This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.47
1.50
1.50
2.00
1.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.75
0.33
1.67
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.62
1.48
1.60
1.50
1.64
1.45
vs Weaker (5)
3.00
1.20
2.33
1.33
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
90.8%
Under 1.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.6%
Under 2.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.0%
No
27.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.0%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
3-2
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
2-3
3.8%
Maccabi Haifa goals ↓
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.8%
2.6%
2.8%
1.5%
0.6%
1
3.8%
8.3%
6.2%
3.4%
1.4%
2
5.1%
8.5%
7.0%
3.8%
1.6%
3
3.8%
6.3%
5.2%
2.9%
1.2%
4
2.1%
3.5%
2.9%
1.6%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Haifa goals (down), columns = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Maccabi Haifa is 0.42 points better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Haifa is 0.50 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Maccabi Haifa is 0.28 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maccabi Haifa
For 5.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.6 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
8.4
8.9
3.5
3.2
3.9
27.7
27.0
28.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
8.2
7.8
9.0
3.7
4.0
3.2
29.6
29.2
30.4
vs Weaker (29)
9.0
9.1
8.9
3.4
2.7
4.4
26.1
24.8
27.4
% over line
41%
39%
43%
50%
50%
50%
88%
83%
93%
% under line
59%
61%
57%
50%
50%
50%
12%
17%
7%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (13)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.1
Beitar Jerusalem
9.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
9.1
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Maccabi Netanya
9.0
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.9
Ashdod
8.7
Maccabi Haifa
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
5.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.4
Beitar Jerusalem
5.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
5.0
Bnei Sakhnin
4.9
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4.9
Ashdod
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
27.5
Maccabi Tel Aviv
27.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.3
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Beitar Jerusalem
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
25.6
Maccabi Netanya
25.0
Ashdod
24.9
Hapoel Tel Aviv
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.9%
Under 9.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.6%
Under 3.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.6%
Under 21.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maccabi Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
0.93
0.27
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.08
0.43
0.14
0.20
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.06
0.56
1.38
0.38
0.80
0.70
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.40
0.75
0.38
1.21
0.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.67
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.43
0.70
0.30
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.73
1.20
1.00
0.87
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.83
1.00
1.14
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.67
1.38
0.88
1.10
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.75
1.12
0.79
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.76
1.05
0.90
1.20
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.00
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Haifa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niv Gabay50%
Guy Melamed42%
Trivante Stewart22%
Ethane Azoulay21%
Dolev Haziza18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Michael Ohana17%
Manuel Benson14%
Ayi Silva Kangani14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Abdoulaye Seck11%
Kenny Saief10%
Navot Ratner9%
Peter Agba6%
Lisav Naif Eissat5%
Jelle Bataille0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Suf Podgoreanu0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lior Kasa67%
Lisav Naif Eissat38%
Pierre Cornud33%
Ethane Azoulay33%
Adam Grimberg33%
Yinon Faingezicht19%
Dolev Haziza18%
Peter Agba18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Goni Naor17%
Shon Goldberg17%
Abdoulaye Seck16%
Manuel Benson14%
Kenny Saief14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Ali Mohamed12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Navot Ratner9%
Michael Ohana8%
Georgiy Yermakov8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Elad Amir0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Ohana25%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don25%
Niv Gabay25%
Kenji Gorré22%
Navot Ratner18%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Manuel Benson14%
Pierre Cornud13%
Zohar Zasano12%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Lisav Naif Eissat10%
Dolev Haziza9%
Ayi Silva Kangani9%
Ethane Azoulay8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Kenny Saief0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Trivante Stewart0%
Peter Agba0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethane Azoulay29%
Guy Melamed21%
Manuel Benson14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Michael Ohana8%
Peter Agba6%
Kenji Gorré6%
Kenny Saief5%
Dolev Haziza5%
Ayi Silva Kangani5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Jelle Bataille0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lisav Naif Eissat0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Navot Ratner0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Maccabi Haifa's squad is €21m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€27m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Maccabi Haifa's attack is €5m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€7m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Maccabi Haifa's midfield is €8m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€10m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Maccabi Haifa's defence is €8m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€10m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Tiberias
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Haifa
Bnei Sakhnin
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina