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Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Result & Analysis

Date: 16/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
Vs
60%
21%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Maccabi Haifa a 60% win probability against Hapoel Petah Tikva in the Israel: Ligat Ha'al on 2026-05-16, with 21% for the draw and 19% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The model estimates around 3.5 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (21%) and 2-1 the most likely scoreline (9.5%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 19.5 fouls (94%), Over 2.5 cards (88%), Over 1.5 (88%), Over 21.5 fouls (87%).

Results analysis

Maccabi Haifa finished 1-1 against Hapoel Petah Tikva (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 60% home win, 21% draw and 19% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (88%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Maccabi Haifa win✗ Miss
59.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
21.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva win✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L02L41W03L13L04L21W01L30W03LH·HAP21/02A·HAP06/04H·IRO12/04A·BEI19/04H·MAC25/04A·HAP29/04A·HAP02/05H·HAP06/05H·BEI09/05A·MAC13/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.402.001.291.191.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.861.431.251.500.331.33
vs Weaker (23)1.781.392.301.201.381.54
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D00D03L01L13L12L04L24L01LA·MAC21/02A·HAP04/04H·HAP11/04A·HAP18/04H·HAP25/04A·BEI28/04H·MAC02/05A·MAC05/05H·HAP09/05A·HAP12/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.631.211.291.561.94
vs Stronger (9)0.891.891.001.750.802.00
vs Similar (13)1.231.850.831.331.572.29
vs Weaker (8)2.251.002.000.752.501.25
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1 ✓
9.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.2%
Maccabi Haifa goals ↓
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals →
01234
03.8%2.8%2.3%1.0%0.3%
15.9%9.2%5.2%2.2%0.7%
27.6%9.5%6.0%2.5%0.8%
35.8%7.2%4.5%1.9%0.6%
43.3%4.1%2.6%1.1%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Haifa goals (down), columns = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Ashdod
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.67
Maccabi Haifa is 0.42 points better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Ashdod
1.15
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.79
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Haifa is 0.50 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Ashdod
1.88
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Bnei Raina
2.09
Maccabi Haifa is 0.28 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.58).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Ashdod
46%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

For 4.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 7.4

🚩 Corners

160225135162313310691564681846161011A·MACH·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

9022233111241113512544542624629A·MACH·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

31020111213161116121018714131713799141531252728282130201829A·MACH·BEIH·HAPA·HAPH·MACA·BEIH·IROA·HAPH·BNEA·MAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.58.58.63.53.53.527.427.827.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)8.99.78.04.24.73.729.729.330.2
vs Weaker (36)8.37.98.83.23.03.426.327.025.5
% over line38%33%44%52%60%44%85%89%81%
% under line62%67%56%48%40%56%15%11%19%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (10)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.4
Hapoel Tel Aviv
9.2
Hapoel Haifa
9.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Ashdod
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Beitar Jerusalem
8.7
Maccabi Haifa
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Hapoel Haifa
5.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Beitar Jerusalem
5.4
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.0
Ashdod
5.0
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
28.3
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Beitar Jerusalem
27.6
Maccabi Haifa
27.5
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.1
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Ashdod
25.2
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Bnei Sakhnin
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.7%
Under 9.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.6%
Under 3.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.1%
Under 21.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D31W01L02L01L01L00D10W03LH·HAP21/02A·HAP06/04H·IRO12/04A·BEI19/04H·MAC25/04A·HAP29/04A·HAP02/05H·HAP06/05H·BEI09/05A·MAC13/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.930.290.440.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.140.710.250.500.001.00
vs Weaker (23)0.830.431.200.200.540.62
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D02L00D02L10W02L03L00DA·MAC21/02A·HAP04/04H·HAP11/04A·HAP18/04H·HAP25/04A·BEI28/04H·MAC02/05A·MAC05/05H·HAP09/05A·HAP12/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.600.500.430.880.75
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.251.000.401.00
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.170.171.000.86
vs Weaker (8)1.250.251.250.251.250.25
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.0%--------
Over 2.5 cards88.2%--------
Over 1.587.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls87.1%--------
Under 11.5 corners84.2%--------
Over 23.5 fouls76.6%--------
Under 10.5 corners75.5%--------
Over 3.5 cards74.6%--------

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (38)
€46m
MH (46)
€30m
HBS (33)
€25m
BJ (39)
€20m
HTA (39)
€17m
MN (36)
€12m
HK (34)
€11m
HPT (36)
€9m
IKS (31)
€8m
ASH (42)
€8m
HH (40)
€7m
MBR (35)
€6m
IT (29)
€5m
BS (39)
€5m
Maccabi Haifa's squad is €20m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€30m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BJ (0)
€0m
BS (0)
€0m
HBS (0)
€0m
HH (0)
€0m
HK (0)
€0m
HTA (0)
€0m
IKS (0)
€0m
IT (0)
€0m
MH (0)
€0m
MN (0)
€0m
MTA (0)
€0m
HPT (0)
€0m
ASH (0)
€0m
MBR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
MH wins
2
Draws
1
HPT wins

Head-to-head

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva · H/A from MH
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs MH1-2
21/02/26HMH Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1
29/11/25AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs MH0-0
03/01/24AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs MH2-2
25/11/23HMH Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva2-1

Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs MH3-0
09/05/26HMH Vs Beitar Jerusalem3-0
06/05/26HMH Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva0-1
02/05/26AHapoel Petah Tikva Vs MH1-2
29/04/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs MH4-0
25/04/26HMH Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv1-3
19/04/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs MH3-0
12/04/26HMH Vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona4-1
06/04/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs MH2-0
21/02/26HMH Vs Hapoel Petah Tikva0-1

Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/26AHapoel Tel Aviv Vs HPT1-0
09/05/26HHPT Vs Hapoel Beer Sheva2-4
05/05/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs HPT4-0
02/05/26HHPT Vs Maccabi Haifa1-2
28/04/26ABeitar Jerusalem Vs HPT3-1
25/04/26HHPT Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv0-1
18/04/26AHapoel Beer Sheva Vs HPT3-0
11/04/26HHPT Vs Hapoel Tel Aviv0-0
04/04/26AHapoel Beer Sheva Vs HPT1-1
21/02/26AMaccabi Haifa Vs HPT0-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Haifa
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.46
HomeLWLLW1.52
AwayLLLWL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.063.362.76
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.601.881.32
Conceded1.461.481.44
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners8.538.508.56
Cards5.154.835.50
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Israel: Ligat Ha'al
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.64
HomeLDLLL1.68
AwayDLLLL1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals2.662.522.80
Over 1.5 %66%60%72%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.521.561.48
Conceded1.140.961.32
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet42%48%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva3679
67%
2.2
7938+41
3.2
78%
56%
39%
10.0
58%
5.8
88%
28.7
92%
25
0002.21.1
60%
2Beitar JerusalemBeitar Jerusalem3676
61%
2.1
7840+38
3.3
78%
64%
39%
8.8
42%
6.0
85%
29.1
88%
20
0002.21.1
57%
3Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv3563
51%
1.8
7246+26
3.4
83%
69%
54%
9.4
44%
5.6
96%
30.3
100%
46
0002.11.3
53%
4Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv3562
51%
1.8
5535+20
2.6
71%
43%
29%
8.5
36%
6.1
80%
29.9
92%
17
0001.61.0
47%
5Maccabi HaifaMaccabi Haifa3655
42%
1.5
6647+19
3.1
81%
61%
44%
8.7
38%
5.1
80%
26.7
81%
30
0001.81.3
54%
6Maccabi NetanyaMaccabi Netanya3348
42%
1.5
5963-4
3.7
91%
67%
45%
9.0
27%
6.4
91%
26.0
77%
12
0001.81.9
50%
7Ironi TiberiasIroni Tiberias3344
36%
1.3
4556-11
3.1
85%
45%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.41.7
-
8Ironi Kiryat ShmonaIroni Kiryat Shmona3340
33%
1.2
5053-3
3.1
82%
64%
45%
8.3
32%
5.0
73%
27.3
82%
8
0001.51.6
47%
9Hapoel Petah TikvaHapoel Petah Tikva3640
25%
1.1
4857-9
2.9
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
0001.31.6
-
10Hapoel HaifaHapoel Haifa3334
24%
1.0
3951-12
2.7
73%
42%
30%
9.8
45%
5.5
91%
27.0
82%
7
0001.21.5
43%
11Bnei SakhninBnei Sakhnin3334
24%
1.0
2849-21
2.3
76%
45%
18%
9.3
36%
4.7
77%
25.2
64%
5
0000.81.5
39%
12Hapoel KatamonHapoel Katamon3331
21%
0.9
2643-17
2.1
61%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
0000.81.3
-
13AshdodAshdod3328
18%
0.8
3862-24
3.0
82%
58%
33%
8.7
32%
5.6
77%
27.8
86%
8
0001.21.9
46%
14Maccabi Bnei RainaMaccabi Bnei Raina3322
18%
0.7
2669-43
2.9
76%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
0000.82.1
-
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →

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