Maccabi Haifa are the clear favorites, with the model assigning a 64% chance of a home win, 21% for a draw and 15% for a Hapoel Petah Tikva victory. The 64% figure reflects Haifa’s strong home form, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against weaker opposition, while Petah Tikva’s away average of 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded against stronger teams signals a defensive struggle. The expected total goals is 3.3, with the most likely total being 3, and the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Haifa, at 9.8%. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8% with a 4% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.8% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 94.8% with a 5% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.3% with a 5% edge, Home +2 handicap at 94.2%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 93.2% with a 4% edge. The match is poised to favor Haifa’s home advantage and recent form.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Maccabi Haifa win
63.7%
Avg Implied 60.8% · @ 1.51
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Dafabet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Draw
20.7%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.16
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.30
Pinnacle
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
BetVictor
4.20
Hapoel Petah Tikva win
15.5%
Avg Implied 17.2% · @ 5.34
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.57
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
Dafabet
5.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Maccabi Haifa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.53
2.19
1.25
1.36
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.92
2.17
1.33
0.86
2.43
vs Weaker (17)
2.06
1.24
2.20
1.20
1.86
1.29
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.43
1.29
1.21
1.06
1.62
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
2.11
1.67
2.67
0.83
1.83
vs Similar (18)
1.06
1.17
0.90
0.80
1.25
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
4.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.2%
@ 1.15+4.2%
Under 1.5
14.8%
@ 4.90-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
64.4%
@ 1.52+3.6%
Under 2.5
35.6%
@ 2.37-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.54
10Bet
1.53
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.41
10Bet
2.38
Bet365
2.35
1xBet
2.33
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
42.4%
@ 2.34+2.4%
Under 3.5
57.6%
@ 1.56-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.38
Betano
2.35
Pinnacle
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Betano
1.55
Both teams to score
Yes
59.2%
@ 1.60+1.4%
No
40.8%
@ 2.19-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
1xBet
1.60
No
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.8%@ 7.33+3.7%
1-1
9.5%@ 7.68+3.7%
2-0
9.3%@ 8.01+3.7%
3-1
7.4%@ 10.34+3.1%
1-0
7.3%@ 8.38+2.0%
3-0
7.0%@ 11.19+3.0%
2-2
5.2%@ 12.94+1.7%
1-2
4.6%@ 14.78+1.5%
Maccabi Haifa goals ↓
Hapoel Petah Tikva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
3.0%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.3%
9.5%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
2
9.3%
9.8%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
7.0%
7.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.0%
4.2%
2.2%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Maccabi Haifa goals (down), columns = Hapoel Petah Tikva goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Maccabi Haifa is 0.42 points better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of average points per game (1.53 vs 1.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Maccabi Haifa is 0.50 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Maccabi Haifa is 0.28 goals better than Hapoel Petah Tikva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maccabi Haifa
For 3.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.4 · Total 26.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hapoel Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Maccabi Haifa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.9
8.7
3.0
2.5
3.5
26.6
26.4
26.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
8.3
8.7
7.9
4.1
4.1
4.2
27.7
27.8
27.6
vs Weaker (28)
9.6
9.2
10.0
2.1
1.4
2.8
24.6
24.0
25.2
% over line
40%
36%
44%
46%
46%
46%
80%
79%
81%
% under line
60%
64%
56%
54%
54%
54%
20%
21%
19%
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (12)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.6
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
29.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.8%
Under 9.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.6%
Under 3.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
86.6%
Under 21.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Maccabi Haifa or Draw
84.5%
Avg Implied 82.5% · @ 1.13
Edge
+2.0%
64%
21%
16%
covers Maccabi Haifa + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Maccabi Haifa or Hapoel Petah Tikva
79.3%
Avg Implied 78.6% · @ 1.18
Edge
+0.7%
64%
21%
16%
covers Maccabi Haifa + Hapoel Petah Tikva
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Draw or Hapoel Petah Tikva
36.3%
Avg Implied 38.9% · @ 2.39
Edge
-2.6%
64%
21%
16%
covers Draw + Hapoel Petah Tikva
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
BetVictor
2.40
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5
Over
89.6%
@ 1.08+3.4%
Under
10.4%
@ 6.74-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Betano
5.90
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5
Over
66.1%
@ 1.48+3.3%
Under
33.9%
@ 2.50-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Under
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.54
Marathonbet
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5
Over
39.4%
@ 2.56+3.1%
Under
60.6%
@ 1.46-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.56
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.48
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.45
Maccabi Haifa over/under 3.5
Over
19.3%
@ 4.92+0.4%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.15-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5
Over
65.1%
@ 1.44+0.8%
Under
34.9%
@ 2.60-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5
Over
28.4%
@ 3.23-0.4%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.31+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
1xBet
3.26
Betfair
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5
Over
9.1%
@ 8.40-2.1%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.10
Marathonbet
9.10
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.20
Under
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 3.5
Over
2.2%
@ 19.00-2.8%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Maccabi Haifa, so a minus line means Maccabi Haifa give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Petah Tikva receive them. At -1, Maccabi Haifa must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Maccabi Haifa win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Maccabi Haifa)
Maccabi Haifa -2
22.6%
@ 4.34+1.8%
Draw -2
19.3%
@ 4.61-0.3%
Hapoel Petah Tikva +2
58.1%
@ 1.51-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Handicap -1 (Maccabi Haifa)
Maccabi Haifa -1
41.9%
@ 2.34+3.5%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.72-2.2%
Hapoel Petah Tikva +1
36.3%
@ 2.39-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betfair
2.30
Marathonbet
2.29
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.74
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Away
Marathonbet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Handicap +1 (Maccabi Haifa)
Maccabi Haifa +1
84.5%
@ 1.13+7.7%
Draw +1
9.7%
@ 6.05-4.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva -1
5.8%
@ 9.75-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Handicap +2 (Maccabi Haifa)
Maccabi Haifa +2
94.2%
@ 1.04+3.1%
Draw +2
4.2%
@ 17.00-1.4%
Hapoel Petah Tikva -2
1.6%
@ 29.00-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
29.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maccabi Haifa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.12
0.50
0.50
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.85
0.50
0.50
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.18
0.71
1.50
0.50
0.71
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.50
0.43
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.11
0.67
1.33
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.28
0.20
0.20
0.75
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.2%
@ 1.26-0.5%
Under 0.5
26.8%
@ 3.52+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
William Hil
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.24-3.6%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.59+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.29
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
BetVictor
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
@ 5.06-3.2%
Under 2.5
84.9%
@ 1.14+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Betfair
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.1%
@ 1.52-3.9%
Under
42.9%
@ 2.38+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.49
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.36
Betano
2.25
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.1%
@ 3.50-4.2%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.25+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.72
Betano
3.55
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Under
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 HT
Over
8.2%
@ 8.70-2.4%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.0%
@ 2.49-3.2%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.48+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.8%
@ 8.80-3.7%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
8.80
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maccabi Haifa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.77
1.06
0.75
0.86
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.08
1.08
1.67
0.83
0.57
1.29
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.53
0.70
0.70
1.14
0.29
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Petah Tikva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.93
0.79
0.79
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.89
0.70
0.60
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Haifa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
82.8%
@ 1.15+2.1%
Under 0.5
17.2%
@ 4.82-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
Under
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
51.7%
@ 1.76-1.2%
Under 1.5
48.3%
@ 1.97+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.80
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Under
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.5%
@ 3.31-3.5%
Under 2.5
75.5%
@ 1.29+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maccabi Haifa over/under 0.5 2H
Over
69.3%
@ 1.36+1.3%
Under
30.7%
@ 2.89-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.90
10Bet
2.88
Maccabi Haifa over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.5%
@ 2.65-3.3%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.42+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.65
1xBet
2.65
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Maccabi Haifa over/under 2.5 2H
Over
13.4%
@ 6.20-1.5%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.1%
@ 2.02-5.6%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.70+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Betano
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.4%
@ 6.36-3.1%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.08+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Hapoel Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 16.75-3.0%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.0%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+1.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
Under 6.5
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+1.4%
Home +2 handicap
94.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
Over 19.5 fouls
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.2%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+3.7%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
91.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.9%
1.05
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
+2.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
89.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.05
+3.4%
Over 2.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.6%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
-
+3.1%
Under 5.5
88.1%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
+0.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
-
+1.5%
Over 21.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
85.2%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Betfair
1.14
+4.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.14
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+3.2%
Home or Draw
84.5%
1.13
Betano
1.17
BetVictor
1.15
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+2.0%
Home +1 handicap
84.5%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+7.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.8%
1.15
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.11
+2.1%
Home under 3.5 goals
80.7%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-0.4%
Home or Away
79.3%
1.18
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+0.7%
Under 10.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.9%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
-
+4.2%
Under 4.5
75.9%
1.21
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-0.9%
Over 23.5 fouls
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
75.5%
1.29
Betano
1.32
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+3.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.2%
1.26
Betano
1.31
William Hil
1.29
10Bet
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-0.5%
Away under 1.5 goals
71.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maccabi Haifa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niv Gabay50%
Guy Melamed42%
Trivante Stewart22%
Ethane Azoulay21%
Dolev Haziza18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Michael Ohana17%
Manuel Benson14%
Ayi Silva Kangani14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Abdoulaye Seck11%
Kenny Saief10%
Navot Ratner9%
Peter Agba6%
Lisav Naif Eissat5%
Jelle Bataille0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Suf Podgoreanu0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lior Kasa67%
Lisav Naif Eissat38%
Pierre Cornud33%
Ethane Azoulay33%
Adam Grimberg33%
Yinon Faingezicht19%
Dolev Haziza18%
Peter Agba18%
Kenji Gorré17%
Goni Naor17%
Shon Goldberg17%
Abdoulaye Seck16%
Manuel Benson14%
Kenny Saief14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Ali Mohamed12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Navot Ratner9%
Michael Ohana8%
Georgiy Yermakov8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Ayi Silva Kangani0%
Elad Amir0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Ohana25%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don25%
Niv Gabay25%
Kenji Gorré22%
Navot Ratner18%
Đorđe Jovanović17%
Manuel Benson14%
Pierre Cornud13%
Zohar Zasano12%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Lisav Naif Eissat10%
Dolev Haziza9%
Ayi Silva Kangani9%
Ethane Azoulay8%
Jelle Bataille8%
Guy Melamed5%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Matías Nahuel0%
Kenny Saief0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Trivante Stewart0%
Peter Agba0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethane Azoulay29%
Guy Melamed21%
Manuel Benson14%
Cédric Franck Emmanuel Don12%
Matías Nahuel11%
Suf Podgoreanu11%
Michael Ohana8%
Peter Agba6%
Kenji Gorré6%
Kenny Saief5%
Dolev Haziza5%
Ayi Silva Kangani5%
Trivante Stewart4%
Abdoulaye Seck0%
Jelle Bataille0%
Đorđe Jovanović0%
Pierre Cornud0%
Goni Naor0%
Shon Goldberg0%
Ali Mohamed0%
Zohar Zasano0%
Sharif Kaiuf0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Lisav Naif Eissat0%
Lior Kasa0%
Elad Amir0%
Adam Grimberg0%
Yinon Faingezicht0%
Navot Ratner0%
Noam Sztejfman0%
Niv Gabay0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Maccabi Haifa's squad is €21m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€27m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Maccabi Haifa's attack is €5m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€7m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Maccabi Haifa's midfield is €8m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€10m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Maccabi Haifa's defence is €8m more valuable than Hapoel Petah Tikva's (€10m vs €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →