over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Lysekloster
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.12
0.50
2.33
0.33
2.00
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (7)
2.43
0.57
2.33
0.33
2.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
75% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Aalesund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aalesund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.24
0.76
1.36
0.27
1.10
1.30
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.43
2.00
0.50
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Lysekloster) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Lysekloster over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lysekloster over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aalesund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 6.5
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 1.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 5.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home or Away
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Draw or Away
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away +1 handicap
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 2.5
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Aalesund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
Kristian Lonebu31%
Mathias Christensen29%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch29%
Henrik Melland21%
Jakob Nyland Ãrsahl11%
Ivan Djantou9%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Uba Charles6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer NessÃļ0%
DavÃð SnÃĶr JÃģhannsson0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ãlafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Marius Andresen0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
DavÃð SnÃĶr JÃģhannsson36%
Mathias Christensen29%
Marius Andresen27%
Marcus Haagensen Reed25%
Aleksander Kjelsen23%
Kristoffer Klaesson18%
Emil Engqvist18%
Philip Sandvik Aukland17%
Henrik Melland14%
Ãlafur Guðmundsson13%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen12%
Jakob Nyland Ãrsahl11%
Ulrik Syversen11%
Elias Heggland Myrlid8%
Simen Haram8%
Hakon Butli Hammer6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer NessÃļ0%
Luca Podlech0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Kristian Lonebu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch24%
Jakob Nyland Ãrsahl22%
Uba Charles18%
Hakon Butli Hammer12%
Marcus Haagensen Reed12%
Mathias Christensen12%
Ulrik Syversen11%
DavÃð SnÃĶr JÃģhannsson9%
Marius Andresen9%
Ivan Djantou9%
Henrik Melland7%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer NessÃļ0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ãlafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Simen Haram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marcus Haagensen Reed38%
DavÃð SnÃĶr JÃģhannsson27%
Henrik Melland14%
Mathias Christensen12%
Marius Andresen9%
Kristian Lonebu6%
Uba Charles6%
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch6%
Kristoffer Klaesson0%
Kristoffer NessÃļ0%
Jakob Nyland Ãrsahl0%
Philip Sandvik Aukland0%
Ãlafur Guðmundsson0%
Emil Engqvist0%
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen0%
Hakon Butli Hammer0%
Aleksander Kjelsen0%
Luca Podlech0%
Elias Heggland Myrlid0%
Ulrik Syversen0%
Simen Haram0%
Ivan Djantou0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →