This Liga Leumit matchup between Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Yehuda is finely balanced, with Bnei Yehuda's recent unbeaten streak a storyline worth noting. The away side has secured four wins in their last five matches, while Maccabi Bnei Raina has struggled, suffering two consecutive defeats.
The model predicts a 39% chance of an away win, with the most likely match result being Bnei Yehuda taking home the three points. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.3% probability.
Maccabi Bnei Raina's home form has seen them score an average of 0.82 goals per match, while conceding 2.91. In contrast, Bnei Yehuda's away form has yielded an average of 1.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 with 78.1% probability, Over 1.5 with 70.2% probability, and Bnei Yehuda to win with 39% probability. Maccabi Bnei Raina has a 31% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 39% chance of losing.
Results analysis
Maccabi Bnei Raina’s recent win extended a modest run, but Bnei Yehuda continued a two-game winning streak. The final score was 1-4, an away win that matched the model’s favourite. The model had picked an away victory with a 39 % probability, and this call proved correct. The expected total of 2.4 goals was far below the actual 5-goal affair. The model’s selections performed as follows: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.3 %; Away under 3.5 goals missed at 96.0 %; Home under 2.5 goals hit at 89.7 %; Away +2 handicap hit at 87.0 %; Away under 2.5 goals missed at 86.4 %; Home +2 handicap missed at 82.3 %; Under 3.5 missed at 78.1 %; and Away over 0.5 goals hit at 71.9 %.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Bnei Raina win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.41
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.48
Betano
2.47
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.36
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.54
Dafabet
3.50
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
Bnei Yehuda win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 35.7% · @ 2.53
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.00
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.55
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
2.00
0.60
2.27
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
3.00
0.40
3.40
0.40
2.60
vs Similar (20)
0.95
1.50
0.70
1.70
1.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.23
1.13
1.00
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.40
1.32
1.25
1.17
1.54
1.46
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.2%
@ 1.24-2.9%
Under 1.5
29.8%
@ 3.38+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Betfair
3.80
10Bet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.81-7.9%
Under 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.86+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Betano
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.9%
@ 3.00-8.4%
Under 3.5
78.1%
@ 1.30+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
@ 1.65-5.4%
No
50.3%
@ 2.03+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.73
William Hil
1.70
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
William Hil
2.05
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.91+7.2%
0-0
10.5%@ 10.39+6.4%
0-1
10.4%@ 8.16+5.1%
1-0
8.9%@ 8.09+3.7%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.81+3.5%
0-2
7.4%@ 11.54+3.7%
2-1
7.3%@ 8.67+2.4%
2-0
5.7%@ 11.54+2.0%
Maccabi Bnei Raina goals ↓
Bnei Yehuda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
10%
7.4%
3.1%
1.0%
1
8.9%
14%
8.3%
3.5%
1.1%
2
5.7%
7.3%
4.6%
2.0%
0.6%
3
2.1%
2.7%
1.7%
0.7%
0.2%
4
0.6%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Bnei Raina goals (down), columns = Bnei Yehuda goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.04 points better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.35 goals better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.03 goals better than Bnei Yehuda in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Bnei Raina or Draw✗ Miss
61.4%
Avg Implied 63.7% · @ 1.43
Edge
-2.3%
31%
30%
39%
covers Maccabi Bnei Raina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Maccabi Bnei Raina or Bnei Yehuda✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.23
Edge
-4.4%
31%
30%
39%
covers Maccabi Bnei Raina + Bnei Yehuda
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or Bnei Yehuda✓ Hit
68.8%
Avg Implied 62.1% · @ 1.47
Edge
+6.7%
31%
30%
39%
covers Draw + Bnei Yehuda
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Unibet
1.47
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.3%
@ 1.25-5.6%
Under
32.7%
@ 3.38+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.42
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.25
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 2.27-9.7%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.54+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.38
1xBet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Under
Unibet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.54
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.17-7.2%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.10+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.70
Under
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 9.75-6.8%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Under
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.9%
@ 1.29+0.6%
Under
28.1%
@ 3.21-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
Under
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.15
Betano
2.67
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.34-3.1%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.52+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.6%
@ 5.34-3.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.09+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
4.85
Under
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Bnei Yehuda over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.0%
@ 10.00-5.3%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.03+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Under
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Bnei Raina, so a minus line means Maccabi Bnei Raina give that many goals of a start and Bnei Yehuda receive them. At -1, Maccabi Bnei Raina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Bnei Raina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.56
0.50
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.10
0.33
1.33
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.50
0.20
2.00
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.90
0.40
1.00
0.70
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bnei Yehuda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.60
0.60
0.93
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.76
0.75
0.67
0.92
0.85
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
97.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
89.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
87.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
+3.4%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
82.3%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+2.3%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
78.1%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+8.4%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.9%
1.29
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.2%
1.24
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-2.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Yehuda have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Yehuda have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Yehuda have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Bnei Yehuda have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →