Hapoel Ra'anana is the clear favourite, with a 47 % chance of victory, while the draw sits at 29 % and Maccabi Bnei Raina’s win probability is 24 %. The model expects an average of 2.5 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 27 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6 % probability. Maccabi Bnei Raina, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 0.73 goals scored and 1.91 conceded. Hapoel Ra'anana, on the road against a comparable side, averages 1.21 scored and 0.93 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.6 %), Under 6.5 (98.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1 %), Under 5.5 (95.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.5 %), Home under 2.5 goals (92.1 %), Away +2 handicap (90.9 %), and Under 4.5 (89.3 %). The home side’s recent form shows a win after a streak of losses, while the away side is on a three-game winning run.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Bnei Raina win
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana win
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.83
0.60
2.07
1.00
1.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
2.62
0.00
2.67
0.40
2.60
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.55
0.75
1.92
1.30
1.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.07
1.47
1.07
1.27
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.37
1.07
1.47
1.07
1.27
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
49.5%
Under 2.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.1%
No
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
9.0%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.2%
1-0
6.2%
1-3
5.1%
Maccabi Bnei Raina goals ↓
Hapoel Ra'anana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.2%
10%
9.0%
4.8%
1.9%
1
6.2%
13%
9.5%
5.1%
2.0%
2
3.9%
6.2%
5.0%
2.7%
1.1%
3
1.4%
2.2%
1.7%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Bnei Raina goals (down), columns = Hapoel Ra'anana goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.23 points better than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.35).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.46 goals better than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Maccabi Bnei Raina is 0.03 goals better than Hapoel Ra'anana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Bnei Raina or Draw
51.0%
Avg Implied -
24%
27%
49%
covers Maccabi Bnei Raina + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina or Hapoel Ra'anana
72.7%
Avg Implied -
24%
27%
49%
covers Maccabi Bnei Raina + Hapoel Ra'anana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hapoel Ra'anana
76.3%
Avg Implied -
24%
27%
49%
covers Draw + Hapoel Ra'anana
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5
Over
47.6%
Under
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Bnei Raina, so a minus line means Maccabi Bnei Raina give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Ra'anana receive them. At -1, Maccabi Bnei Raina must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Bnei Raina win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
Maccabi Bnei Raina -2
2.7%
Draw -2
6.6%
Hapoel Ra'anana +2
90.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
Maccabi Bnei Raina -1
9.2%
Draw -1
14.5%
Hapoel Ra'anana +1
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
Maccabi Bnei Raina +1
51.0%
Draw +1
22.7%
Hapoel Ra'anana -1
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Maccabi Bnei Raina)
Maccabi Bnei Raina +2
73.7%
Draw +2
15.3%
Hapoel Ra'anana -2
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.87
0.27
0.87
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.38
0.00
1.00
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.68
0.33
0.83
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.60
0.50
0.80
0.20
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.97
0.33
1.20
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
1.25
0.00
1.67
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.86
0.42
1.08
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Ra'anana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Ra'anana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.67
0.87
0.87
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.77
0.57
0.67
0.87
0.87
0.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Bnei Raina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Bnei Raina over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Ra'anana over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Maccabi Bnei Raina and Hapoel Ra'anana have a similar defence value (both €1m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
MBR wins
0
Draws
0
HR wins
Head-to-head
Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Ra'anana · H/A from MBR
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Bnei Yehuda
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Ashdod
Ironi Modi'in
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Kiryat Yam SC
Kafr Qasim
Maccabi Herzliya
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Hapoel Acre